RE: LeoThread 2026-03-11 16-07

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6/6 🧵

No deal yet: Papa John's is reviewing the offer, but there's no guarantee they'll accept. The WSJ notes another bidder could still emerge. If it closes, it would mark a major exit for the struggling pizza chain founded in Indiana back in 1984.

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#threadstorm

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5/6 🧵

Why go private? Papa John's has struggled for years — weak demand, multiple CEO changes, ongoing turnaround efforts since going public in 1993. Activist investor Irenic Capital also built a stake recently, adding pressure for strategic change.

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4/6 🧵

The backstory: Apollo and Irth initially submitted a joint bid above $60/share last year. Apollo then went solo with a $64 offer in October, but withdrew in November. Now Irth is back alone at a lower price point.

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3/6 🧵

Who is Irth? Founded just 2 years ago in 2024, led by Sheikh Mohamed bin Abdulla Al-Thani (Qatari royal family member) and Matthew Bradshaw. This would be one of their first major acquisitions — a bold debut move for a brand-new firm.

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2/6 🧵

The offer: Irth Capital Management is bidding $47/share, a 44% premium to yesterday's close. That values Papa John's at ~$1.5B total, well above its current $1.07B market cap. Brookfield Asset Management is reportedly backing the deal.

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1/6 🧵

Papa John's stock just jumped 15% on news of a $1.5B takeover bid — but here's the twist: this is the second attempt after Apollo Global walked away from a $64/share deal last November. Now a mysterious new player backed by Qatari royalty is making a move.

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