RE: LeoThread 2026-03-14 13-49
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So, the $BTC price prediction was resolved as "NO" and the final price captured was $70,485.
I'm trying to understand better, if this was the price of BTC captured at the end of the prediction window, that means the price of BTC was below the price predicted $70,500. So is it not meant to be resolved as "YES" or am I missing something?
Can someone explain better? I would like to check out other active markets.
Thanks in advance.
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I think the resolution work with time. Perhaps at the last minute of the window the price was still above the prediction market price.
This I can understand, if the price was still above $70,500 at midnight, then the resolution is correct, but if it was really below $70,500, and resolved at "No" then I wonder how prediction markets work.
Yes = above 70,500; no below
Based upon what you wrote here, it was a no (below that figure)
Will BTC be Below $70,500 On March 13th At Midnight?
The price was $70,485 at the end that means it was below, resolving as "Yes" and if it was above $70,500, then it's "No".
"Yes", it will be below or "No", it will be above.
https://inleo.io/threads/view/winanda/re-taskmaster4450le-nmo8wzqa
Or does it mean that prediction markets are the opposite when it comes to English understanding? I'm just wondering.
no if that is how it is phrased then I think you are correct. I thought the question was above.
I would guess the feed price might have been different. We dont know where it is pulling from.
Oh, okay.
Yeah, it's possible it was higher when the time elapsed for the prediction, but captured a lower rate. Thanks for sharing your thoughts.
Anyway, I will check out other prediction markets and see how they'll end.