RE: LeoThread 2025-02-15 05:11
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Here is the daily technology #threadcast for 2/15/25. The goal is to make this a technology "reddit".
Drop all question, comments, and articles relating to #technology and the future. The goal is make it a technology center.
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Distances and Intervals:
“Having explained the general disposition of the lines, we now come to the distances and dimensions. One thousand paces contain a single rank of one thousand six hundred and fifty-six foot soldiers, each man being allowed three feet. Six ranks drawn up on the same extent of ground will require nine thousand nine hundred and ninety-six men. To form only three ranks of the same number will take up two thousand paces, but it is much better to increase the number of ranks than to make your front too extensive. We have before observed the distance between each rank should be six feet, one foot of which is taken up by the men. Thus if you form a body of ten thousand men into six ranks they will occupy thirty-six feet. in depth and a thousand paces in front.”
eneral advice:
“Men must be sufficiently tried before they are led against the enemy.
Valor is superior to numbers.
The nature of the ground is often of more consequence than courage.
Few men are born brave; many become so through care and force of discipline.
An army is strengthened by labor and enervated by idleness.
Troops are not to be led to battle unless confident of success.
!summarize #socialmedia #predictions #digital
Part 1/12:
The Future of Social Media: Ten Bold Predictions
The landscape of social media is continuously evolving, pushing the boundaries of communication, connection, and engagement. Here, we outline ten bold predictions regarding the future of social media and how advancements in technology might shape our experiences.
1. Peer-to-Peer Lifecasting
Part 2/12:
Peer-to-peer lifecasting is poised to become the ultimate mode of social sharing, enabling individuals to broadcast their day-to-day lives in real time with unprecedented intimacy. Advanced neural interfaces and biosensors may allow viewers to not only see the life of someone else but also feel their physical sensations and emotional states. This immersive sharing could lead to increased empathy, cross-cultural understanding, and profound connections among users.
While these advancements could revolutionize various sectors including journalism and healthcare, they also prompt essential discussions around privacy, personal boundaries, and the ethics of sharing such intimate experiences.
2. Photorealistic Metaverse Nation-States
Part 3/12:
The transition of social media into photorealistic metaverse environments will redefine how users interact online. Major social media platforms are expected to develop unique virtual universes with distinct cultures and experiences. These metaverses could seamlessly integrate commerce, immersive performances, and interactive narratives, leading to sophisticated environments where influencer engagement extends beyond content creation to hosting live events and classes.
However, with the rise of hyper-realistic virtual experiences, concerns surrounding digital addiction and authenticity will necessitate careful navigation to maintain genuine human interactions.
3. AI Entities Outnumbering Human Users
Part 4/12:
With rapid advancements in artificial intelligence, social media platforms may soon be inhabited by complex AI entities that could outnumber human users. These AI personalities would engage in meaningful conversations, create content, and even serve as moderators, blurring the lines between human and artificial interactions.
This shift raises critical questions about identity, authenticity, and the rights of AI on digital platforms, prompting a reevaluation of the nature of social interactions.
4. Immersive Holographic Spaces
Part 5/12:
The emergence of immersive holographic spaces will redefine communication across distances. Users equipped with lightweight optical devices could engage in three-dimensional interactions with friends and colleagues, creating a sense of presence akin to physical gatherings.
These innovations open the door to highly customizable environments where personal and professional interactions can intermingle, while also promoting rich cultural exchanges. Yet, as virtual and physical presences become indistinguishable, the impact on interpersonal relationships will need careful consideration.
5. AI Social Twins
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AI social twins could revolutionize our online presence, allowing individuals to maintain engagement across multiple platforms simultaneously. Using years of user data, these digital doubles would handle various aspects of online interactions, maintaining authenticity while reducing the burdens of social media engagement.
Though convenient, this technology could complicate perceptions of authenticity in social media interactions, leading to discussions about when it is appropriate to deploy AI representations versus authentic human presence.
6. Memory Sharing Threads
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Memory sharing threads may introduce unprecedented intimacy in social media, allowing users to share their memories as vivid experiential clips. This transformation would redefine storytelling, empowering users to curate and share profound experiences in a manner that evokes genuine emotions and sensations.
While rich in potential for communication and education, this technology also raises ethical questions about consent, privacy, and the preservation of individual experiences in a collective memory landscape.
7. Global Emotional Graph
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The development of a global emotional graph could provide real-time insights into the emotional climate across various geographies. By aggregating data from social media posts, wearable devices, and environmental factors, this emotional mapping system could enable proactive responses to social phenomena, from public health interventions to disaster management.
Nonetheless, the potential misuse of this technology for manipulation or surveillance poses serious concerns that require robust regulations governing emotional data usage.
8. Social Media Dreamscapes
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Social media dreamscapes could emerge as virtual spaces allowing individuals to share and explore their dreams collaboratively. Utilizing advanced neural interfaces, these platforms could transform personal dreams into collective experiences, fostering unique connections in a shared subconscious environment.
While promising for therapeutic and creative potential, ethical considerations surrounding privacy and consent will be paramount in managing these intimate dream spaces.
9. Hyper-Personalized Reality Feeds
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Hyper-personalized reality feeds might curate content that aligns perfectly with individual users' emotional states and physical environments. This advanced AI technology could analyze users’ biometric signals to provide real-time, responsive experiences that cater to their immediate needs.
However, an over-reliance on personalization risks isolating users within echo chambers, necessitating careful balancing to ensure exposure to diverse viewpoints.
10. Time Dilated Social Spaces
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Time dilated social spaces have the potential to manipulate users' perceptions of time, allowing for extended social experiences within constrained real-world timeframes. Such technological breakthroughs could transform therapeutic and educational sessions, creating profound new dynamics in community engagement and connection.
As users may struggle to reconcile temporal discrepancies, society will need to establish new norms for relationships existing across different temporal experiences, ensuring harmonious integration between digital and physical interactions.
Part 12/12:
While these predictions may sound speculative, they reflect the rapid advancements in technology and the transformative potential they hold for the future of social media. As we navigate this evolving landscape, it will be paramount to balance innovation with ethical considerations, ensuring a digital realm that fosters genuine connection, understanding, and community.
!summarize #socialmedia #future #prediction #digital
Part 1/11:
The Trouble with Social Media: A Call for Change
In the current climate, social media has become both a marvel of technology that allows instant communication and a troubling entity contributing to various societal problems. While it has the potential to connect people globally and share diverse ideas, it has also morphed into a space rife with manipulative algorithms, data exploitation, and harmful censorship. A deeper exploration into the state of social media reveals its dual nature—providing a community while simultaneously ensnaring users in an addictive cycle that often leads to mental health issues.
The Dark Side of Social Media
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Social media platforms like TikTok, Instagram, and YouTube thrive on predatory algorithms designed to keep users glued to their screens, often at the expense of their well-being. These algorithms curate content in a way that prioritizes engagement over user health, leading to lower life satisfaction, anxiety, and depression among users who become increasingly hooked on short, dopamine-inducing videos. The negative consequences of social media addiction have been well-documented, with studies illustrating a direct correlation between heavy social media use and deteriorating mental health.
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Moreover, data privacy is a colossal concern. The revelation that companies like Meta harvest user data to target advertisements raises alarming questions about personal privacy and consent in exchange for "free" services. Consumers may feel trapped in a cycle where their online behavior dictates the blurred lines between privacy and capitalism, leading them to question the ethical implications of using these platforms.
Coercive Dependency: The Monopoly Effect
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Users often feel a powerful dependency on social media, exacerbated by the realization that abandoning these platforms would also mean losing their social connections and personalized content. This forced dependency is further aggravated by the monopolistic nature of social media giants like Meta and Google, who dominate user attention through their vast networks. Their power is so great that users struggle to find viable alternatives to maintain their social circles, even when they are fully aware of the exploitative nature of these platforms.
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The current social media landscape complicates the possibility of quitting altogether; many users remain bound to these networks for work or social engagements. Even if they find themselves yearning for a break from the incessant scroll, exiting can feel overwhelming due to both the fear of missing out and the sheer difficulty in completely disconnecting.
The Rise of Censorship and Extremism
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Amid these issues, the interplay of censorship and extremism comes to the forefront. Social media platforms have been criticized for their inconsistent moderation policies, which often silence marginalized voices while allowing harmful far-right rhetoric to flourish. The suppression of content related to sensitive topics like Palestine has garnered attention, highlighting how platforms can skew the narrative based on political agendas.
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Toxic, damaging content can quickly gain traction, while nuanced discussions and legitimate grievances are undermined. This troubling trend raises concerns about the role social media plays in enabling far-right extremism and the dissemination of hate speech. It seems that platforms benefit from the chaos, perpetuating engagement but ignoring the real-world implications of unchecked vitriol.
Towards a Better Social Media Future
The urgent need for an overhaul in how social media functions has led to discussions on potential solutions—a vision for a more socially responsible platform. Here are five guiding principles for developing a healthier social media ecosystem:
Part 8/11:
Control of Data and Identity: Users should regain control over their data, empowered to manage and export their information as they see fit. This could take the form of decentralized platforms where data is stored on individual devices rather than centralized servers.
Algorithmic Choice: Users should have the ability to select how content is algorithmically prioritized. Instead of being fed pre-determined narratives, individuals should be able to curate their feeds based on personal preferences, complemented by options that challenge the status quo.
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Enhanced Moderation: A more decentralized moderation approach could ensure that users dictate their own community standards. Instead of a one-size-fits-all moderation policy, users should have a voice in tailoring the dynamics of their online interactions.
Censorship Resistance: Social media should stand against censorship by external entities, including governmental forces. Platforms ought to provide safe havens for whistleblowers and activists, ensuring that critical discussions remain alive and robust.
Sustainability: Future social media solutions must prioritize environmental and financial sustainability. This includes operating on low-energy consumption models and minimizing the need for constant hardware upgrades, making them more accessible to all.
Part 10/11:
The stakes are high; the way social media operates has profound implications for our culture, wellness, and the world at large. Moving toward a solar punk future relies on our willingness to reform these platforms in ways that benefit society rather than exploit it. This vision of an equitable and engaging social media landscape is possible, but it requires collective action, innovation, and a commitment to change.
Conclusion: A Path Forward
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As the digital landscape continues to evolve, individuals must engage in this conversation, advocating for platforms that serve the people rather than the interests of a few. The current social media environment presents an opportunity for reform—one that invites us to envision healthier, more sustainable ways to connect with one another. How do we collectively navigate this pivot in our ever-evolving online world? It's time to rethink social media, from algorithmic mechanisms to the ethical implications of data harvesting, leading us closer to a socially responsible future.
An army unsupplied with grain and other necessary provisions will be vanquished without striking a blow.
A general whose troops are superior both in number and bravery should engage in the oblong square, which is the first formation.
He who judges himself inferior should advance his right wing obliquely against the enemy's left. This is the second formation.
If your left wing is strongest, you must attack the enemy's right according to the third formation.
The general who can depend on the discipline of his men should begin the engagement by attacking both the enemy's wings at once, the fourth formation.
He whose light infantry is good should cover his center by forming them in its front and charge both the enemy's wings at once. This is the fifth formation.
We expect the impact of AGI to be uneven. Although some industries will change very little, scientific progress will likely be much faster than it is today; this impact of AGI may surpass everything else.
The price of many goods will eventually fall dramatically (right now, the cost of intelligence and the cost of energy constrain a lot of things), and the price of luxury goods and a few inherently limited resources like land may rise even more dramatically.
Technically speaking, the road in front of us looks fairly clear. But public policy and collective opinion on how we should integrate AGI into society matter a lot; one of our reasons for launching products early and often is to give society and the technology time to co-evolve.
The first step in that direction will be the release of GPT-4.5, known internally as "Orion."
Expected to be coming within the following weeks and months as confirmed by Altman—it will be OpenAI's last model built upon the traditional GPT technology, which is basically the ChatGPT we all know and love.
The real transformation will come with GPT-5, which is supposed to incorporate all of OpenAI's technologies, including the capabilities of the unreleased o3 model.
He who cannot depend either on the number or courage of his troops, if obliged to engage, should begin the action with his right and endeavor to break the enemy's left, the rest of his army remaining formed in a line perpendicular to the front and extended to the rear like a javelin. This is the sixth formation.
If your forces are few and weak in comparison to the enemy, you must make use of the seventh formation and cover one of your flanks either with an eminence, a city, the sea, a river or some protection of that kind.
When an enemy's spy lurks in the camp, order all your soldiers in the day time to their tents, and he will instantly be apprehended.
Consult with many on proper measures to be taken, but communicate the plans you intend to put in execution to few, and those only of the most assured fidelity; or rather trust no one but yourself.
Punishment, and fear thereof, are necessary to keep soldiers in order in quarters; but in the field they are more influenced by hope and rewards.
Good officers never engage in general actions unless induced by opportunity or obliged by necessity.”
In 55 B.C, the German tribes Usipetes and Tenctheri crossed the Rhine to the Roman occupied west bank and plundered corn they found there. Crossing back over they joined forces with the Sugambri tribe. When Caesar sent an embassy to the Sugambri and asked that the culprits be returned to him, the response was that the Rhine was the limit of Roman authority. Simultaneously, the Ubii tribe, an ally of Rome, asked for help against the Suebi tribe who were harassing them.
Caesar, deciding he had enough reasons to cross the Rhine, planned an expedition to attack the Sugambri.
AI will seep into all areas of the economy and society; we will expect everything to be smart. Many of us expect to need to give people more control over the technology than we have historically, including open-sourcing more, and accept that there is a balance between safety and individual empowerment that will require trade-offs.
While we never want to be reckless and there will likely be some major decisions and limitations related to AGI safety that will be unpopular, directionally, as we get closer to achieving AGI, we believe that trending more towards individual empowerment is important; the other likely path we can see is AI being used by authoritarian governments to control their population through mass surveillance and loss of autonomy.
The 2024 New York Mets turned in one of the bigger surprise seasons in franchise history, riding an incredible 100-game finish to the third National League Wild Card spot and two playoff series wins before eventually falling to the future world champion Los Angeles Dodgers in the National League Championship Series. Not many saw a deep playoff run coming from the Mets, as the team entered the year with an over/under win total slightly above the .500 mark at most sportsbooks.
The Mets let postseason hero Daniel Murphy walk to the division rival Washington Nationals, however, and did not do much to supplement their roster otherwise. Their winter was largely quiet, focusing on retention rather than upgrading. On the premise that the team would improve with their young talent and other prospects on the way, the Mets’ only true upgrade came with the addition of Cabrera at short.
The 2016 Mets ended up sneaking into the playoffs as a Wild Card team, where they’d lose in historic and dramatic fashion to Madison Bumgarner and the San Francisco Giants, and would not make the playoffs again until 2022. Despite their loaded crop of young talent, strong job of retaining talent and a hungry roster, the Mets would never get “back” to where they were in 2015, which remains the team’s most recent pennant.
Regardless, those three teams are the perfect examples of good processes: teams that built upon their upstart seasons, added star power when the timing was right, and for two of them, winnings titles was the result.
The Mets still have work to do and are not far removed from a 90-loss season. However, with the duo of Stearns and owner Steve Cohen in charge, the Mets found the perfect time to jump on the free agent market and execute an incredibly aggressive winter. In the end, the Mets walk away with likely the second-best offseason haul in baseball, next to the Dodgers.
The Mets used the right processes this winter by waiting out key markets and now figure to be one of the World Series favorites in 2025. It might not have always been the most fun winter, and it was assuredly more stressful than others, but they made every move they needed to make while compiling one of their most complete rosters in recent memory.
Sen. Rick Scott (R-Fla.) has tied himself closely to Trump and, as chairman of the Senate Banking Committee, used his opening remarks at the hearing on Feb. 5, to echo the president's sentiment.
"It is incredibly alarming and disheartening to hear stories about financial institutions cutting off services to digital asset firms, political figures, and conservative-aligned businesses and individuals," Scott said.
Nathan McCauley, co-founder and chief executive officer of Anchorage Digital Bank, during a Senate Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs Committee hearing in Washington, DC, US, on Wednesday, Feb. 5, 2025.
Trump is paying them back in a variety of ways.
His executive order on crypto promises "fair and open access" to financial services. And Trump appointed venture capitalist David Sacks, a longtime ally of Elon Musk, as the White House's first AI and crypto czar.
Meanwhile, the SEC has already signaled a rollback of rules that previously kept banks from holding bitcoin on their balance sheets, and the FDIC is under pressure to revise guidelines that made it harder for banks to serve digital asset companies.
Among the Choke Point incidents that most caught the ire of crypto investors were the forced closures of Silvergate Bank and Signature Bank in 2023, following the meltdown at Sam Bankman Fried's FTX months earlier. Silvergate and Signature were the leading FDIC-insured banks for crypto firms.
Silvergate Capital, the bank's parent, acknowledged in its bankruptcy filing last year that there had been a "rapid contraction" of it business in early 2023, but said it had "stabilized" and was able to "meet regulatory capital requirements" and "had the capability to continue to serve its customers."
!summarize #rocket #scientist #irondome #unitedstates
Part 1/9:
Modernizing America's Defense: The Future of Missile Defense
In a recent interview, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth discussed the critical need to update America's nuclear triad, emphasizing the importance of missile defense systems akin to Israel's Iron Dome. This call for modernization includes the establishment of a new defense mechanism that would enhance the United States' ability to protect its homeland against a variety of evolving threats, particularly from nations like North Korea, China, and Russia.
The Iron Dome Metaphor
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Hegseth's discussion centered on President Trump’s executive order concerning the design and implementation of this new missile defense system, which some have informally referred to as the "Iron Dome for America." However, Ari Sacher, a senior policy advisor and rocket scientist with over 30 years of experience in the Israeli defense industry, clarified that while the term "Iron Dome" serves as a metaphor, the United States requires a fundamentally different solution for homeland defense.
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He explained that the existing Iron Dome is designed to protect relatively small geographical areas, specifically against threats launched from distances of about 40 miles, as seen in its use against rocket attacks from Gaza and Lebanon. This, he argues, is insufficient for the vast geographic expanse that the United States must defend, and the complexity of the threats it faces.
Space-Based Interceptors: A Proposed Solution
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Sacher suggested that the U.S. should look towards "space-based interceptors" as an advanced way to counter incoming threats. By deploying interceptors into outer space, defense systems could address rockets launched from significant distances, including those from hostile nations far from American shores. The notion of space-based defense is particularly enticing because it leverages existing U.S. capabilities in engineering and technology and reflects a potentially transformative approach to national security.
He expressed confidence that with adequate funding and resources, U.S. scientists are well-equipped to develop an effective system that would surpass current defensive measures.
Investment Opportunities in Defense Technology
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The implications of these advancements could extend beyond military efficacy; they are likely to stimulate significant investment in related technologies. As Sacher pointed out, there are many ancillary technological fields that would require attention, from drones to cutting-edge defense strategies. The dialogue encourages a belief that this renewed focus on missile defense could spawn a cohort of investors keen on backing innovations within the defense sector.
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Central to this endeavor would be achieving a more nuanced understanding of the strategic "sky picture"—identifying who the potential enemies are and understanding their intentions. Successfully overcoming this challenge would enable the U.S. to improve its ground level operations as well, translating these advancements into broader applications such as disaster management and infrastructural defense.
The Role of U.S. Military Support for Israel
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Recent developments in U.S.-Israel relations further underline the importance and urgency of these defense initiatives. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has expressed his gratitude toward President Trump for being a steadfast ally of Israel, particularly as the U.S. plans to deliver $7 billion in new weapons to Israel. These arms are integral not only for Israel’s defensive posture but also serve to reinforce its offensive capabilities in ongoing conflicts.
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The conversation explored the nuance between merely not losing a war and achieving a decisive victory through the imposition of force. Sacher reiterated that advanced and impactful weaponry is critical to securing a tangible advantage over adversaries. This sentiment highlights an urgent need for the U.S. to continue its support for Israel in acquiring powerful armaments that can effectively respond to threats.
Conclusion: A Vision for Advanced National Defense
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As discussions on defense modernization unfold, it becomes clear that the U.S. finds itself at a pivotal moment where the evolution of its missile defense capabilities will shape its strategic landscape. The synergy between technological innovation and military preparedness remains a focal point, as leaders push for initiatives that ensure the safety and security of the nation and its allies.
The nation's commitment to enhancing its defensive infrastructure, particularly through visionary concepts like space-based interceptors and solid support for allies like Israel, lays the groundwork for a more resilient and proactive defense strategy that feels increasingly necessary in an unpredictable global environment.
The upper photo is a view from 16 miles up, showing the Dead Sea; below it is the fortress from 10,000 feet. At Masada one finds no water or vegetation, only heat. It sits in the Desert of Judah stretching from 21 miles west at Hebron to the Dead Sea, where the Jordan River ends. Masada is a lozenge-shaped table mountain 730 yards long and 215 yards wide, sitting 440 feet above the Dead Sea. Its main access point is a steep old road from the east called the Snake Path.
Masada was one of the three treasuries of King Herod, who also had a small palace there. Fortified by Jonathan, brother of Judas Maccabeus circa 140 B.C, protected by a Jewish garrison until the establishment of Judea as a Roman province in 6 A.D, and retaken by the Jewish soldiers under Manaemus during the confusion of the Jewish revolt of 66 A.D, it was overrun by the Sicarii in 70 A.D. Under their leader, Eleazar, the Sicarii set about terrorizing the surrounding territory.
!summarize #davidletterman #latenight #television
Part 1/6:
The Decline of Late Night Television: A Cultural Commentary
Late night television is experiencing a noticeable downturn, as comedians struggle to retain their audiences amidst crashing ratings and increasing competition. This decline was recently highlighted by David Letterman's surprise appearance on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon, marking the first time in nearly three decades that he had graced the set. The tone of this visit was far from celebratory; it served as a comedic yet sobering indictment of the current state of late night comedy.
A New Era of Comedy
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In a culture where humor once served as a unifying force, late night television has devolved into what many perceive as partisan fare. The expectation for late-night hosts to critique the powerful has been replaced by scripted, safe comedy that is more focused on ideological branding than on genuine entertainment. Letterman’s reluctance to read the flat jokes written for Fallon during their skit sharply underscored this reality; it posed as a flippant acknowledgment that much of what passes for comedy today simply isn’t funny.
The Rise of Alternative Formats
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Ratings numbers reveal a stark picture for traditional late night formats. Greg Gutfeld has emerged as a ratings leader, lonely in his success while the likes of Jimmy Kimmel, Trevor Noah, and Fallon himself see their numbers plummet. Specifically, ratings indicate that Late Night with Seth Meyers is down 13.6%, Kimmel is down 12%, and Fallon has suffered a staggering drop of nearly 177%. The cultural conversation is shifting rapidly; audiences are turning to developing platforms, from streaming services to social media, for their humor and commentary.
A Loss of Shared Cultural Experience
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Historically, late-night television has been a place where viewers from varying backgrounds could gather around the television, share laughter, and briefly escape their daily worries. Late-night shows became the “watering holes” of society, where partisanship took a back seat to comedy and shared experiences. Unfortunately, today’s late night shows have largely abandoned this role, as they cater to a specific audience while alienating potential viewers. The only remaining unifying cultural event appears to be the Super Bowl, once a source of common ground among diverse audiences.
The Necessity of Change
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Panelists in the discussion assert that a fundamental shift is needed in late night comedy if it is to regain relevance. Current hosts must move away from political commentary and towards a more relatable, entertaining format. The need for laughter and genuine humor should outweigh the desire to serve as mouthpieces for corporate interests or political agendas. Without this pivot, television audiences may continue to turn away from what was once a staple of American culture.
Conclusion: A Call for Authenticity
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The conversation encapsulated in this analysis calls for a reevaluation of the purpose and presentation of late-night television. As comedians like Letterman stand as a relic of a more unified, humor-driven approach, today’s hosts must confront their disconnect with the audience and the current cultural landscape. It is time to acknowledge and address the realities of a polarized entertainment environment. Failure to adapt to the changing tastes and preferences of the audience may signify the final curtain for traditional late night shows, rendering them obsolete in favor of platforms that are more willing to engage audiences authentically and humorously.
"it's a brand new day for crypto in America," said David Marcus, the former head of crypto at Meta and current CEO of infrastructure startup Lightspark, in an interview with CNBC's "Squawk Box" last week. What's happening under Trump, he said, is "quite a polarity flip of atmosphere and energy for our entire industry."
Trump Media debuted on Nasdaq under the ticker "DJT" last March, completing its merger with Digital World Acquisition Corp. The stock nearly doubled in value in 2024, with its namesake, Donald Trump, winning the U.S. presidential election in November. As of Friday's close, the stock was down about 11% year to date giving it a market capitalization of $6.59 billion.
As of Friday, a trust where President Trump is the sole beneficiary owns 52% of the voting power of the company's stock, the filing states.
Trump publishes posts on Truth Social, where he has 8.9 million followers. On X, owned by Tesla CEO Elon Musk, who has been helping with the Trump administration's Department of Government Efficiency, Trump has 100.9 million followers.
Trump Media now has $776.8 million in cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments, with $9.6 million in debt.
"You cannot get away from the anti-union propaganda or being surveilled, because when you walk into work they have cameras all over the building," said Medelius-Marsano, who is an organizer with CAUSE. "You can't get into work without scanning a badge or logging into a machine. That's how they track you."
CAUSE representatives have also made their pitch to RDU1 employees. The union has set up a "CAUSE HQ" tent across the street from the warehouse and disbursed leaflets in the facility's break room.
!summarize #islam #Joerogan #gadsaad #religion
Part 1/8:
Understanding Anti-Semitism: Insights from Joe Rogan and Gad Saad
In a recent conversation between Joe Rogan and Gad Saad, a Lebanese Jewish professor, the discussion explored the subject of anti-Semitism and its pervasive nature in various communities. They approached the topic from two distinct angles, shedding light on the intricate realities of anti-Semitic sentiment both in the Middle East and within Western societies.
The Existential Threat of Israel
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Saad began by explaining that the very existence of the Jewish state in the Middle East is viewed as an existential threat by many in the Islamic world. Drawing comparisons to the diminishing presence of Christians in Arab countries, Saad illustrated how previous populations have been drastically reduced or have faced persecution over the years. He argues that Islamic ideology, not individual Muslims, plays a significant role in this historical context.
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The concept of Dar al-Islam and Dar al-Harb — the idea that territories are either controlled by Islam or are considered to be at war — underscores the belief among some that reclaiming lost lands, such as Israel, is a religious obligation. Saad highlights how such ideologies inhibit the potential for peace, given that the narrative perpetuates animosity and a refusal to coexist with Jewish communities.
The Varied Nature of Anti-Semitism
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The conversation delved deeper as Saad clarified that anti-Semitism manifests in very different forms across distinct communities. While acknowledging the negative attitudes some Jews may have towards Palestinians, he emphasized that the systemic and culturally engrained hatred towards Jews from many in the Islamic world is more profound. Saad noted the regularity with which anti-Jewish sentiment is expressed among certain communities, suggesting an overwhelming tendency to blame Jews for various global issues.
The dynamics of blame were highlighted with humor through Saad’s "Six Degrees of Jew" game, which illustrates how easily any calamity can be correlated back to Jews in the narratives held within particular circles.
The Narrative and Reality Disconnect
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One of the central themes brought up was the misconception surrounding the Palestinian desire for peaceful coexistence with Israel. Saad argued that Western narratives frequently misrepresent the intentions of Palestinians, often asserting that their goal is to establish a state parallel to Israel. He surmised that the reality is far removed from these narratives, with many Palestinians actively advocating for the removal of Jews altogether.
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This stark contrast lays bare the fundamental challenge in addressing anti-Semitism — the disconnect between how issues are perceived in the West and the realities on the ground. Saad asserts that the historical and theological context that drives anti-Jewish sentiment is deeply entrenched, making any attempts at reconciliation or coexistence especially challenging.
The Insidious Nature of Anti-Semitism in the West
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Shifting focus, the conversation examined the more subdued yet pervasive anti-Semitic sentiments present in Western culture. Saad described a insipid form of anti-Semitism where Jews are often held collectively responsible for a multitude of societal ills through unfounded conspiracy theories. Such biases, often subconscious, can lead individuals to adopt paradoxical views that rationalize blame towards Jews, despite the logical inconsistencies present in their beliefs.
Conclusion: The Dangers of Anti-Semitism
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Throughout this candid dialogue, both Rogan and Saad underscored that all forms of anti-Semitism — whether overt or insidious — are not only disgusting but pose extreme dangers to societies at large. Recognizing the complex layers contributing to these beliefs is crucial for any hope of addressing and combating the hatred that has persisted throughout history. As Saad poignantly articulated, understanding and dismantling these narratives is imperative to curtail the spread of anti-Semitism and fostering a more inclusive world.
Union elections at other Amazon warehouses in New York have finished in defeat in recent years, while the results of a union drive at an Alabama facility are being contested. Organizers have pointed to Amazon's near-constant monitoring of employees as both a catalyst and a deterrent of union campaigns.
The NLRB has 343 open or settled unfair labor practice charges filed with the agency against Amazon, its subsidiaries and contracted delivery companies in the U.S., a spokesperson said.
!summarize #tragedyofcommons #gametheory #mathematics #math #strategies
Part 1/8:
Understanding the Tragedy of the Commons: Insights from Elinor Ostrom
The struggle to share resources is a fundamental issue that humanity faces. When confronted with a common resource, such as drinking water, the instinct of many is to prioritize individual gain, often leading to depletion of the resource. This pervasive tendency, known as the Tragedy of the Commons, illustrates the conflict between individual interests and collective welfare. Over the years, this phenomenon has been a subject of extensive study in game theory—an area concerning the strategic decision-making of individuals.
The Concept of the Tragedy of the Commons
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Coined by ecologist Garrett Hardin in 1968, the phrase Tragedy of the Commons encapsulates a scenario where individuals exploit shared resources at their own expense, inadvertently leading to collective decline. Hardin's example of ranchers sharing a grazing field highlights the core issue: as each rancher increases their cattle herd for personal profit, the shared grassland becomes overgrazed, diminishing the resource for everyone involved. This grim cycle, he argues, is a hard truth about human nature; individual selfishness often prevails, ultimately resulting in failure for the entire group.
Decades passed with a consensus built around Hardin's perspective, echoing a pessimistic view of human behavior as inherently selfish, yielding little hope for change.
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Elinor Ostrom's Groundbreaking Research
However, the narrative began to shift in the 1990s and early 2000s when political scientist and economist Elinor Ostrom ventured into this terrain. She sought solutions to the Tragedy of the Commons, challenging prevailing assumptions through empirical research.
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As a graduate student, Ostrom's journey began in Los Angeles, where she examined water usage in a city marked by scarcity. Her findings were pivotal—communities that communicated about their collective needs were more successful in managing their shared resources. When individuals made decisions regarding water extraction in isolation, depletion was inevitable. Still, through collaboration and open dialogue, groups could establish effective regulations that prevented resource overuse, demonstrating that communication is a powerful dynamic in mitigating the Tragedy.
Real-World Applications and Lessons
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The efficacy of cooperation reached beyond Ostrom's water studies; she expanded her research to various shared resources, including forests, oceans, and even public roads. Roads serve as an accessible example of a depletable resource. During rush hour, when everyone opts for personal vehicles, traffic congestion ensues, dampening commute efficiency for all.
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Ostrom pointed out the importance of infrastructure—implementing public transportation systems can address this issue. Buses, subways, and light rail can significantly reduce the number of cars on the road, illustrating how convenience in infrastructure can lead to cooperative resource sharing. When alternatives like reliable public transit are made available, more people are inclined to utilize them, leading to faster commutes and decreased congestion.
Incentives and Regulations
Moreover, Ostrom highlighted that effective incentives play a crucial role in averting the Tragedy of the Commons. Her studies extended to industries such as lobstering in Maine, where she examined the impact of penalties and rules on resource management.
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For example, cities like Seattle and Washington, D.C. have implemented fees for disposable plastic bags, motivating individuals to reduce their usage. Such small taxes can drastically cut down resource depletion, as people dislike the inconvenience of paying for something they own. Similarly, in the corporate world, carbon taxes aim to make businesses more accountable for their emissions, indirectly incentivizing them to adopt sustainable practices.
A Path Towards Sustainability
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Ostrom's work emphasizes that while the Tragedy of the Commons presents formidable challenges, it is not an inevitable ordeal. Her Nobel Prize-winning research indicated that self-governance and strategic collaboration can lead communities towards sustainable management of shared resources. The ability for individuals to come together and devise regulations that suit their context can produce significant benefits, fostering resilience against over-extraction and depletion.
Through this lens, the focus shifts from a fatalistic view of human nature to a hopeful perspective on human potential. By recognizing the power of communication and collaborative reasoning, we can navigate the complexities of resource sharing, proving that the future holds promise if we choose to strategize together.
Humans literally evolved to live in small communities who had to share both resources among themselves and hunting/foraging ranges with other communities. For most of our species' time on Earth, the health of the community was the health of the individual. We literally evolved shame and embarrassment specifically to better understand when we were stepping on each other's toes, emotions you rarely see outside of dogs and other species in a similar position. The tragedy of the commons is entirely a money thing, where the individual can both siphon resources from other communities and hide how much resources they're actually sitting on. It is not fundamental to the human condition.
"Where 100 years ago in a factory you would've had a supervisor come around to tell you if you're slacking off, now in a modern warehouse like Amazon, you're tracked digitally through a scanner," Starn said.
The arguments over what this image tells us about the rower positioning are on-going.
Many historians assert the three types were placed along each side of the ship at three levels bottom to top and superimposed over each other, but this configuration is problematic. Collisions between the oars were likely and the requirement for longer oars for oarsmen farther from the water sacrificed mechanical advantage because of the inefficient angle of attack.
Regarding multiple rowers per oar we take Thucydides word (Book 2, 93.2) that each rower during the Peloponnesian War used one oar.
That leaves us with the rowers seated next to each other as the remaining option. Let us look at some quotes from those who have made a contribution to solving the mystery.
Workers at an Amazon warehouse outside St. Louis, Missouri, filed an NLRB complaint in May. The employees accused Amazon of using "intrusive algorithms" that track when they're working to discourage them from organizing, The Guardian reported.
The employees withdrew their complaint on Tuesday. Hards disputed the workers' claims.
However, the Trump administration is attempting to purge the NLRB, with the president firing the chair of the organization on his first day in office last month. Trump has put Musk, a notorious opponent of unions, in charge of the so-called Department of Government Efficiency, with the goal of cutting government costs and slashing regulations.
!summarize #jpmorgan #stocks #investing
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Jamie Dimon's Warning: Analyzing Predictions of a 2025 Market Collapse
In a recent commentary, Jamie Dimon, the CEO of JPMorgan Chase, raised concerns regarding the U.S. stock market, predicting a potential collapse by 2025. This alert is significant, considering the inflationary trends and risks facing the global economy. Tom, from the YouTube channel Chasing Success, elaborated on these issues and their implications for investors.
Understanding the Inflation Surge
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Dimon's caution stems from notable increases in inflation, which has seen a steady climb over the last five months. Since bottoming at 2.4% in September, inflation rates have ticked up sequentially, now standing at 3% as of January. This increase in inflation is alarming for stock market stability, hinting at deeper economic issues that could lead to broader market downturns.
Consequently, attention also turns to the Federal Reserve's recent actions regarding the federal funds rate. After aggressive hikes throughout 2022, a strategy aimed at controlling inflation, the Fed maintained a steady rate into 2023. However, recent cuts could prompt renewed inflation pressures, reminiscent of economic patterns observed in the 1970s and 1980s.
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Historical Context: The 1970s and 1980s Inflation Scenarios
Tom draws attention to historical parallels, highlighting how the Federal Reserve’s attempts to cut rates during the 1970s resulted in unforeseen spikes in inflation. In a bid to reverse poor economic conditions, the Fed repeatedly shifted strategies, with rates peaking at an astounding 19% while inflation soared beyond 12%. This scenario led to three consecutive recessions, creating a cycle of booms and busts that investors today are wary of repeating.
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This historical analogy underscores the current fears about inflation returning with similar ferocity and possibly leading to multiple market crashes again. Dimon shared his persisting concern about rising inflation and the potential for drastic rate hikes to stabilize the economy.
Asset Valuations at Record Highs
In addition to inflation risks, Dimon noted that asset prices are currently at or near all-time highs. According to him, they fall within the top 10-15% of historical valuations, mirroring situations that preceded previous financial crises, notably in 2000 and 2008. With the S&P 500 index reportedly achieving a 166% gain over the last five years, including a significant correction in 2022, this raises questions about the sustainability of such growth.
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Moreover, Tom reported that the S&P 500 recorded back-to-back annual gains of over 20% in 2023 and 2024, an occurrence not seen for over 25 years. This oversensitivity to market corrections indicates a potentially precarious balancing act for future investor confidence.
Overvaluation of Stocks
Compounding these issues are concerns surrounding individual stock valuations. An example discussed was Palantir Technologies, which reportedly features a staggering price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 402, well above traditional thresholds for overvaluation. In Tom's assessment, this is a worrying sign, as it parallels levels seen in other tech companies before significant market crashes.
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Comparisons were also drawn between current tech giants like Nvidia and Cisco during the tech bubble of the early 2000s. While Nvidia's P/E ratio stands at a markedly lower rate in comparison to Cisco's historical highs, Palantir's valuation reflects a warning comparable to those leading into prior crashes.
The Broader Economic Outlook
As concerns mounted over inflation and asset valuations, other financial leaders echoed Dimon’s sentiments. Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon acknowledged the inflated stock market environment, acting as a further reinforcement of Dimon's cautionary stance.
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With an overall S&P 500 P/E ratio creeping towards levels seen during earlier economic downturns, the alarms are ringing across financial markets. Investors should remain vigilant in considering these trends, as a potential economic downturn looms on the horizon.
Conclusion: Staying Informed
The commentary by Jamie Dimon and the supporting analysis by Tom serve as an important reminder of the market's fluctuations over time. Investors are encouraged to stay informed about these trends and assess their strategies accordingly. The specter of inflation coupled with high asset valuations holds substantial implications for market stability, making 2025 potentially pivotal for investors looking to navigate through economic turbulence.
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As the financial landscape continues to evolve, discussions around these warnings become critical, offering insights into the complexities of managing investments in uncertain times. It becomes increasingly important for observers to remain engaged and proactive as they interpret these significant trends in the marketplace.
The Punic Wars fought between Rome and the Carthaginian Empire comprised three separate encounters over 118 years, starting in 264 B.C. and ending in 146 B.C. The first was a battle for control of Sicily, the second the famous war with Hannibal, and the third resulted in the destruction of the Carthaginians. The first war, which we will concentrate on here, saw the initial efforts by Rome to deploy naval forces and use them in battle. The fact that Sicily is an island made this war as much about navies as armies.
!summarize #kansascity #chiefs #nfl
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Kansas City Chiefs Face Uncertain Offseason After Super Bowl Loss
The Kansas City Chiefs concluded the 2024 NFL regular season with an impressive 15-2 record, making their fifth Super Bowl appearance in six years. However, their attempt to claim another championship was thwarted by a formidable Philadelphia Eagles team, who convincingly defeated them 40-22 in a game that felt much more lopsided than the score suggests. Despite quarterback Patrick Mahomes’ respectable performance of 257 yards and three touchdowns, these stats were largely compiled during a desperate comeback in what is often termed "garbage time."
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The Chiefs' disappointing loss raises questions about what lies ahead for the organization this offseason. While they have enjoyed success over recent years, including multiple championships, the Chiefs may face significant challenges as they look to rebuild and restructure their roster.
The Chiefs’ Recent Success: A Model of Drafting Excellence
One vital aspect of the Chiefs’ sustained success has been their adeptness in drafting talent, particularly in the years following their victory in Super Bowl 55. Throughout 2021 and 2022, the Chiefs demonstrated a remarkable ability to unearth remarkable prospects, enabling the organization to maintain competitive depth while managing salary cap constraints.
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In contrast to teams like the Detroit Lions, who have made noise in the recent drafts with high picks, Kansas City’s success has been rooted in finding gems late in the process. Players like Creed Humphrey and Trent McDuffy are prime examples, both becoming pivotal contributors while still on rookie contracts.
When collectively managed, the cap hits of these young stars only amount to a fraction of what established players command. This financial structure has allowed the Chiefs to navigate the competitive landscape of the NFL, finding ways to balance both performance and payroll effectively.
The Reality of Salary Cap Management
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As impressive as their drafting has been, past success does not shield Kansas City from the inevitable challenges of a competitive salary cap environment. With significant contracts to assess, the Chiefs face tough decisions in retaining their core players moving forward. Although Mahomes remains locked into a long-term deal that gives the team flexibility to maneuver within the cap structure, impending contract negotiations for key players from their recent draft classes could lead to financial strains.
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Those who closely monitor the situation recognize that the additions of big-money contracts for players like Mahomes will result in crucial decisions needed to be made surrounding other key contributors. Specifically, stars like Travis Kelce may soon become a point of contention, particularly if they do not reflect performances worthy of their hefty contracts.
Offseason Strategies: Potential Departures and Arrivals
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As the offseason unfolds, Chiefs fans must brace themselves for potential roster changes. Specifically, the team is at risk of losing valuable players like guard Trey Smith in free agency, as financial commitments to other positions take precedence. Teams around the league are likely salivating at the prospect of acquiring young talents released by successful teams, and the Chiefs must make difficult decisions on whom to prioritize.
To mitigate such losses, the team will need to focus on strategic acquisitions through both free agency and the draft. There is optimism, however, that the Chiefs can add impactful talent, particularly along the offensive line and defensive trenches.
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With only six draft picks to work with, the Chiefs must maximize their selections, likely prioritizing offensive tackles in the upcoming draft. Identifying young talent and packaging picks for strategic trades could be key to filling gaps left by free agency departures.
Outlook for the Future
Despite the challenges posed by a Super Bowl loss and potential roster turnover, the Kansas City Chiefs are far from being in panic mode. With Mahomes just 29 years old and still in the prime of his career, the franchise remains well-poised for continued success.
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The Chiefs' ability to replenish their roster through smart drafting and by leveraging cap flexibility allows for a sustainable path forward. In a competitive division where the Chiefs have historically excelled, the future remains bright.
As the Chiefs look to reload rather than rebuild, fans can remain hopeful that the organization will reemerge as a contender in the coming seasons. The key will be adapting to changes while exploring new avenues to enhance their already potent roster next season and beyond.
Thanks to you, I now have realistic expectations for this bull run. I entered crypto earlier last year, and your insights on cycles and market connections have been invaluable. I now understand how global markets impact crypto, so I'm watching traditional market tops closely. Without your guidance, I’d probably be holding blindly instead of actively managing my positions. Growing my portfolio from 69k to 451k in a few months has been incredible. Special thanks to Albert Freeman for his expertise, which has been essential in navigating this complex landscape.
The Retail, Wholesale and Department Store Union, which sought to represent BHM1 workers, has said the AtoZ app can access a user's GPS, photos, camera, microphone and WiFi-connection information. The union also claims that "Amazon can sell the data collected to any third party companies and that data cannot be deleted." The technology raises several concerns, including that it may suppress "the right to organize," RWDSU said.
Hards said the RWDSU's claims are inaccurate and denied that the company sells any data affiliated with AtoZ use. She said AtoZ users must give the app permission to access things like their GPS location.
#china #northkorea !summarize #highspeedrail #train #infrastructure
Part 1/11:
The Illusion of Infrastructure: China's Unfinished Projects
China's ambitious infrastructure initiatives have often been presented as a hallmark of national pride and progress. Yet, an unprecedented number of projects remain unfinished, revealing deeper economic troubles and the consequences of mismanagement. A striking example is the stalled light rail project in Lzo, which encapsulates the challenges faced by local governments and the impact on everyday citizens.
The Lzo Light Rail Project: A Monument to Mismanagement
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The Lzo light rail project was heralded as a transformative urban upgrade, with an impressive investment of 18.6 billion yuan allocated for seven lines spanning 227 kilometers. Construction began in 2017 with high hopes, but nearly eight years later, only skeletal pillars remain - dubbed the "pillars of illusion" - standing as a testament to grand intentions unmet. Instead of alleviating urban congestion, these abandoned structures have worsened traffic conditions, extending commutes by 15 to 20 minutes for many residents, revealing that the project has left deep scars on the city’s landscape.
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As of November 2024, the Lzo Rail Transit Investment and Development Group announced plans to dismantle these structures. Videos of the demolition circulated online, igniting frustration among locals questioning the waste of their tax dollars in the construction and subsequent teardown of these pillars. The removal process, fraught with its own challenges, requires a careful approach to limit disruptions, costing approximately 100,000 yuan per pillar and taking around two hours each to dismantle. This dilemma highlights not just physical structures at odds with their environment but also the financial debris left in their wake.
Economic Consequences: A Full-Scale Collapse
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The Lzo light rail project’s demise is reflective of broader economic challenges. The project stalled largely due to funding issues, leaving local residents bearing the brunt of a staggering 220 billion yuan in interest-bearing debt, the highest in Guang Province. This financial burden led to severe repercussions for local officials. Executives such as former party secretary Zen Jun Kung and former mayor Wu Wei were removed from their posts and prosecuted, with Wu receiving a death sentence with a two-year reprieve.
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Local government debt has become a pressing issue across China, prompting scrutiny of the fiscal responsibility surrounding projects like high-speed rail upgrades. With lawmakers under pressure, concerns have emerged over accountability. As reports surfaced indicating that at least 26 high-speed rail stations remain underutilized, the flaws in planning and execution of these massive projects became undeniable.
Ghost Stations: A National Crisis
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The issue extends beyond Lzo into multiple cities encountering similar fates with their infrastructure. In Guin, a city was forced to close the Wuang station after just four years due to poor location and low passenger counts. Recent footage of the colossal Shong An station, purported to be the largest high-speed rail station in Asia, unveiled an eerily deserted facility amid low train traffic and sparse population in the area. Visitors detailed their unease at the hollow environment, wondering about the investment made into structures void of purpose or patrons.
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In another layer of this crisis, the unfinished Zeni Expressway, a 33-kilometer highway linking Yunan and Guazo, stands as a mute witness to similar failures. Burdened by overgrown vegetation and unrestored infrastructure, the project halted in 2022 amidst a deepening financial crash, chasing many migrant workers from unpaid contracts.
A Cycle of Waste: Public Outcry
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The widespread occurrence of abandoned infrastructure has led to a growing public outcry. Frustration is mounting among citizens who perceive their governments as failing to address these failures effectively. Many point to the absurdity of a reality where there is no funding for new projects or for their demolition and a lack of responsibility for ongoing waste. The tension lies in how a system prioritizes grandiose plans driven more by political ambitions than actual market demand, with resources squandered in pursuit of unsubstantiated growth.
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Historically, key infrastructural projects initiated under Xi Jinping’s leadership have crumbled due to lack of essential feasibilities and genuine resource assessment. This misalignment has created relentless cycles of debt and unfulfilled ambitions, leaving once-hopeful projects on the sidelines of irrelevance. As political factors further complicate these projects, investment strategies are shattered by the realities of public need.
The Broader Picture: Debt and Accountability
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The decline in local government funding has led to calls for accountability, especially in light of the mounting debts threatening economic stability. In February 2024, China’s State Council mandated the sale of government assets to manage local debts, thereby restricting new projects until repayment strategies are established. A temporary debt relief plan was launched to tackle the deepening crisis; yet, skepticism regarding the effectiveness of these measures persists.
China's infrastructure narrative is marred by the increasing visibility of unneeded structures and stalled construction plans—each ghost of progress evoking public scrutiny that demands deeper introspection on the motivations behind such projects and their alignment with true economic viability.
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Conclusion: A Call for Change
China’s infrastructure ambitions reflect not just national pride but the potent risks of economic miscalculation. As cities across the nation grapple with unfinished projects, their stories underscore a call for a renewed focus on sustainable growth based on fiscal responsibility and genuine public need. The challenge now lies in translating lessons learned into actionable strategies that prioritize honest assessment over political pretense, aiming for a more sustainable path forward amidst the ruins of illusion.
As China's real estate market continues to collapse, high-rise apartments—once a symbol of prestige—have fallen from grace. More and more residents are moving out, opting for pricier low-rise buildings instead of staying in high-rises. Some even believe that these buildings, which once stood as monuments to China’s economic boom, will eventually become worthless.
Fortunately for Alphabet, YouTube is still booming, Luria said.
YouTube is "becoming such an important media destination that the momentum there is greater than what you would just see from the advertising growth," said Luria. He noted that some creators have migrated to YouTube amid the TikTok ban.
The uncertainty over TikTok's future in the U.S. has yet to impact advertisers who are still running campaigns on the ByteDance-owned platform, said Kate Scott-Dawkins, the global president of business intelligence of media investment firm GroupM.
If TikTok eventually does get banned in the U.S., Scott-Dawkins said she expects Meta and Alphabet would inherit much of those ad dollars but noted Snap, Pinterest and others could also pick up scraps.
Snap and Pinterest also reported their fourth quarter results last week. Pinterest said its sales jumped 18% year over year to $1.15 billion while Snap reported $1.56 billion in revenue for the period, marking a 14% increase from the previous year.
But not every digital advertising player had good results for the quarter.
!summarize #builders #florida #realestate #Housing #selling
Part 1/9:
Massive Price Cuts by Home Builders: A Crisis in Florida's Real Estate Market
In a startling trend across America, home builders are slashing prices at an unprecedented rate, significantly affecting the real estate market in Florida. New construction homes are seeing price cuts ranging from $30,000 to a staggering $60,000 or more. For instance, one builder recently decreased the price of a house in construction from $440,000 to $370,000—a jaw-dropping $65,000 reduction.
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As inventory levels soar, builders face an acute crisis with nearly 130,000 completed spec homes sitting unsold on lots across the nation, the highest inventory level since the 2008 housing crash. Despite these overwhelming challenges and a notable decline in homebuyer demand—down approximately 30% to 40% from pre-pandemic levels—builders seem determined to continue constructing homes.
Builders Persist Amid Housing Downturn
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Across Florida, new homes, townhomes, and neighborhoods are emerging rapidly, as builders remain steadfast in their commitment to supply, seemingly oblivious to the market downturn. Conversations with industry insiders indicate that builders are willing to endure substantial price reductions of 14% to 15% to move inventory and transition to the next community project. While this aggressive strategy may help them offload unsold homes, it's contributing to a broader decline in home values. In Parrish, Florida, home prices have already dropped between 2% and 5% year-over-year across various ZIP codes.
Two Housing Markets: Builders vs. Resales
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The current landscape showcases a distinct division between the builder and resale markets. Many homeowners, still clinging to the notion of a strong housing market, are reluctant to lower their prices despite the evident drop in valuations. In contrast, builders are aligning their strategies with fluctuating market conditions by offering significant discounts and enticing mortgage rate buy-downs that are difficult for resellers to compete against.
The stock values of leading builders like DR Horton and Lenar have mirrored these trends—plummeting by 24% and 20%, respectively, in just six months. Their declines are juxtaposed against a relatively stable broader market, increasing concerns about their financial stability if the downturn persists.
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The Impact of Builder Pricing on Resale Homes
The dynamics of pricing impact homeowners who purchased homes at inflated prices just a few years ago. Consider a homeowner who bought a property expecting it to be valued at $500,000, only to find the building next door selling for $400,000, creating a substantial gap in perceived value. This competition from builders is reshaping the resale market significantly. Homes that have been on the market for extended periods are witnessing losses of $122,000 or more, dragging down overall market values.
Further complicating dynamics, builders are now offering lower mortgage rates—like a year-one rate of 4.3%—making it increasingly difficult for resellers to attract buyers without making drastic price reductions.
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Regional Disparities and Future Risks
As this crisis unfolds, it's essential to acknowledge that the housing downturn isn't uniform across the country, though it is spreading rapidly, with states like Florida and Texas facing significant threats. DR Horton, for example, derives nearly half its revenue from these states—raising concerns about the impact on its operations should the downturn deepen.
Moreover, many buyers in builder communities are relying on low down payment mortgages (average as low as 12% with FHA options around 3% to 5%), creating potential risks for financial instability if prices decline further. Homeowners in these communities could soon find themselves underwater on their mortgages.
The Bigger Picture: Tariffs and Building Costs
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The implications of tariffs on building materials pose additional threats to builders. Trump's policies on immigration and potential tariffs on crucial materials such as lumber and steel could spike building costs, preventing builders from passing these expenses onto consumers who are already overwhelmed by uncertainty and high inventory levels. The potential erosion of profit margins could lead to further declines in stock prices for builders already facing substantial losses.
Conclusion: Navigating a Complex Market
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As the housing market faces undeniable changes, prospective buyers can find opportunities amid price reductions and increased inventory. However, for current homeowners who purchased at market peaks, the outlook remains grim. A complex interplay of inventory levels, builder discounts, and market psychology is in flux, creating a time of uncertainty and potential loss for many. Those paying attention to regional dynamics and market trends will be better equipped to navigate the evolving landscape of real estate in Florida and beyond.
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With the tools available, such as the Reventure mobile app, individuals can stay informed about housing data and trends specific to their markets, enabling informed decisions in these challenging times. The situation demands vigilance and adaptability as the markets redefine themselves in the wake of significant economic shifts.
!summarize #trump #Russia #ukraine
Part 1/8:
Understanding the Dynamics of Trump's Relationship with Putin
In a recent commentary, Bill O'Reilly, a prominent conservative political commentator, expressed his views on the intricacies of the relationship between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin. Positioned within his forthcoming book, Confronting the Evil, where both leaders are juxtaposed with historical figures like Hitler and Mao, he reiterated the notion that Putin is a menacing figure on the global stage.
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Despite acknowledging Putin’s malignant image, O'Reilly emphasized that Trump possesses a unique capability to engage with the Russian leader diplomatically. He praised Trump for fostering a working relationship, suggesting that it showcases a pragmatic bent; a trait he believes is critical for the nation's interest, specifically for curtailing the ongoing war in Ukraine.
The Current State of the Ukraine Conflict
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O'Reilly pointed out that the Ukraine war is at an impasse, mainly exacerbated by the Biden administration's inadequate approach toward negotiating with Russia. He criticized Biden's leadership, suggesting that Putin's dismissive attitude reflects a lack of respect for Biden, which has resulted in the conflict spiraling out of control. According to O'Reilly, the U.S. has been channeling significant financial resources toward supporting Ukraine, which he believes is essential, yet he advocates for a strategic pivot to prompt a resolution.
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The commentator cited alarming statistics regarding Russian casualties, stating that, according to the New York Times, approximately 150,000 Russian soldiers have perished with possibly 500,000 wounded. While acknowledging uncertainty around these figures, O'Reilly argued that the war is taking a heavy toll on Russia, putting pressure on Putin's regime to seek an exit strategy.
The Role of NATO and Potential Diplomacy
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In discussing the potential role of NATO in the conflict, O'Reilly pointed to European leaders signaling a reluctance to see Ukraine join the alliance, which he believes offers Putin a potential way out without a complete loss of face. This shift, according to him, could open the door for negotiations—a moment O'Reilly suggests Trump could seize upon to broker peace.
He holds a firm belief that Trump will replicate his previous administration's conciliatory style, successfully bringing Putin back to the negotiation table. In contrast, he is doubtful of Biden's capability to achieve a similar outcome, which he asserts is critical given the rising strain on U.S. military and financial commitments to Ukraine.
The Power Dynamics Involved
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O'Reilly elaborated on President Volodymyr Zelensky's impotence in the face of international negotiation dynamics, asserting that Ukraine's president is beholden to the dictates of the U.S. and Europe. He posited that Zelensky lacks negotiating power, emphasizing that the war cannot continue without NATO's support, which appears to be waning.
In light of this, he anticipates that any eventual treaty or ceasefire will likely include territorial concessions, although he downplays the significance of any land acquired by Putin.
Funding and Future Investments
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He pointed out a significant financial imbalance, mentioning that the U.S. has contributed around $175 billion in aid to Ukraine, a staggering amount in comparative terms to European nations. O'Reilly argued that Europe should shoulder more responsibility given its geographical proximity, yet the U.S. remains the leading contributor, affecting domestic budget considerations.
Looking forward, O'Reilly forecasted that a ceasefire might be on the horizon, potentially within a month, driven by Trump’s assertive negotiation strategies coupled with the impending need for rebuilding Ukraine. He implied that any future settlements will also require hefty investments to restore the war-torn nation.
Conclusion
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In essence, O'Reilly envisions a scenario where Trump’s return to power could compel a resolution to the conflict in Ukraine. His assertion suggests that Trump’s previous rapport with Putin could facilitate crucial discussions that have been evaded under the current administration. Ultimately, O'Reilly's observations reflect deep-seated belief in the importance of powerful individuals in shaping international diplomacy, particularly in crises that bear immense global implications.
As he wrapped up, O'Reilly urged his audience to stay informed, signaling the political and economic stakes that continue to evolve within this fraught geopolitical landscape.
Despite ad tech company The Trade Desk on Wednesday reporting a 22% year over year increase in fourth-quarter sales to $741 million, that figure came in below Wall Street estimates, which sent shares tanking. CEO Jeff Green attributed the miss to "a series of small execution missteps" during an analyst call.
Although companies are pumping money into digital ad platforms, there's a chance that high inflation, tariffs and weaker economies outside of the U.S. put pressure on the ad market, experts said.
!summarize #captainamerica #bravenewworld #hollywood #movies
Part 1/10:
Anthony Mackey Sparks Controversy with Captain America Comments
A recent wave of backlash has erupted around Anthony Mackey, the star of the upcoming Captain America: Brave New World, following his comments about the character he portrays not truly representing America. His remarks, made during a promotional event in Rome, have ignited calls for a boycott from conservative audiences. Preliminary data suggests that the backlash might be influencing the film's anticipated box office performance.
The Effect of Politics on Cinema
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Mackey's comments weren't made lightly; he expressed his belief that Captain America symbolizes multiple ideals beyond national identity. This statement has raised eyebrows, particularly among those who faithfully associate the character with American values such as honor, integrity, and dependability. In his remarks, Mackey stated, "I don't think the term America should be one," indicating that he sees Captain America's representation as more complex and nuanced.
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Critics are interpreting these comments as indicative of a broader trend in Hollywood, where celebrities frequently convey progressive viewpoints that can alienate segments of their audience. The backlash is reminiscent of recent controversies involving other celebrities like Selena Gomez, who faced criticism after emotional comments on political issues. This pattern raises questions about how actors and their political views influence their projects and the audience's reception of them.
Reaction and Market Response
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Despite the negative reviews surrounding Captain America: Brave New World, box office success often depends on more than critical reception. As reported, recent trailers have shown a stark contrast in viewership statistics: the trailer for the Thunderbolts, which is set to release soon, has garnered ten million views in two days, while the latest Captain America trailer has only managed around 500,000 views. Such dismal viewership for a film with the Captain America moniker suggests that the political commentary linked to the lead actor may be turning audiences away.
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The mounting disinterest in Captain America is increasingly evident. With Mackey's controversial comments creating a stir, along with a general fatigue over political themes in entertainment, audiences appear less enthused about the film. Additionally, the marketing strategy of heavily leaning into the "Captain America" brand without relying on traditional lead, Chris Evans, has also been a point of contention among fans.
The Challenge of Representation
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Mackey's viewpoint, particularly when discussing representation, has not been universally accepted. He noted that he was inspired by Superman despite differences in race, leading to discussions about whether children from diverse backgrounds can find heroes in characters of different ethnicities. Critics argue about the implications of this viewpoint, suggesting it undermines the importance of representation in media.
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Furthermore, Mackey's commentary has led to scrutiny of the approach Marvel is taking with its characters. Instead of introducing new heroes of color, there are concerns that existing characters are simply being handed down to new actors, leading to accusations of "hand-me-down superheroes." This strategy, some argue, dilutes the value of new storytelling and representation, with audiences calling for original narratives rather than substitutions of established ones.
Looking Ahead: The Future of Marvel
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As Captain America: Brave New World approaches its release, the looming question is whether it will be able to withstand the scrutiny of both critics and the public. The Marvel Cinematic Universe is facing challenges as audiences express a desire for standalone films that tell cohesive, engaging stories rather than a cluttered web of interconnected character arcs. This sentiment echoes throughout the cinema landscape as viewers express their fatigue with complex narratives that fail to resonate.
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Recent developments within Disney's diversity, equity, and inclusion strategies may further influence how films like this are produced moving forward. If public interest continues to dwindle along with critical reception, the show may need a serious reevaluation to align with what audiences genuinely want.
Conclusion
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In summary, the unfolding drama surrounding Anthony Mackey and Captain America: Brave New World highlights an important intersection of politics, representation, and audience engagement in contemporary cinema. While Mackey's intention may have been to broaden the meaning of Captain America, the backlash showcases a larger frustration among audiences who prefer their superheroes to embody unmistakable ideals that resonate with American values. The future of not only this film but also the MCU might hinge on the lessons learned from this moment. Will Hollywood heed the call for authentic connections with its audiences, or will it double down on the path of politicized narratives? Only time will tell.
!summarize #weather #south #unitedstates #snow #tornados
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Severe Weather Threats Loom Over the US
Today, a powerful storm system is generating severe weather across various regions of the United States, impacting both the north and south with a combination of winter storms and threats of tornadoes. This complex weather scenario has resulted in heightened concerns about safety and property across the regions in question.
Tornado Activity in the South
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Recent reports indicate significant tornado activity, including a notable EF0 tornado that struck Columbia, Mississippi. Despite its lower classification, measuring winds of 85 mph, the devastation experienced in such events remains unforgettable for those who encounter them. The potential for stronger, more dangerous tornadoes, such as EF2 or greater, exists later today, particularly in areas prone to severe weather during this time of year.
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The Storm Prediction Center has been monitoring this region for days, and as the day unfolds, storm activity is expected to intensify. Areas like Jackson, Mississippi, and Birmingham, Alabama, could see severe storms in the evening and overnight hours. It’s essential for residents to have access to storm updates, especially if they may be asleep when tornado warnings are issued.
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Currently, there are no severe storms impacting the area, though notable lightning activity has been reported between Memphis and Nashville. As the day progresses, a line of severe storms is anticipated to form, moving swiftly from the west to the east. These storms typically bring strong winds, with gusts expected to reach over 80 mph, along with possible tornadoes embedded within the storm system. Although the models show some lessening of pre-frontal activity, the main line promises to deliver critical weather conditions.
Flooding Concerns in the Southeast
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Aside from tornado threats, the storm system poses a significant flood risk, categorized as a level four out of four. Regions such as Sandy Springs, Georgia, face the highest potential for flooding, a serious concern given the rate of rainfall expected to reach 1 to 2 inches per hour. This could lead to rapid rises in water levels in creeks and streams, causing catastrophic flooding in the impacted areas.
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Driving across flooded roadways is one of the primary risks during such weather events. The situation is dire as regions in northwestern Tennessee and western Kentucky have already been saturated with rain, further increasing the chance of flooding. As heavy rain bands move over the same regions repeatedly—akin to trains running on tracks—flash flooding becomes a real concern throughout the day.
Winter Storm Warnings in the North
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Simultaneously, a winter storm is advancing across the northern portions of the country, affecting over 70 million Americans with snow and potential ice. Snowfall is expected across the Upper Midwest and parts of the Great Lakes, moving eastward throughout the day. Although some areas might see notable snow accumulation, the real challenge lies in the icy conditions that could develop.
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Warm air moving into the Northeast will cause precipitation patterns to shift from snow to a mixture of sleet and rain, creating hazardous conditions on the roads. This quick transition can result in significant ice accumulation, which poses its own dangers. Locations in the Great Lakes and internal Northeast are expected to experience the heaviest snowfall, but forecasting models indicate that what accumulates overnight may quickly vanish the following morning due to rising temperatures.
Additional Factors to Consider
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As storm conditions develop, high winds are also a concern. High wind watches are in effect for coastal New England and possibly Long Island, raising the risk for all drivers, especially those in high-profile vehicles. Traveling during these conditions can be precarious, particularly in icy conditions where crosswinds may lead to loss of vehicle control.
Conclusion
With severe weather conditions affecting both southern and northern regions of the United States today, residents are urged to remain vigilant, stay informed, and prioritize safety. Whether facing the threat of tornadoes and flooding in the South or winter storms and ice in the North, preparedness will be key to navigating these potentially dangerous conditions.
This growth in the power of the federal government resembles the welfare experiments of Europe in the twentieth century, which failed. What is there in the progressive ideology that drives it to duplicate a failed system? Why don’t they understand the communism analogy?
Communism had many friends until the Soviet Union failed. Now, those friends are hard to find because they don’t want to embarrass themselves by supporting a philosophical system that is unworkable and idealistic. The problem was that Marx fitted the data to his system instead of the reverse. If he had done his analysis correctly, he would have seen the fundamental flaws in his point of view.
I have found no evidence that the Carthaginian “phalanx” resembled the Greek version. By Carthaginian phalanx I refer to a massed infantry formation equipped with swords versus spears. This is specifically pointed out by Livy and others writing about the Battle of Cannae. The Punic center used Roman weapons captured at Trasimene which would not have included phalanx type spears. Livy goes on to say, “The Gallic and Spanish contingents carried shields of similar shape, but their swords were of a different pattern, those of the Gauls being very long and not pointed, those of the Spaniards, who were accustomed to using them for piercing rather than cutting, being handily short and sharply pointed.”
Also, the consul Publius Laverius Laevinius is thought to have had four legions with accompanying allies at Heraclea in 280BC, so was there a specific law limiting a consul's command to two legions, or are you talking about the customary allocation? Of course, at Cannae there were 8 legions plus allies, so they could clearly change things when they needed to!
At Zama, Hannibal did not use a tightly packed infantry, deploying three massive lines instead. Again I quote Livy. “Hannibal put his elephants (80 of them) right in the van of his army; behind them were the Ligurian and Gallic auxiliaries with a certain proportion of troops from Mauretania and the Balearics. In the second line he stationed his Carthaginian and African troops together with the one legion from Macedonia; Then a moderate distance to the rear of these, came a reserve of Italians and Bruttians.
My last post used the words of Polybius to answer a question regarding the effectiveness of the Roman manipular technique against the phalanx formation. In this post we will delve deeper into the subject, specifically the Roman battles against Hannibal and his phalanx, to show that victory had more to do with leadership and skill than the phalanx as a superior military tactic. Hannibal was superior in every way to the Roman generals of the Republican period because he was an expert tactician and charismatic leader. Having said that, we have to give the Roman generals some slack because they were hamstrung by politics and the command philosophy of the Republican political system.
!summarize #amc #movies #lawsuit
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Understanding AMC Project Popcorn: A Call to Action for Shareholders
In a recent communication from the Small Business Resource Center, a compelling message regarding AMC Entertainment Holdings and the ongoing AMC Project Popcorn has emerged. This initiative aims to address and expose alleged fraudulent activities in the stock market, particularly concerning AMC's trading practices since the onset of the pandemic.
The Background of AMC and Its Financial Struggles
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AMC has been a topic of contention among investors, particularly those who bought shares before 2020. The company's stock value has plummeted by over 90%, raising serious doubts about the integrity of the trading environment surrounding it. The circumstances are perplexing; every time the stock shows signs of recovery, a slew of negative catalysts—often perceived as orchestrated misinformation—seems to drive the price down again. This cycle has led many to believe that corrupt algorithms and manipulative trading tactics are being employed to intentionally depress stock values.
The Role of Shareholders in the Legal Battle
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AMC Project Popcorn seeks the participation of shareholders in a lawsuit aimed at seeking justice and financial reparations. The initiative encourages individuals who have invested in AMC to complete a survey that details their stock ownership over time, particularly noting any preferred shares they may have held. By compiling this data, the project aims to build a robust case that can bring attention to the alleged misconduct in the trading practices surrounding AMC.
Important Steps for Participation
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For shareholders looking to get involved, there is an urgent timeframe. The deadline to participate in this survey and thus the lawsuit is set for March 20. Interested parties should visit the AMC Project Popcorn website, where they can find a share calculator tailored for use across different brokerage accounts. This tool helps users tally their shares and prepare the necessary documentation.
To participate:
Visit AMC Project Popcorn: Access the site to fill out the required forms.
Calculate Shares: Use the share calculator to input your data based on monthly statements.
Prepare the Affidavit: After calculations, users can print the affidavit, which must be notarized.
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The initiative also accommodates non-English speakers, providing materials in various languages to ensure inclusivity and broad participation.
The Bigger Picture: Bringing Transparency and Justice
The ongoing legal efforts by AMC Project Popcorn signify a collective stand against perceived fraud in the stock market. By encouraging participation and gathering data from shareholders, the project aims to bring transparency to the market and hold accountable the entities accused of manipulating stock prices for their gain.
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The message resonates with many retail investors who have felt the brunt of these market manipulations. The sentiment shared among shareholders is one of frustration and a call for action—no longer willing to be victims of a corrupt system.
Conclusion: A Collective Effort for Change
As AMC shareholders rally around this initiative, they are not merely seeking financial restitution but are also advocating for broader changes in market practices. The situation surrounding AMC is indicative of larger issues within the stock market, and the efforts of AMC Project Popcorn may pave the way for a new era of accountability and fairness. It is a critical moment for retail investors to come together, share their experiences, and push for justice in an often opaque financial landscape.
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For those looking to take part in this effort, the AMC Project Popcorn website serves as a vital resource. By getting involved, investors can contribute to a movement aimed at creating a more transparent and equitable trading environment.
!summarize #humanoid #robots #ai #Technology
This video has already been summarized: https://inleo.io/threads/view/taskmaster4450le/re-taskmaster4450le-2pgjk8q73
After rigorous testing, the team found that batteries exposed to this new molecule retained near-production performance even after 12,000 to 60,000 charge-discharge cycles. This significantly improved industry standards from the current range of 500 and 2,000 cycles.
“The new solution not only delays battery retirement but also slashes resource waste and pollution,” said Gao. “Whether extending the battery lifespan or preventing large-scale waste and environmental pollution, this ‘precision treatment’ offers a viable technical solution,” read a statement by Fudan University.
The year 216 B.C. brought new consuls into the command position: C. Terentius Varro and L. Aemilius Paullus. They readied their armies in the spring and picked up Hannibal’s trail that summer, arriving at Cannae on the last day of July. Both commanders knew how important it was to operate with a combined force as they agreed to alternate command on a daily basis. On the day of the battle Varro served as the overall commander. His plan was to apply the lessons of Trebbia by eliminating the wings that were decimated in that battle so he collapsed his maniples into a phalanx of overwhelming strength designed to destroy the center of the Punic line. The absence of wings meant that the infantry contingent had to be protected by cavalry or it would be vulnerable on all sides.
!summarize #trump #cnn #gulfofamerica #putin
Part 1/7:
The White House Press Briefing Summary: Controversies and Negotiations
In a recent press briefing, White House Press Secretary Karine Jean-Pierre addressed a series of pressing questions surrounding the administration's policies, negotiations, and media relations. Central to the discussion were issues of terminology used by the media and the implications for press freedom, as well as updates on international negotiations and ongoing domestic initiatives.
Media Terminology and its Implications
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The briefing kicked off with a heated exchange about the Associated Press (AP) being barred from the Oval Office. This action was cited as stemming from the AP's refusal to use the term “Gulf of America” to refer to the body of water off Louisiana, as mandated by the administration. Jean-Pierre emphasized the administration's commitment to maintaining accurate representations of geographical designations, stating that the Secretary of the Interior has officially recognized "Gulf of America."
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Jean-Pierre argued that the administration has a right to hold news outlets accountable for perceived inaccuracies. She insisted that the exclusion of the AP was not retaliatory, but rather consistent with the administration's commitment to truth. However, this claim raised questions about First Amendment rights and whether the White House would persist in holding reporters accountable for their choice of language.
Negotiations with Russia and Ukraine
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Transitioning to foreign policy, Jean-Pierre was asked about President Trump's negotiations with Russian President Vladimir Putin concerning Ukraine. The administration confirmed that Trump and Putin discussed mutual visits, although it was unclear if any preconditions had been established for such meetings. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s comments about NATO membership for Ukraine prompted concerns about potential concessions prior to finalized negotiations.
While Jean-Pierre noted that President Trump is actively involved in the negotiations, she refrained from detailing specific terms or expectations. She highlighted Trump's history as a negotiator without disclosing any strategic shifts in policy, signaling a careful approach to the ongoing complex situation in Eastern Europe.
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Recent Prisoner Exchange
Another critical topic discussed was a recent prisoner swap involving the U.S. and Russia, coinciding with the ongoing war in Ukraine. The administration confirmed the return of Mark Fogle, a middle school teacher imprisoned in Russia, in exchange for Alexander Vinnik, a crypto criminal. Jean-Pierre described the exchange as a substantial triumph for the U.S., and lauded the effectiveness of the Trump administration in securing favorable deals.
Questions also arose regarding whether discussions about Ukraine's future were part of the negotiations for Fogle’s release, but Jean-Pierre stated she was not privy to such details.
Domestic Policies and FEMA Funding
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Domestically, the briefing touched on FEMA's recent funding decisions, particularly the $59 million allocated for migrant hotels in New York City. Secretary Chrisye Gomez noted that funds would not be spent contrary to the interests of American citizens. Jean-Pierre reinforced the administration's stance that its agents should be held accountable and adhere to the will of the American public.
The briefing concluded with questions about the administration's views on Russia, with Jean-Pierre acknowledging Russia as a competitor and sometimes an adversary, but emphasizing the importance of diplomacy.
Conclusion
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The press briefing illustrated a tension between the White House's narrative management and the media's role in reporting. With critical decisions regarding foreign relations and media accountability at play, the administration is navigating complex political landscapes both domestically and internationally. As negotiations progress and public interest in transparency grows, these issues will likely continue to shape the administration's approach and its relationship with the press.
The Romans at Cannae had used a collapsed manipular formation against a Punic phalanx designed to give way. Once the Romans had pushed to their deepest penetration, the wing phalanxes of the Carthaginian army turned inward and destroyed them. At Cannae, Hannibal’s master plan came to fruition. The pincer movement that failed at Trebbia worked brilliantly here. He used speed against the strength of the Roman center by offering only minimal resistance to it and then maneuvering around it until the trap was sprung.
In each of these battles we see the phalanx as a component of the Carthaginian formation but not the key. There was never a pure phalanx/maniple face-off that would prove the military superiority of one versus the other because there were other more important factors that determined the outcome.
The researcher further adds that their work bridges quantum and optical data storage, meeting the need for better quantum systems and improved classical memory storage. The research began during França’s Ph.D. studies at the University of São Paulo in Brazil, where he focused on radiation dosimeters – devices that passively monitor radiation exposure for workers in hospitals, synchrotrons, and other radiation facilities. These materials can absorb radiation and store the exposure information for a specific period.
França explained that when the crystal absorbs enough energy, it releases electrons and holes, which are then captured by the defects. This information can be read by releasing the electrons and detecting them optically. Recognizing its potential for memory storage, França brought this non-quantum approach to Zhong’s quantum laboratory, leading to the interdisciplinary innovation.
“Why is it then that the Romans conquer? And what is it that brings disaster on those who employ the phalanx? Why, just because war is full of uncertainties both as to time and place; whereas there is but one time and one kind of ground in which a phalanx can fully work. If, then, there were anything to compel the enemy to accommodate himself to the time and place of the phalanx, when about to fight a general engagement, it would be but natural to expect that those who employed the phalanx would always carry off the victory.
But if the enemy finds it possible, and even easy, to avoid its attack, what becomes of its formidable character? Again, no one denies that for its employment it is indispensable to have a country flat, bare, and without such impediments as ditches, cavities, depressions, steep banks, or beds of rivers: for all such obstacles are sufficient to hinder and dislocate this particular formation.
If, then, it is easy to take precautions against the opportunities and peculiar advantages of the phalanx, but impossible to do so in the case of its disadvantages, must it not follow that in practice the difference between these two systems is enormous? Of course, those generals who employ the phalanx must march over ground of every description, must pitch camps, occupy points of advantage, besiege, and be besieged, and meet with unexpected appearances of the enemy: for all these are part and parcel of war, and have an important and sometimes decisive influence on the ultimate victory. And in all these cases the Macedonian phalanx is difficult, and sometimes impossible, to handle, because the men cannot act either in squads or separately.
Friend of mine went to Bluesky cuz he hates Elon Musk (I know. We're basically one bad day from him accusing me of being far-right and ending our friendship). We were joking around one day while he was playing a game. I point out an androgenous character and I jokingly ask "Hey, what are their pronouns? I don't wanna misgender them, dawg." He laughed and said pronouns in the bio are super cringe. Then I remembered he's a Bluesky user and I said "I'll bet you've got pronouns in your Bluesky bio right now." He laughed and said "No I don't. Hold on, lemme check. . . Fuck, I'm so cringe". Dude isn't even aware of what the brainwashing has been making him do. Kinda freaked me out.
Chernobyl nuclear reactor’s protective shell damaged by drone, Kyiv accuses Russia
While Moscow has denied its involvement in the attack, UN’s International Atomic Energy Agency stated that radiation levels are in check.
Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelensky stated that a drone armed with a warhead struck the protective outer shell of the Chernobyl nuclear plant early Friday, creating a hole in the structure and briefly igniting a fire. He blamed Russia for the strike.
In the aftermath of the event, Chernobyl’s chief engineer Oleksandr Tytarchuk stated that the shelter is no longer fulfilling its protective function following the damage. He warned of a potential risk of radioactive substances being released. Although the situation was under control according to Tytarchuk, he noted that repairs could require significant time and effort.
While Kyiv accused Russia of carrying out the attack, Moscow has denied any involvement. Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov refuted Zelensky’s allegations, suggesting that it was likely a provocation, pointing out that Kyiv is known for such actions.
IAEA confirms drone strike, no radiation leak
The UN International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) confirmed that the drone strike did not penetrate the plant’s inner containment shell. The agency reported that radiation levels at the decommissioned plant in the Kyiv region, known for the world’s worst nuclear disaster, remain unchanged.
In 14 A.D. Germanicus ambushed the Marci and inflicted heavy losses. During its withdrawal to the Rhine, his army was attacked by the aroused Bructeri, Tubonti, and Usipedi tribes, but the Romans were able to escape after significant losses.
In 15 A.D. there were two major campaigns. In the spring Legatus Caecina Severus attacked the Marsi a second time while Germanicus was defeating the Chatti. These attacks were preemptive and designed to suppress allies of the Cherusci so the latter could be attacked with less risk. In the second half of 15 Germanicus divided the Roman army into three parts, positioning them for simultaneous attacks. Severus attacked the Bructeri while Albinovanus attacked the Frisi. Separately, Germanicus came by sea and met up with them at the Amisia River. The combined armies fought their way to the head of the river which was near the site of the Teutoburg massacre.
“This is one of the most significant discoveries made in the city in recent years,” says Sophie Jackson, MOLA Director of Development.
The existence of a 2000-year-old Roman basilica in the area near Leadenhall Market was already suspected, but the exceptional state of preservation astonished the archaeological team.
“The levels of preservation of the Basilica have far exceeded our expectations, and we have possibly the most important part of the building,” Jackson explains.
“It’s the place you came to do business, to get your court case sorted out, it’s where laws were made, and it’s where decisions were made about London, but also about the rest of the country,” Jackson told the BBC.
The two-story basilica overlooked bustling markets, vibrant festivals, and important public gatherings. However, despite its imposing presence, it was soon deemed insufficient for the growing Roman settlement. Within two decades, it was replaced by an even grander forum.
There is much debate about the Roman position vis a vis the Germans after the Teutoburg massacre. Many have taken the position that the loss of the three legions blocked forever Roman attempts to conquer Germany influencing the course of European development for the future. I think that point is debatable for at least two reasons. First, Tiberius ended the German campaigns because he felt the effort was not worth the losses incurred, not because of the massacre. He decided that the plan of letting the German tribes fight among themselves was a better strategy. Second, he had better uses of the army than post them in barbarian Germany.
The fact that Rome never conquered Germany was more about the difficulty of accomplishing that goal given the strength and relationship between the German tribes than anything else. Rome would eventually reach Britain during the time of Claudius, but would never move east of Gaul after 16 A.D.
Augustus made the decision circa 20 B.C. to protect Cisapline Gaul by securing the Alps. There had been continuing harassment of Roman couriers by Alpine tribes and communications with the north had become an ongoing concern. To solve this problem, Augustus developed a plan to push the border northward to the Danube and establish the new border on a line from Lake Constance to Vienna. After Nerva had cleared the valleys between the Italian lakes in 16-17 B.C, the way was clear for the advance to the Danube to begin. Augustus gave his two stepsons, Tiberius and Drusus, the responsibility for the taking the new territory. Tiberius was to attack in the area near Lake Constance and Drusus work his way north through the Brenner pass. Their work was complete by the end of 15 B.C. and their accomplishments celebrated by Horace.
The roots of metaphysics lie in antiquity with speculations about the nature and origin of the universe, like those found in the Upanishads in ancient India, Daoism in ancient China, and pre-Socratic philosophy in ancient Greece. During the subsequent medieval period in the West, discussions about the nature of universals were influenced by the philosophies of Plato and Aristotle. The modern period saw the emergence of various comprehensive systems of metaphysics, many of which embraced idealism. In the 20th century, traditional metaphysics in general and idealism in particular faced various criticisms, which prompted new approaches to metaphysical inquiry.
What is the fundamental nature of reality? What is time? What is space? Is there a God? Is the world around us ‘real’? What is change? Do numbers exist? What is causation, and can there be such a thing as a ‘first cause’? Why is reality like it is? What does it mean for something to exist? Why does anything exist?
These are just a few of the questions posed by the oft-derided, mind-melting realm of metaphysics, perhaps the most obscure of philosophy’s four core branches.
Labor groups have looked beyond NLRB elections in an attempt to gain a union foothold at Amazon. They've assisted employees with filing unfair labor practice charges with the NLRB against Amazon, accusing the company of violating labor laws.
The International Brotherhood of Teamsters helped coordinate a picket effort at nine Amazon facilities in December. Amazon said the walkout had no impact on its operations.
The Teamsters union has said it represents 9,000 Amazon workers around the country, although the company has refused to recognize the union and bargain with leadership.
Asked to compare the various deep research products, Perplexity offered an overview of the different technologies, pricing models, and performance in different use cases and subject matters, with links to articles about each feature). It summarized the differences as follows:
Perplexity AI excels in speed and accessibility for casual researchers
OpenAI dominates in analytical depth for enterprise applications
Google integrates most seamlessly with existing productivity ecosystems
He named other examples, too, of private partnerships turned into large publicly traded companies like big private equity firms. Blackstone, which now has a market capitalization of over $200 billion, went public in 2007. Apollo, KKR, and Carlyle held their IPOs soon after Blackstone, and TPG listed on Nasdaq in early 2022.
Andreessen argues that as these companies grew from partnerships into large corporations, their long-term success became less dependent on a few key investors.
“A big part of what we’ve been trying to do is build something that has that kind of enduring aspect to it,” he said.
Altman and Musk have been at loggerheads for years.
After Musk’s departure in 2019, OpenAI created a for-profit arm that has drawn billions of dollars in funding, sparking allegations from Musk that the startup breached its original mission by putting profit ahead of the larger public good.
Musk sued Altman, OpenAI, and its biggest backer Microsoft in August last year for the alleged breach of contract.
In November, Musk asked a US district judge for a preliminary injunction to block OpenAI from moving to a for-profit structure.
Everyone seems to write about the fall of the Roman Empire – Gibbon et al. I guess they look at the end of the Empire as the seminal event because it marks the end of a thousand years of Roman power and the onset of the Dark Ages. I, however, would rather study the fall of the Roman Republic because it is much more interesting. First of all the Republic is a classic governmental form like the democracies of Greece. The Empire, by contrast, was a corrupt totalitarian system which was bound to collapse at some point under its own weight.
!summarize #disney #stock #streaming #themeparks
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The Bleak Future of Disney: Analyzing Stock Trends and Strategic Missteps
Disney, once synonymous with enchantment and family entertainment, is witnessing a troubling decline that raises concerns among investors and fans alike. Recent evaluations from financial analysts, including one from Yahoo Finance, reveal that Disney's stock is not only underperforming but is also viewed as unworthy of investment at this time. This article explores the myriad challenges facing Disney as it navigates a shifting media landscape, alongside a detailed analysis of its financial health, creative production failures, and management missteps.
The Stock Plummeting
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As of the recent financial reports, Disney's stock has significantly dropped from its peak of over $200 a share a couple of years back. Current sentiments indicate that this downward trend is likely to continue, as analysts point to a range of negatives that overshadow any potential upsides, despite some film releases performing decently at the box office. Notably, high-profile upcoming projects like "Captain America" and "Snow White" face skepticism regarding their success in a competitive market characterized by a shortage of exciting new content.
Financial Woes: Revenue and Investment Challenges
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Disney's financial struggles are compounded by several factors, including lavish spending on new cruise ships and an over-reliance on streaming services—both of which have failed to yield the expected returns. The company's recent shift toward a focus on Disney Plus has raised eyebrows, with many questioning whether the investment has been economically sound. The pandemic was initially thought to provide a boost to Disney's streaming services, yet the long-term growth has not materialized, as consumers increasingly turn to cheaper alternatives like YouTube and Netflix.
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Among its financial challenges, Disney’s theme parks still generate considerable revenue, but those gains have been shadowed by obligations to invest in new infrastructure and rising operational costs. Attendance may be increasing, but this is often attributed to price hikes that alienate the average family visitor.
The Streaming Service Struggle
Despite some improvements in streaming numbers, Disney Plus has lost subscribers, and the comparison to platforms like Netflix and Hulu shows that Disney's position in the market is precarious. Both Hulu and Netflix boast millions more subscribers, and with competitors like Tubi—acquired at a fraction of the price Disney spent to build its streaming service—Disney increasingly finds itself lagging behind.
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Direct-to-consumer metrics suggest that while revenue might have seen a modest gain, significant subscriber losses hint that consumers are not as engaged with Disney’s offerings. As streaming becomes a crowded space, the challenge for Disney becomes greater; they are not distinguishing themselves in a way that invites viewer loyalty.
Theme Parks and Consumer Sentiment
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The parks and experiences segment of Disney had previously been a reliable source of income—however, this too is showing signs of troubling stagnation. While overseas parks are reportedly thriving, domestic parks are struggling with attendance despite increased per-capita spending. Disney's ambitious plans for expanding their cruise offerings beg the question of market saturation. The potential for overextending their resources is a pressing concern, as consumer fatigue sets in.
Disney's traditional strengths are eroded by a strategy that relies heavily on monetization rather than creating genuine value and nostalgia for visiting the parks. The criticisms of price gouging show a company trying too hard to squeeze revenue at the expense of customer satisfaction.
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Leadership and Future Outlook
At the heart of Disney's issues is a perceived lack of clear vision or purposeful direction under the leadership of Bob Iger. Critics suggest that Iger's intentions align more closely with preserving his legacy rather than safeguarding Disney's long-term prospects. Many believe that Iger’s approach is shortsighted, with decisions often appearing reactive rather than strategically sound.
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The outlook for Disney, as conveyed in financial analyses, points to the need for fresh leadership that can recalibrate the company's long-term strategy and reinvest in its core values—such as quality storytelling, creative innovation, and authentic consumer engagement. Until Disney addresses these fundamental concerns, its future remains uncertain, with many analysts expressing apprehension regarding any substantial recovery.
Conclusion: A Call for Strategic Overhaul
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The challenges facing Disney are multifaceted, and the recovery path is fraught with complexities. The combination of declining stock performance, the ineffectiveness of its streaming platform, and dissatisfaction within its theme parks paint a grim picture of the entertainment giant. If Disney is to reclaim its position as a leader in family entertainment, substantial changes in strategy, management, and content creation are imperative. As fans and investors alike watch closely, the hope remains that Disney can rediscover the magic which originally captivated millions and set it apart as an industry leader.
Thirdly, it’s interesting to look at the reasons why the Republic fell. What does this tell us about the evolution of political systems? Are they all bound to fail at some point or can the path toward collapse be reversed. Lastly, is there something we can learn about the Roman republic that is applicable to our contemporary world?
It’s a sad situation for millions of Disney fans. We can’t support this company’s policies and have given up on the brand. My last family trip to Disneyland and Disney World was in 2019, and that’s the last year I saw a movie. I let my D+ sub expire in 2020 after the “Falcon and the Winter Soldier” racial hit piece. Now, five years later, I don’t think I want to try to afford a Disney vacation, and I’m a DVC member. The price increase rate on the parks will kill them.
Some staff members, however, have resisted certain policy changes — such as the removal of tampons from men’s restrooms. Workers have discreetly restocked the supplies in protest.
Sources within the company told CNBC that one of Zuckerberg’s aims in ingratiating himself with the president is to hopefully train the new administration’s antitrust ire on longtime rival Apple.
There is widespread sentiment within Meta that Apple’s 2021 privacy update of its proprietary iOS system that governs the company’s iPhone and other mobile devices cost the Facebook parent a whopping $10 billion in advertising revenue in fiscal year 2022.
The incessant wars of the second century had profound impact on the small landowner. Many died in battle or returned from war to find themselves destitute because their land was not worked while they were away. The wealthy accumulated forfeited land and began to work it for themselves often employing slaves instead of Roman citizens. The huge estates resulting from this accumulation further concentrated wealth in the hands of the few. Displaced farmers gravitated to the city hoping to find work but were largely unsuccessful.
!summarize #doge #markets
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Analysis of Market Trends: Will the Department of Government Efficiency Cause a Market Crash or Soar?
In the latest installment, we delve into the intricate world of market trends, examining the potential effects of the Department of Government Efficiency on future market behavior. This analysis utilizes powerful charting tools, primarily the monthly Cloud chart of the S&P 500 index, dating back to 1982, to provide insight into the market's current trajectory, paints a comprehensive picture of trends from both historical and present-day contexts.
Historical Market Insights
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The monthly Cloud chart reveals a significant point of analysis dating from 1982, culminating in the stock market’s low in October 2002. Upon zooming into more detailed segments of this data, particularly focusing on price trends and movements, we observe a consistent pattern. In the early phases of the chart, primarily between 1990 and 1996, indicators point to a robust uptrend synonymous with strong market performance.
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This current arrangement bears a striking resemblance to the trends observed when examining the present-day chart dated February 14, 2025. Just like the late 1990s, today's chart displays a solid trend characterized by a green-clouded environment where price is comfortably above critical resistance levels—blue and red—which further bolsters the perception of a powerful uptrend.
Comparing Secular Bull Markets
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When applying a broader lens to the Cloud chart from 1985 through to today, the differences between market cycles become apparent. Today’s markets are considerably more favorable than those observed during past turbulent periods, specifically February 2021 and July 2008. Both of these eras hinted at potential downturns, as the price approached critical moving averages with blue dropping below red.
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The historical context shines a light on critical issues, namely rising interest rates and fiscal policy. The period from 1982 to 2000 enjoyed a secular bull market coinciding with falling interest rates, differing starkly from the current climate. The implications of rising interest rates lead to distinct vulnerabilities in perception, but historical data reveals that stock markets can exhibit solid performance despite prevailing interest rate increases—in some instances leading to considerable gains.
Rising Interest Rates: A Double-Edged Sword
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One notable segment of analysis examines interest rates from 1962 to 1982, indicating sharp rises that occurred during a period when the S&P 500 gained 107% from 1962 to 1968. However, as rates reached a tipping point coupled with economic factors, significant declines followed. This past data serves as a pertinent reminder that while rising rates can initially stimulate market growth, they may eventually exert downward pressure on market momentum.
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The case is made that today's economic landscape, particularly as viewed through the lens of interest rates on February 14, 2025, is markedly improved compared to historical junctures like March 1974 before significant market losses. The current secular trend, measured via strength scores, reflects much stronger optimism as opposed to past scenarios that foreshadowed downturns.
Current Market Conditions
Present-day analysis reveals methods to interpret both graphs and underlying data accurately. Interested parties can decipher fluctuations in investor sentiment towards government spending, inflationary pressures, and Fed policy, making a solid case for a potential market rally despite the rising interest rate environment.
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Concerns about inflation and government deficits may surface within current charts. However, the sentiment holds that auditing government finances and fiscal prudence is advantageous for both taxpayers and market participants. This perspective may additionally bolster stock prices in the long run.
Looking Toward the Future
As we glance forward while interpreting the charts as of February 2025, it becomes vital to maintain a balanced view, evaluating future possibilities without being shackled by assumptions or preconceived notions stemming from historical data.
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Notably, recent market trends indicate positive momentum across major technology sectors and stability amidst financials. Observations henceforth should prompt a reconsideration of positions relative to the broader context. The ongoing analysis suggests readiness to adapt, leveraging a flexible mindset as new data emerges.
Conclusion: A Call for Vigilance and Adaptability
Navigating the intricacies of the stock market entails mindfulness of various factors, none of which function in isolation. Understanding that both rising interest rates and inflation are not absolute determinants of market trajectory enables a continued perspective open to future outcomes.
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As we transition into forthcoming weeks, maintaining a proactive yet flexible strategy anchored in data will significantly illuminate the decision-making process. The essence lies in preserving a balance between observing past trends while embracing the unpredictability of the market—recognizing that while trends can shift rapidly, they can also endure across extended timeframes.
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The imperative remains clear: data invites a thorough exploration, requiring vigilance as well as adaptability to align with potential shifts in market dynamics—ultimately steering the course through any economic landscape. It is wise to remind constituents that enduring volatility is par for the course within any investing strategy, reinforcing the importance of remaining engaged with ongoing financial intelligence.
!summarize #trump #homelandsecurity #newyorkcity #newyorkcity #immigration
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The Tensions Between the Trump Administration and New York City Over FEMA Funding
The ongoing saga between the Trump administration and New York City regarding the funding of services for illegal immigrants has heated up recently, culminating in a dramatic $80 million dispute. This confrontation not only highlights deep political divides but also raises questions about federal funding, executive power, and the treatment of migrants in the United States.
The Background of the Debate
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Amidst escalating tensions, President Trump’s Secretary of Homeland Security, Chrisey Nome, publicly declared the decision to rescind $80 million that had previously been allocated by FEMA for housing illegal immigrants in New York City. The funding was initially provided to assist liberal policies and practices, which Trump and his supporters have vehemently opposed. Chrisey Nome characterized this action as a necessary move against what she termed "deep state activists" within FEMA who acted in defiance of the president's executive orders.
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New York City officials reacted swiftly to this funding withdrawal, calling the federal government's actions "highway robbery." City Controller Brad Lander argued that the funds were essential for providing necessary services, including shelters for migrants, many of whom are housed in hotels like the historic Roosevelt Hotel.
The Political Fallout
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The reaction from New York City and the liberal media was one of outrage and disbelief. They labeled the withdrawal of such funds as a politically motivated attack on the city, meant to undermine their efforts to support immigrants who find themselves in precarious situations. Critics argue that this movement is emblematic of the Trump administration's wider agenda to cut back on aid to urban centers that implement more progressive policies towards immigration.
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Amid rising tensions, various media outlets portrayed the funds as essential for providing immediate care and support for migrants, many of whom have fled dire circumstances in their home countries. The argument employed by Nome and the Trump administration articulated a broader concern. They questioned the appropriateness of using FEMA funds, which are ostensibly designated for disaster relief, to finance accommodations for migrants, thereby diverting funds away from American citizens affected by natural disasters.
The Legality of the Funding
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A significant part of this debate revolves around the origin and legality of the allocated funds. Despite claims from some Trump supporters that the $80 million was wrongfully diverted from disaster relief efforts, New York City officials insisted that the funding came from a separate grant program specifically aimed at assisting migrants. This funding was approved by Congress and ratified by President Biden, highlighting the legal pathways that such funds had followed.
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Despite assertions of misuse, federal funds for migrant support were intended to fund programs that both houses of Congress believed necessary during an increase in immigration to the United States. Conditions stipulated in contracts for federal assistance were designed to ensure that funding would provide necessary services and temporary housing rather than luxury accommodations. Yet disagreements ensued over how the funds should be classified and utilized.
The Media's Response and Public Perception
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The media's portrayal of this situation ranged widely, with some outlets supporting the Trump administration's claims of irresponsible spending, insisting that funds were being diverted from American citizens in dire need. However, many New York officials countered this narrative, confirming that the actual costs incurred by the city were more reflective of the realities of New York housing and that the assistance provided was strictly capped and necessary for the welfare of those in need.
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This back-and-forth between disparate media narratives has placed public understanding of the situation in a complicated light, with some individuals siding with the Trump administration's calls for stricter fiscal controls, while others viewed this as an inhumane withdrawal of necessary medical and housing supports.
Implications Moving Forward
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The confrontation between the Trump administration and New York is emblematic of broader national conversations about immigration, federal funding, and the role of local versus federal government. With funds at stake, the repercussions of these debates could influence future interactions between cities advocating for progressive immigration policies and a federal government increasingly focused on tightening immigration control and fiscal responsibility.
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As this situation develops, it is crucial for both political leaders and citizens alike to remain informed about the complexities at play. As more funding decisions emerge from Washington, the battles between local desires for comprehensive social support and federal mandates could set a precedent for how such disputes are handled in the future.
Let us know your thoughts on this issue and how you believe local governments should navigate the ongoing complexities of federal funding and immigration policies. What do you think lies ahead in this contentious relationship?
Impact: The loyalty of the Roman army was now transferred from the Senate and the people to the commanding general. The army now looked to Marius to give them property after the war.
So now we were forty years into the collapse of the Republic and it’s obvious that a reversal is not possible. The people (or mob as some might say) have taken power from the Senate which had lost its moral authority. The army now belonged to the commanding general instead of the government. Respect for the old institutions is gone forever because they were not able to solve the socio-economic problems of the Roman people.
!summarize #brettfarve #jerryglanville #atlanta #falcons #nfl
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The Journey of Brett Favre: From Doubt to Dominance
Brett Favre’s journey to becoming one of the most iconic quarterbacks in NFL history is marked by numerous challenges and a relentless drive to prove himself. The story begins in the midst of an unexpected situation—a delayed flight before an important moment in his career. As he rushed onto the field, he was met with a rather frosty reception from his head coach, Jerry Glanville, who seemed to have made up his mind that he wasn’t keen on the young quarterback.
A Rocky Start with Atlanta
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Favre’s introduction to the NFL was less than welcoming. As he entered the Atlanta Falcons’ training camp, he tossed on his shorts and helmet, ready to prove himself. However, he quickly found that Glanville wanted another player—a guy from Mississippi State—thus leading to a sense of rejection. It wasn’t long before Favre felt the weight of the expectations on his shoulders and the pressure from a coach who did not seem to support him. The confusion and uncertainty of his rookie year left him feeling as if he was in a shell, questioning if he truly belonged in the NFL.
An Unexpected Trade to Green Bay
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Though the year in Atlanta was challenging, Favre’s fortunes changed when he was traded to the Green Bay Packers. He would soon meet Ron Wolf, the general manager who believed strongly in his abilities. Wolf's enthusiasm was palpable as he informed Favre that the team had sacrificed a first-round draft pick to secure him. This gesture of faith ignited a sense of opportunity for Favre, who had spent too long on the bench. He knew that the expectations were high, not just to perform but also to resurrect a franchise that had been struggling.
The First Steps to Greatness
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Starting as a backup behind Don “the Magic Man” Makowski, Favre’s real opportunity came when Makowski was injured during a game against the Cincinnati Bengals. Favre recalls the moment vividly; he ran onto the field, knowing how critical it was to seize the chance. The game provided an unpredictable environment, but Favre managed to lead the Packers to a comeback victory. This pivotal moment marked the beginning of a new chapter in his career, as he instantly secured his spot as the starting quarterback—a position he would hold for the next 297 consecutive games.
The Burden of Leadership
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As Favre continued to shine as the Packers’ leader, he was increasingly aware that winning a championship was paramount, not only for the team but for his own sense of validation. He craved the respect and acknowledgement that came with winning—a recognition that he was more than just a “gunslinger.” For Favre, it was vital that his teammates view him as a leader capable of producing results.
The Lesson of Persistence
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Over the years, Favre dealt with criticism and skepticism, particularly regarding his leadership abilities. Nevertheless, he firmly believed that true leadership stemmed from resilience and commitment. He expressed that showing up week after week, battling through pain and discomfort for the team, was the heart of what it meant to be a leader. The unyielding dedication to winning and bringing joy to his teammates helped solidify his standing as a true leader in the locker room.
Building Towards the Championship
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The road to success wasn’t without its bumps, illustrated by an early postseason loss to the Dallas Cowboys in 1993. However, Favre recognized the significant shift occurring within the team. With the foundation being laid by Wolf and new coaching perspectives emerging, he realized that they were on the cusp of something great. The team’s growth was tangible, and their chemistry was gradually becoming apparent.
Finding the Defined Path
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One notable incident that exemplified Favre’s determination occurred during a match against the Bengals several years later. Despite a clear plan for a safe play leading to a field goal, Favre’s instinct drove him to push the limits. He firmly believed that he could create opportunities—even when faced with the suggestion to play it safe. His ability to improvise and capitalize on potential became his trademark style and further endeared him to fans and teammates alike.
Conclusion: The Legacy Begins
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Brett Favre's early years in the NFL highlight a compelling narrative of resilience and self-belief. His tumultuous beginnings blended with moments of triumph would lay the foundational blocks that ultimately led him to become one of the most revered quarterbacks in the history of the sport. With each passing game, he transitioned from a young man seeking validation to a capable leader striving for greatness—a journey that defined an era in football and established a legacy that would inspire generations.
!summarize #ai #aiarchitecture
This video has already been summarized: https://inleo.io/threads/view/taskmaster4450le/re-taskmaster4450le-33crbzewj
Impact: Now for the first time the stars were completely aligned for Empire building. We had a man who wanted wealth and power without a care for tradition. He controlled an army, which gave him the means to control Rome.
The vehicle is equipped with a 105mm M35 tank gun, a 12.7mm M2HB heavy machine gun, and a 7.62mm M240B machine gun, making it ideal for infantry support. Unlike the M2 Bradley, which is better for mechanized infantry with its troop capacity and missile armament, the M10 Booker offers superior direct-fire capabilities. It has a top speed of 64 km/h, a range of 560 km, and modular armor for protection.
The M10 Booker features an advanced fire control system from the M1A2 Abrams, along with a hydropneumatic suspension and high-tech optics to improve targeting and situational awareness, capabilities that can prove invaluable for the US Army in complex and dynamic combat environments.
The second option features a 1.5T engine generating 120 kW (161 hp) and 255 Nm of torque, combined with a 107 kW (143 hp) electric motor and a 3DHT pro transmission. It uses an 18.7 kWh lithium iron phosphate battery, also offering a CLTC electric range of 115 km.
The Geely Galaxy L7 EM-i is equipped with the Flyme Auto intelligent cockpit system, featuring a four-spoke steering wheel and a 16.2-inch co-pilot entertainment screen as standard across all models.
The system supports dual-screen linkage, multi-tasking, CarLink, and Hicar mobile phone connectivity. Notably, Geely opted for the Qualcomm Snapdragon 8155 chip to power the cockpit, instead of its own Dragon Eagle-1 chip.
The newly developed prototype employs non-imaging optical principles that have never been applied to detect gravitational waves.
Non-imaging optical principles are optical techniques that manipulate light without forming a traditional image, unlike lenses or mirrors used in cameras and telescopes. They are often used to control light distribution, beam shape, or energy transfer rather than focusing on visual resolution.
The instrument developed by the researchers uses these techniques to apply precise optical corrections directly to LIGO’s main mirrors. It is positioned just a few centimeters in front of the mirror’s surface, where it projects ultra-low-noise infrared radiation to improve performance.
!summarize #gigafactories #elonmusk #tesla
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Tesla's Future: The Path Beyond Current Challenges
Elon Musk remains a prominent figure in the media, particularly as he navigates the complexities of federal reforms and their potential impacts on Tesla's stock performance. Despite a notable surge of nearly 40% following the elections, Tesla's stock has witnessed a decline of double digits since the new president took office. Analysts continue to analyze the significance of Musk's brand in relation to Tesla as a whole.
Current Market Trends and Future Projections
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Recent data indicates that the trends for Tesla in the U.S. and Europe were underwhelming last year. However, a strong year in China bolstered the overall performance. Looking into 2025, early signs suggest that the struggles may continue. George Dianus, a noted analyst, highlighted that much of Tesla’s stock performance currently hinges on new vehicle launches, specifically the upcoming Model Y and other potential offerings over the next few years.
Musk has suggested that 2026 and beyond could herald an "epic" transformation for the company, primarily driven by new product introductions and enhanced services. Notably, affordable vehicles are expected to hit production in the first half of 2025, although substantial volume production may not materialize until 2026.
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The Broader Vision: Automotive to Service Company Transition
Tesla is on the brink of a significant transformation in its business model. Over the next decade, it’s anticipated that Tesla could evolve from being predominantly an electric vehicle manufacturer to a comprehensive transport and labor-as-a-service provider. As investors begin to recognize the extensive groundwork laid over the last 10 to 15 years, they may witness an influx of opportunities derived from Tesla's ongoing endeavors in robotics and autonomy.
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Tesla’s ambitious plans for autonomy include launching a robot taxi service in Austin by 2026, with expansions likely in 2027. Musk has indicated that Tesla's fully autonomous services will scale significantly, impacting many cities across the U.S. and potentially worldwide. This foresight touches upon a promising economic landscape where innovation leads to prolific growth.
The Power of Public Perception and Media Influence
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Despite the numerous prospects Tesla is addressing, the company still grapples with public perception. A recent article from Wired, critiqued as pushing an overly negative narrative on Tesla and Musk, raised questions about how vocal factions within social media can influence broader consumer sentiments. Analysts like Dianus point out that while there exists a vocal minority detracting from Musk’s leadership, the majority of Tesla owners remain loyal because they appreciate the vehicles themselves.
In an era where accessibility to information and opinions is abundant, founded claims against the company often fail to represent the larger consumer picture. This divide underscores that what truly influences Tesla's performance is not the outcry of a few but its product quality and innovation.
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Valuations and Future Growth Potential
Valuation of Tesla remains a contentious topic among analysts, especially after significant fluctuations in stock prices. Despite the high expense of Tesla stock, Dianus maintains his buy rating, arguing that the premium reflects a healthy expectation of growth driven by new products, energy storage advancements, and complete autonomy through the introduction of machines like Optimus.
The comparison to other disruptive companies like Amazon highlights the rare and unprecedented level of potential transformation Tesla seeks within its sector. A favorable earnings outlook is critical, and confident market predictions hinge on Tesla's capacity to sustain growth beyond 2027.
Conclusion: A Legacy in Innovation
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As Tesla continues to forge a path through the tumultuous waters of public perception and market expectations, it is undoubtedly positioned for notable innovations in the coming years. While Musk's polarizing behaviors might attract scrutiny or criticism, the core of Tesla's offering remains rooted in technology, quality products, and a commitment to redefining transportation and automation.
Investors and consumers alike are advised to keep their eyes on Tesla's strategic advancements rather than the noise that may surround it. Looking ahead, the focus should remain on how well the company can capitalize on its innovations and maintain its status as a leader in electric vehicles and beyond.
!summarize #tesla #physics #vehicle #technology
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The Future of Tesla and X: A Bold Vision from Elon Musk
In a recent conversation, Elon Musk unveiled some exciting developments regarding Tesla's new products and his vision for X (formerly known as Twitter). As always, Musk's ideas are ambitious, aiming for breakthroughs that have never been achieved before.
The Next Generation Roadster
Tesla's upcoming Roadster is poised to be a revolutionary car that not only builds on the company's electric vehicle portfolio but also introduces elements borrowed from SpaceX technology. Musk hinted at the Roadster being a collaborative project between SpaceX and Tesla, leading to speculation about innovative features, including potential "rockety stuff."
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The specifications are staggering—an impressive 0 to 60 mph in under one second, which far surpasses the performance metrics of any current sports car. Musk suggests that the Roadster will be unlike anything seen in the automotive industry. It could combine features that move beyond traditional car design, possibly leading to a vehicle that feels more like something out of a sci-fi vision akin to "The Jetsons."
While teasing the futuristic aspects, he clarified that the Roadster will maintain wheels and a modern algorithm for driving, steering away from any ideas of it being a flying car. Musk pointed to the innovation that a drive-by-wire yoke will bring, similar to aircraft controls, emphasizing that it will offer a unique driving experience that redefines what a car can be.
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Tesla’s Continued Success
Musk's comments highlighted Tesla's achievements in the automotive market. The Tesla Model Y emerged as the bestselling car globally, with sales reaching 1.2 million units last year, outperforming competitors despite its higher price point. He reiterated that this success is a testament to the Tesla team's relentless dedication to developing high-quality products.
As Tesla gears up for the launch of the Cybertruck, which has already garnered over a million orders, Musk characterized the vehicle as a "once-a-decade" product that stands out in the automotive landscape.
X: A New Era for News and Freedom of Expression
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Turning the conversation to X, Musk described it as the "number one source of news" worldwide. He elaborated on how the platform has evolved to include long-form content, video, and audio capabilities, emphasizing the need for diverse viewpoints and the importance of freedom of expression. Musk's commitment to maintaining X as a platform for free speech remains unwavering, even in the face of challenges.
Musk recognized that the media landscape is changing, and X aims to adapt by providing users with a wide array of content forms—text, pictures, and videos—while also planning to expand further into long-form journalism. This pivot signals Musk's ambition to position X as a dominant force in news dissemination.
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He also addressed the ongoing controversy surrounding advertisers on the platform. Despite many advertisers leaving, Musk maintained that he prioritizes freedom of expression over financial gain. He reaffirmed his stance against what he described as "advertising blackmail," insisting on the company's independence from external pressures.
Civilizational Goals and Aspirations
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Musk's overarching aspiration is to "extend consciousness" into the future. He emphasized the fragility of civilization and highlighted the importance of addressing significant risks that could threaten its stability, such as demographic collapse and potential global conflicts. Through his various ventures, Musk sees a pathway to not only preserve but also enhance civilization, ensuring progress towards a more enlightened future.
In an age where technological advancements shape our reality, Musk's vision for Tesla and X represents a commitment to redefining how we connect, engage, and innovate. His dream of making life multiplanetary and safeguarding civilization illustrates a blend of entrepreneurial spirit with a profound understanding of humanity's place in the universe.
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In summary, Elon Musk’s recent remarks paint a picture of futuristic innovation, resilience in the face of corporate challenges, and an unwavering commitment to freedom of expression and civilizational progress. As Tesla and X prepare for the next chapter, the entire world watches with anticipation for what groundbreaking changes lie ahead.
I have been accused of that.
not, you not is a robot.
You are a good guy of community;
but, refer a tec and futeure, i did make a post, about how IA will make transform market
https://peakd.com/ecency/@jaopalas/pteng-how-artificial-intelligence-is-transforming-the-market
i just think that future, the peoples are connected with tech and robots.
style cyberpunk
!summarize #ai #robotics #economy #society
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The Future: Nine Things Predicted to Disappear in the Next Two Decades
In a rapidly changing world shaped by technology and innovation, it often feels easier to anticipate what will fade away than to pinpoint what will arise. This perspective allows for a clearer understanding of the transformative impact of advancements, particularly in artificial intelligence (AI) and biotechnology. Looking at historical trends can shed light on the impending obsolescence of certain practices and systems. Below are nine significant aspects predicted to diminish or disappear within the next 5 to 20 years.
The End of Aging
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Among the most profound predictions is the potential end of aging. Scientific advancements in regenerative medicine and rejuvenation therapies might enable individuals to regain their youth, effectively reversing the aging process. This doesn't merely signify extending life; rather, it encompasses making individuals feel and appear significantly younger. Within the next decade, we could witness the emergence of 'aging vaccines' designed to halt or even reverse biological aging, fundamentally altering society's perception of age and lifespan.
The Demise of Fossil Fuels
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As society strides towards sustainability, fossil fuels are on track to become obsolete. While they played a crucial role in industrialization and economic growth, alternative energy sources such as solar, nuclear, and potentially fusion energy are set to replace them. This transition doesn’t imply a complete depletion of fossil fuels, but rather a paradigm shift where reliance on these fuels diminishes as society transitions to greener energy solutions, including hydrogen-based fuels.
Disappearance of Office Work
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The concept of traditional office work will also face extinction. With the rise of remote technologies and automation, the need for human presence in office spaces is dwindling. The COVID-19 pandemic proved that productivity can thrive in a fully remote environment, leading to a reimagining of urban spaces that might shift from economic centers to social hubs. Consequently, the sprawling suburbs will likely shrink as cities transform into spaces that emphasize culture and community rather than mere economic productivity.
The Evolution of Hollywood
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Hollywood as we know it could face a seismic shift in its structure. The increasing prevalence of AI in content creation will redefine what entertainment looks like. Filmmaking, as an industry dominated by traditional methods, may give way to AI-generated content that rivals the quality of human-made productions. While there will always be a place for practical effects and live-action performances, the bulk of digital media consumption may pivot towards innovations in AI-driven entertainment, reshaping celebrity culture and production methods.
The Erasure of Language Barriers
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Advancements in language technology portend the near eradication of language barriers. Tools such as real-time translation devices will allow individuals to communicate fluently despite linguistic differences. With platforms already on the cusp of universal translation capabilities, the world may become more interconnected, fostering cultural exchange and understanding on an unprecedented scale.
Rethinking Governance
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The role of human representatives in governance may come under scrutiny as AI assumes more significant decision-making capabilities. Combining AI with blockchain-based systems could lead to a form of direct democracy, diminishing the need for traditional governmental structures. While the transition will require careful consideration to avoid potential upheaval, the efficiency and transparency of these systems could revolutionize the political landscape.
The Transformation of Healthcare
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The future of healthcare is anticipated to be radically altered by AI's superiority over human practitioners. AI systems already demonstrate faster, more accurate diagnostics and can provide personalized care that traditional doctors struggle to match. In conjunction with regenerative medicine, the need for frequent doctor's visits may diminish, leading to a healthcare paradigm where robotic assistance is commonplace, with healthcare becoming more accessible and efficient than ever before.
A New Era of Education
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The education system as it stands may become outdated as AI technologies facilitate personalized learning experiences. The current model often stifles curiosity, but with tailored teaching methods powered by AI, students can pursue their interests at an accelerated pace. This shift towards intrinsic motivation, where a learner’s natural curiosity drives their education, could unlock the potential of young minds in a way that traditional models never could.
The End of Social Suffering
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Lastly, the prediction extends to social ailments such as homelessness, poverty, and mental illness. Advances in technology and a shift towards a mindset of abundance could fundamentally alter how society addresses these issues. With resources becoming more abundant and accessible, the underlying causes of social suffering may be mitigated, leading to a society that fosters well-being and inclusion.
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In conclusion, while predicting the future can be fraught with uncertainties, examining current trends suggests a transformative shift ahead. The next two decades could witness the radical reconfiguration of society as we know it – one where aging, traditional fuels, outdated work practices, and societal suffering become relics of a bygone era, providing fertile ground for a new and potentially more equitable future.
!summarize #meta #robots #llms #system
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Meta's AI Humanoid Robots: A Game-Changer in Robotics
Meta has recently made a groundbreaking announcement regarding its venture into AI-powered humanoid robots, stirring a mix of excitement and unease in the tech community. By merging its Llama AI technology with robotic design, Meta aims to create humanoid robots capable of performing household chores and complex physical tasks. This move could fundamentally alter our day-to-day lives, shifting how we live and work.
The Technology Behind the Revolution
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Meta is not merely jumping onto the robotics bandwagon with rudimentary machines; it has developed a sophisticated “brain” system that could potentially drive robots from various companies. The integration of artificial intelligence into robotics is essential, allowing these machines to adapt and respond to human behaviors in a nuanced manner. Meta’s Llama AI acts as the guiding intellect behind these robots, making it possible for them to learn and predict user behavior.
Concerns Over Data Privacy
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As thrilling as the prospect of humanoid robots is, it raises significant concerns regarding privacy and personal data. Meta, known for its extensive tracking of social media behaviors through platforms like Facebook and Instagram, would potentially instill robots into our homes that could monitor every aspect of our lives. By learning our daily routines, these robots might gather an immense amount of personal data, posing risks associated with hacking and surveillance.
A Revolutionary Simulation Environment
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What sets Meta apart from its competitors is its innovative use of simulations in training robots. Metaverse-like programs enable robotic systems to practice over 100,000 different tasks in a sophisticated digital environment that mimics real-life homes. This means that by the time a robot enters a physical space, it has already encountered countless scenarios, giving it the remarkable ability to navigate human environments smoothly and safely.
The Future of Human-Robot Collaboration
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Meta isn't just looking at robots as standalone machines but as collaborative partners in our daily lives. With the technology to provide instant assistance, these robots are designed to work alongside humans, amplifying efficiency in tasks such as cleaning, cooking, or even providing companionship. The company's commitment to building what they call "mixed reality interfaces" allows users to see a robot’s thought processes in real time, promising an unprecedented level of transparency in human-robot interactions.
A Bold Investment in the Future
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Despite facing significant financial losses within its Reality Labs division, Meta continues to aggressively invest in these robotic initiatives, pledging an eye-popping $65 billion to AI development this year alone. This commitment underscores the belief that the integration of AI and robotics will play a vital role in reshaping how we engage with technology and manage our daily lives.
The Robot Economy and Societal Implications
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Meta's advancements in robotics raise crucial questions about societal shifts that could emerge from widespread adoption of AI-powered machines. As companies like Google and Apple also invest heavily in robotics, there's a looming threat of creating a tech divide—one where only the wealthy have access to household robots. If Meta’s vision for ubiquitous humanoid robots materializes, it could exacerbate economic disparities, leading to a future segmented by access to advanced technologies.
Conclusion: The Robot Revolution Is Coming
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While some may speculate whether we are entering a sci-fi dystopia dominated by machines, what Meta is working on could also be framed as a pragmatic evolution in technology. Robots capable of understanding and facilitating human life could alleviate many mundane chores, allowing us more space for creativity and leisure. It’s an exciting, albeit cautionary, front in the technological revolution.
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For businesses and individuals alike, staying informed about developments in this burgeoning field is essential. The potential implications of AI-powered robotic technology are vast, raising questions about privacy, job security, and human-robot interactions in the workplace. As we stand on the brink of this new era, it’s crucial to engage with these discussions and consider how we can navigate the future responsibly.
Crypto and Trump gang up on FDIC over debanking: 'Our story is pretty ridiculous'
After years of struggles with the Biden administration, crypto executives have allies across Washington, and now have a platform to voice their complaints.
Anchorage Digital CEO Nathan McCauley wants everyone to know what happened to his crypto company in 2023 during the Biden administration.
"Our story is pretty ridiculous," McCauley told CNBC in an interview after testifying at a Senate hearing, titled, "Investigating the Real Impacts of Debanking in America," earlier this month. "We had a bank that we had a growing relationship with for a number of years, who basically on a dime, decided to turn off our bank account."
#crypto #Trump #fdic #anchoragedigital #nathanmccauley #debanking
No explanation. No warning. After two years working with the bank, access was cut off. He didn't name the bank and an Anchorage spokesperson said the company is declining to provide it.
McCauley's peers across the crypto industry have shared similar sagas about being locked out of the U.S. financial system, losing access to payroll, checking accounts and payment processing. Industry leaders call it "Operation Choke Point 2.0," an alleged coordinated effort by regulators during the Biden presidency to pressure banks into severing ties with crypto. The 1.0 version, they say, occurred when the Obama administration went after banks that backed gun manufacturers and payday lenders.
!summarize #office #worker #ai #Technology
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The Future of User Interfaces: A Conversation on AI and Innovation
The world of technology is evolving at an unprecedented pace, where notions that once seemed impossible are becoming reality. In a recent episode of Startup Talk, a Toronto-based podcast celebrating the city’s vibrant startup ecosystem, hosts engaged in an enlightening discussion regarding the future of user interfaces and the expansive opportunities offered by artificial intelligence (AI).
The Brave New World of Technology
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As technology continues to advance, we find ourselves in a brave new world. The conversation began with a reflection on how we interact with computers today versus what could be possible in the near future. The analogy of Star Trek's fictional computer was used to illustrate the potential for a seamless interaction where a user simply conveys their thoughts to the machine.
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While one participant noted how some envision a world where commands are simply thought and executed by AI, skepticism prevails regarding the complete transition to conversational interfaces. There remains a strong belief that traditional methods, such as power buttons, will not entirely vanish, as they provide unmatched reliability. The user’s hesitance to rely solely on emerging conversational AI technologies was echoed, highlighting that current generations still recognize the value of immediate, fail-proof commands over probabilistic interactions.
The Spectrum of User Interaction
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A lively debate ensued regarding the timeline for the evolution of these technologies. The general consensus was that while significant advancements in AI might emerge within the next two decades, total reliance on non-verbal commands may remain at least 40 to 50 years away. Innovations in hardware, such as Apple's eye-tracking technology, are paving the way for new forms of user interaction, suggesting a future where gestures and visual cues can manipulate technology at our fingertips.
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However, the modern landscape presents its challenges, particularly surrounding privacy and social interactions. One example raised was the misuse of emerging augmented reality (AR) glasses that can identify individuals based on their social media profiles, leading to potential ethical concerns regarding data privacy and authenticity in social dynamics.
Emphasizing Entrepreneurial Opportunities
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As the discussion progressed, the focus shifted toward the current landscape for entrepreneurs and the potential within the realm of AI. One of the guests shared insights into their innovative business model at Prosper Labs—fostering a partnership approach with subject matter experts across various industries, such as healthcare or finance. Rather than merely supplying technology tools, Prosper Labs is committed to customizing AI agents that cater to specific industry needs, empowering entrepreneurs to leverage AI for their market strategies.
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This collaborative model emphasizes creating value through partnerships rather than just providing a tech platform. Entrepreneurs with in-depth knowledge of specific sectors are well-positioned to develop tailored AI solutions beneficial to both their businesses and Prosper Labs.
Join the Movement
For those intrigued by the conversation, resources for further exploration were provided. Entrepreneurs interested in leveraging AI tools within their businesses can visit Prosper Labs' website or reach out directly to the team for personalized demos and guidance. As technology continues its relentless forward momentum, connecting the thought leaders and innovators in Toronto’s entrepreneurial landscape remains vital.
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In closing, the episode showcased the dynamic interplay between technological advancement and entrepreneurial spirit within Toronto. The podcast invites its listeners to reflect on both the challenges and opportunities arising from AI while fostering an active dialogue among the city’s visionaries. As Startup Talk continues to bridge connections among entrepreneurs, innovators, and community leaders, it exemplifies the powerful narrative of resilience and transformation that thrives within Canada’s largest city.
Listeners are encouraged to subscribe, provide feedback, and participate in the larger conversations happening within this thriving entrepreneurial community. Join the journey as Startup Talk explores the confluence of ideas, innovation, and inspiration in shaping the future.
!summarize #raykurzweil #ai #agi #smarter
Part 1/11:
The Dawn of Superintelligence: A Look into Our AI Future
Imagine a world where machines surpass the intellectual capabilities of the greatest minds on Earth. This scenario, as startling as it may sound, is not far off according to futurist Ray Kurzweil. He predicts that by the year 2029, artificial intelligence (AI) will match—or even exceed—the cognitive abilities of humans. Kurzweil’s assertions form the basis of a growing discourse surrounding a massive AI infrastructure project that is currently being developed in the United States, regarded as the largest of its kind in history.
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The foundation of Kurzweil's vision lies in what he coins the law of accelerating returns. This principle indicates that technological evolution is not a gradual process but rather an exponential one. Notably, each milestone in technology serves as a stepping stone for the next breakthrough, creating a snowball effect. For instance, the invention of the computer led to the interconnectedness of the internet, which subsequently facilitated the emergence of AI—now paving the way for superintelligence.
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As we stand on the brink of technological evolution, the next decade could yield more advancements than the last century combined. Kurzweil anticipates that such rapid progress will revolutionize sectors like healthcare. For instance, AI's capability to diagnose diseases and propose cures could lead to dramatic improvements in global health outcomes. The process of developing the Moderna COVID vaccine illustrates AI's potential: simulations were employed to test billions of mRNA sequences in mere days, resulting in a highly effective vaccine.
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While many dismiss these predictions as mere science fiction, Kurzweil asserts that the exponential growth of AI will soon be apparent. By the end of this decade, we may inhabit a world distinctly unlike our own, where AI outthinks humanity at every turn. The implications of such advancements are both exciting and daunting, offering a glimpse into a future filled with possibilities for unprecedented progress. Imagine AI solving long-standing challenges such as disease eradication, hunger, and climate change by utilizing both human insight and machine power.
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The implications extend beyond collective intelligence; the potential for individuals to gain direct access to rich knowledge, improved decision-making capabilities, and enhancements in physical and cognitive abilities may redefine our existence. These advancements are reflected in reports such as the Stanford University AI Index, which notes AI's surpassing human ability in various benchmark tasks, including language translation and reading comprehension. A recent survey among machine learning researchers presents a compelling statistic: there is a 50% likelihood that AI will outperform humans in all tasks within the next 45 years.
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Increasingly, the connection between AI and global resource management is becoming clear. As Kurzweil notes, tapping into just a fraction of the sunlight that strikes the Earth could meet our energy demands, a development expected to come to fruition in the next decade. Moreover, the introduction of nanobots capable of linking human brains with cloud technology by the 2030s could amplify human intelligence a millionfold. This would bring us to a defining moment in human history: the singularity predicted for 2045, where the fusion of human and machine intelligence might yield unimaginable possibilities.
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Nevertheless, with great power comes great responsibility. The rise of superintelligent machines introduces significant risks; the foremost concern is ensuring that their goals remain aligned with human values. If AI evolves beyond our control, significant considerations arise: who holds the reins? If artificial intelligence surpasses the intellect of all humans combined, determining its operational framework presents a multitude of challenges.
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Amid ongoing debates, discussions have emerged regarding the potential for a universal basic compute model, as opposed to the conventional universal basic income. Envision a future where everyone has a stake in the computational resources of advanced AI, including applications aimed at critical research such as cancer treatment. This shift could reshape our economic paradigm dramatically.
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A glimpse into the clandestine “Stargate Project” highlights the global race for AI superiority. Funded with trillions, little is publicly known about this initiative. However, expert speculation hints at the exploration of advanced AI for military applications, enhanced surveillance, and groundbreaking scientific discoveries. The ambition behind projects like Stargate aims to push the boundaries of AI capabilities toward unprecedented levels.
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The financial commitment to AI infrastructure is staggering; new American ventures alone are poised to invest at least $500 billion. Such investments could not only generate immediate employment opportunities but also significantly hasten the timeline for the anticipated advancements predicted by Kurzweil. The convergence of these efforts could lead to a reality where AI reshapes the very fabric of existence as we know it.
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As we hurtle towards this new era, the conversation surrounding AI becomes increasingly vital. Society faces a duality of progress and risk—the challenge lies in navigating this precarious landscape where superintelligence could soon become reality. The next decade promises to be transformative, both extraordinarily promising and profoundly complex, where our relationship with technology will be redefined.
Dell shares pop on report of $5 billion deal for AI servers for Elon Musk's xAI
Elon Musk's high-valued artificial intelligence startup relies on Nvidia chips, and is reportedly buying a hefty amount from Dell.
Dell shares rose about 4% on Friday following a report from Bloomberg that Elon Musk's startup xAI was preparing an agreement to buy $5 billion in artificial intelligence servers from the hardware maker.
The equipment containing Nvidia's GB200 graphics processing units (GPUs) would be delivered this year, according to Bloomberg, which cited unnamed sources.
#dell #earnings #xai #servers #elonmusk #compute
Many data center gear manufacturers have been seeing growth from selling boxes for training and running AI models. Dell said in November that it had $3.6 billion in quarterly AI server order demand. Dell's total revenue for the latest quarter totaled $24.37 billion, up 10% year over year.
In December, xAI announced a $6 billion funding round. CNBC reported that the Musk startup, which competes with OpenAI, was raising the money to purchase GPUs. The Grok assistant from xAI is available for people to use on X, which is also owned by Musk.
Musk has been building out xAI's facility in Memphis, Tennessee.
A growing digital ad market is benefiting giants like Meta and smaller players like Reddit
The digital advertising market is doing so well that even Reddit is getting a cut of the spoils.
The digital advertising market is doing so well that even Reddit is getting a cut of the spoils.
Reddit on Wednesday reported fourth-quarter revenue of $428 million, which was up 71% from the previous year and represents the fastest growth rate for any quarter since 2022. Although Reddit's shares tumbled on weaker-than-expected user numbers, the company's growing sales indicate a particularly healthy digital ad market, said Jeremy Goldman, a senior director at Emarketer.
#ads #digital #marketing #meta #reddit #socialmedia
Investors typically look to the financial performance of tech giants like Meta, Alphabet and Amazon for a view of the ad market's overall health, Goldman said. That Reddit's sales grew significantly alongside the bigger players shows that advertisers feel optimistic enough to "diversify to a platform that's more nascent, like Reddit, and say 'We're willing to throw some dollars at this thing that we don't really understand,'" Goldman said.
Media and advertising executives told CNBC in December that they were optimistic about the market and said that ad spending increased in the fourth quarter. That sentiment seemed to be reflected by online ad tech companies' latest quarterly earnings reports, said Gil Luria, head of tech research at investment banking firm D.A. Davidson. He added that "animal spirits are high" following the U.S. presidential election.
!summarize #megapack #energy #storage #energy
Part 1/8:
The Revolutionary Charge Cube: A Game Changer in Mobile Charging Solutions
In recent discussions about electric vehicle (EV) infrastructure, a noteworthy innovation has emerged that could reshape how we think about energy storage and charging: the Charge Cube from Felton Technologies. With battery packs often hailed for their immense cost and logistical challenges, this product presents an exciting, cost-effective alternative.
The Charge Cube: A Brief Overview
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The Charge Cube, or Charge Cubed, is essentially a modified shipping container equipped with stacks of used and recycled EV batteries. This portable charging solution is particularly beneficial for businesses that require multiple vehicle charges without the capability to install fixed charging stations due to space or power constraints.
The Cube can accommodate a range of battery configurations, allowing it to charge up to 12 electric vehicles at once. Its design allows for easy installation on locations like corporate parking lots, farms, or job sites, making it a versatile option for various users.
Addressing the Power Imbalance
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One significant advantage of the Charge Cube is its ability to manage power supply constraints. Many businesses face limited power supply capabilities, stemming from their electrical connection to the grid. The Charge Cube acts as a reservoir, receiving power during off-peak hours and then supplying it to electric vehicles when needed—similar to historical steam locomotives that filled their water supplies slowly throughout the day.
The product is particularly beneficial for companies with fleets, such as delivery services or construction teams needing temporary power solutions. The flexibility of being able to rent, lease, or purchase the Cube enables businesses to maintain operations without the high upfront cost of infrastructure upgrades.
The Importance of Battery Recycling
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A notable aspect of the Charge Cube is its focus on sustainability. Given that EV batteries often face skepticism regarding recyclability, Felton Technologies stands out by utilizing second-life batteries that retain roughly 85% of their usable capacity for at least 25 years—an environmentally conscious choice that reduces waste and maximizes resource utilization.
While the company is primarily focused on reusing old batteries in the Charge Cube, it also develops EV conversion kits for classic cars, further highlighting their commitment to battery lifecycle management.
Safety and Performance Features
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Safety is a paramount concern with any battery storage solution. The Charge Cube boasts a robust design, featuring a heavy steel case and an internal liquid coolant system designed to monitor and maintain optimal operating temperatures. The software deployed by Felton provides real-time monitoring and control of the batteries to ensure safety and functionality throughout their operational life.
An Economical Solution
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Perhaps the most striking aspect of the Charge Cube is its affordability. The cost of a 10-foot Charge Cube capable of housing up to 6 battery packs can be as low as £60,000 (approximately $75,000). When compared to traditional solutions like Tesla's MegaPack—costing upwards of several million dollars—this investment represents a significant savings, especially for businesses considering temporary or fluctuating power needs.
By either renting or purchasing a Charge Cube, companies can avoid lengthy upgrades to their grid connection, saving both time and money in the process. The Cube can even serve as a stopgap measure while such upgrades occur, allowing for uninterrupted operations.
Future Developments and Sustainability Initiatives
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Looking forward, Felton Technologies has plans to incorporate additional energy-generating options such as solar panels and wind turbines to further enhance the sustainability of the Charge Cube. They also envision a modular approach, allowing customers to expand their energy capacity by connecting multiple units together.
Conclusion
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In summary, the Charge Cube represents a groundbreaking step forward in mobile electric vehicle charging solutions. By addressing common concerns regarding cost, power availability, and ecological impact, it stands to support a more sustainable and flexible approach to electrifying transportation. With its potential applications extending beyond mere fleet management to events and construction sites, the Charge Cube has the capacity to redefine how we approach energy solutions in the EV era.
For a deeper look into this innovative product, contributors like Will from Tesla Jigsaw are often providing insights and updates, making it beneficial for industry professionals and enthusiasts alike to stay informed about such advancements.
!summarize #ai #scale #Thinking #frontiermodels
Part 1/9:
The Evolution of AI: Scaling and System Two Thinking
The incredible advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) over the last five years can best be encapsulated by the concept of scale. While there have been notable algorithmic improvements, today's leading models fundamentally rely on the same Transformer architecture that emerged in 2017. The primary difference lies in the amount of data and computational power utilized for training these models. For instance, in 2019, training a model like GPT-2 cost approximately $5,000. Today, however, training models can run into the hundreds of millions of dollars. This escalation raises legitimate concerns about whether the AI field might plateau or "hit a wall".
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Despite these apprehensions, there exists a compelling narrative suggesting that AI's progress is on the brink of acceleration. By recounting personal experiences from the speaker's PhD journey, we gain insight into both the challenges and pathways toward overcoming them.
The Poker Showdown
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The speaker commenced their PhD in 2012 with an ambition to cultivate AI that could autonomously master the intricacies of poker. Unlike many assume, poker transcends mere chance; it requires strategic thinking akin to chess but with additional complexity. Early in their research, conventional wisdom within the academic community indicated that merely scaling models would suffice to yield improvements. By 2015, the models had advanced to the extent that they could challenge top human players in a rigorous 880,000-hand poker competition.
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However, the bots were outclassed significantly by seasoned professionals. The stark contrast between the trained AI and human performers was apparent during this competition. The bot, trained extensively on nearly a trillion hands over a short period, made split-second decisions of about 10 milliseconds, while expert players took time to contemplate their moves, sometimes even for minutes.
System One vs. System Two Thinking
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This dynamic prompted the speaker to explore the concept of System One and System Two thinking, as described by Daniel Kahneman in his book, Thinking, Fast and Slow. System One signifies fast, intuitive responses, whereas System Two denotes a slower, more analytical approach. The speaker proposed that this absence of System Two thinking could be the missing link explaining the disparity in outcomes between the bot and human players.
After conducting experiments that revealed astonishing results, it became clear that giving the bot merely 20 seconds to deliberate on a poker hand would yield a performance boost equivalent to scaling the model size by 100,000 times. This significant discovery prompted the team to redesign the poker AI, focusing on enhancing System Two thinking.
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Subsequently, in 2017, they entered another high-stakes poker tournament, this time with a reformed AI capable of taking the time to think. The outcome was unexpected, as their enhanced model won decisively against elite players; this success redefined what was possible in AI-assisted strategy.
Lessons from Deep Blue and AlphaGo
The narrative of AI evolution isn't unique to poker; similar victories have been observed in chess and Go. In 1997, IBM's Deep Blue triumphed over world champion Garry Kasparov. Furthermore, DeepMind's AlphaGo achieved monumental success in 2016. Notably, both systems employed thinking time strategically, outperforming their human counterparts by pondering moves rather than acting instantaneously.
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A 2021 academic paper affirmed a consistent relationship where increasing thinking time by tenfold yielded performance gains comparable to scaling model training. This relation underscores the potential for exploring not just data and computation but also the strategic timing of AI responses.
Future Directions for AI Scaling
Given the substantial costs of training today's frontier models—estimated in the hundreds of millions—the prospect of enhancing AI through System Two thinking appears promising. Improved performance can arise from scaling the time models spend "thinking", rather than merely amplifying data input or training time.
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OpenAI's introduction of models that incorporate deliberation before responding demonstrates this innovative approach. Though these models may take longer and incur higher costs, they hold significant potential for addressing critical challenges, such as medical advancements and scientific breakthroughs.
When prompted about the value of time and investment in developing crucial AI applications, individuals overwhelmingly indicated a readiness to pay substantial amounts for significant outcomes, such as innovative cancer treatments or groundbreaking research.
Conclusion: An Unfolding Revolution
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AI's journey has indeed been characterized by scaling. As history illustrates, the focus thus far has been on expanding System One training. However, the advent of the ability to scale System Two thinking revitalizes the potential for rapid advancements in AI technology.
Though skepticism endures regarding the likelihood of AI reaching a plateau, the evidence suggests that we are just beginning to tap into this new dimension of opportunity. The revolution in AI is not a distant dream but a present reality unfolding before us, heralding a future filled with potential innovations driven by thoughtful AI capabilities. In light of this, the speaker challenges those who doubt the ongoing progress: “Want to bet?”
Meta to develop AI-driven humanoid robots under new Reality Labs division: Memo
Meta’s internal memo also revealed that the company plans to build “more direct expertise” by developing retail locations similar to the Meta Lab store it opened in Los Angeles.
Following its big bet on artificial intelligence (AI), Meta seems to have set its sight on the next major plunge. If an internal company memo accessed by Reuters is to be believed, the California-based tech conglomerate is setting up a new division as part of its Reality Labs unit to develop humanoid robots, powered by AI, which can assist with physical tasks.
#meta #ai #humanoid #robots #realitylabs
In the memo reviewed by Reuters, Meta’s chief technology officer Andrew Bosworth revealed that the robotics product group would focus on research and development of “consumer humanoid robots” aimed at maximizing its main series of AI foundation models called Llama. According to Bosworth, expanding the portfolio to invest in this field will bring additional value to Meta AI and its mixed and augmented reality programs.
Despite billions in investment from major tech companies and startups into AI-powered humanoids for manufacturing, logistics, and household tasks, progress on the development of robots has been slow. Researchers have found that breakthroughs in language-related AI, which have driven chatbot development, have not necessarily improved robots’ understanding of the physical world.
The memo underscores Meta’s major investment in the Reality Labs unit—dedicated to developing technologies for future growth—despite facing significant financial losses since its inception. The unit incurred a loss of around $5 billion in the fourth quarter of last year, Reuters added.
Reverse aging in lithium batteries: China’s precision therapy to extend EV cell life
The new technique, which involves injecting a lithium-ion carrier molecule into old batteries, has been found to extend their life beyond 12,000 discharge cycles.
Chinese researchers have come up a new ‘precision therapy’ for old lithium-ion batteries to restore them to near factory-fresh condition. Developed by a team at Fudan University in Shanghai, the method could extend battery life beyond 12,000 discharge cycles.
This could have huge implications across several sectors, including electric vehicles (EVs), smartphones and energy-storage facilities. Such technology would prove revolutionary for batteries typically lasting between 1,000 and 1,500 cycles (around six to eight years of use).
#lithium #batteries #china #ev #celllife #vehicles
The new technology relies on a lithium carrier molecule, which can be injected into old batteries to replenish lost lithium ions. Likened to precision surgery in human beings, this new method could extend battery life and offer important benefits for reducing battery waste and environmental pollution.
Regenerative ‘surgery’ for lithium batteries
“Just like treating a human illness, we focused on repairing the battery’s core issue while preserving its healthy components,” Gao Yue from Fudan University explained. “This carrier molecule can be ‘injected’ into deteriorating batteries to precisely replenish lost lithium ions, providing a ‘precision treatment’,” said Gao.
“The structure of this molecule is quite simple, with lithium electrons at one end and the rest of it acting like a vehicle that transports lithium electrons into the aging battery. The vehicle component is eventually discharged as gas,” he added.
Terabytes of data in a millimeter crystal: New technique can transform microelectronics
To create the new memory storage technique, the team added ions of “rare earth,” a group of elements also known as lanthanides, to a crystal.
Researchers at the University of Chicago Pritzker School of Molecular Engineering have developed a method to store data using crystal defects as ones and zeroes, each the size of an individual atom.
UChicago PME Assistant Professor Tian Zhong explained that each memory cell is created from a single missing atom, or defect. This approach allows terabytes of data to be packed into a small cube of material just a millimeter in size, shows the research published in Nanophotonics.
#terabytes #millimeter #crystal #data #storage
The innovation showcases UChicago PME’s interdisciplinary approach by applying quantum techniques to transform classical, non-quantum computers. It repurposes research originally focused on radiation dosimeters – devices typically used to measure radiation exposure for hospital workers – into revolutionary microelectronic memory storage.
According to first author Leonardo França, a postdoctoral researcher in Zhong’s lab, they integrated solid-state physics used in radiation dosimetry with research focused on quantum science, even though their work is not purely quantum. This interdisciplinary approach enabled the development of groundbreaking microelectronic memory storage.