Book - Securing Digital Rights for Communities | Chapter 17. Algorithmic Stable Coins on Layer I
Game Theory and Governance of Scalable Blockchains for Use in Digital Network States
Chapter 17. Algorithmic Stable Coins on Layer I
- Bond System, Pristine collateral & Lending
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Transcript ⏬
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Alright, let's talk about Stablecoins then, how does that work?
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As we discussed, in order to create a stablecoin it can't be actually backed by physical goods
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at all, nothing that can be seized, nothing that's in the physical realm, it has to be
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backed by something digital that no one controls.
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Why is that?
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Because if they can get it then they might as well, you might as well just have it at
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your house because they're just going to come, it defeats the purpose of censorship
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resistance because it becomes centralized, therefore if you have everything in a centralized
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bank or in a centralized location like you're holding gold or some shit, you have to trust
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the person holding the thing first of all, and you have to trust that they won't be pressured
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by outside forces to censor or take away.
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So what's US dollar tether backed by?
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Supposedly it's backed by dollars.
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Dollars and treasuries in US dollars?
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Yeah, yeah.
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So they're seizable?
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I mean anything, I mean there's not, like there's, everything's seizable except crypto.
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So it's like you need, or you're trusting somebody, the great thing about crypto you
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can kill two birds with one stone, you don't need to trust anybody and it's not seizable.
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With Hive you have a protocol that is run autonomously, it has a natural incentive
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system that isn't centralized, therefore you're going to have people always popping up all
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over the world to compete to store.
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To have an algo stablecoin, you, what I like to think of Hive is, is digital real estate,
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you're able to store text, I.e. you're able to build your own digital realm online, whether
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it be a community or whatever it is, whatever you need to store is going to be there, it's
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a foundation.
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From there you can parameter that, you can say, hey, we want to section off some for
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a algo stablecoin.
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You have to parameter it in the correct way where there is something called a haircut,
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that stablecoin can never get larger and marketable.
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Yeah.
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So what's the difference between a market cap and the underlying principle, the digital
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real estate?
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So the digital real estate's always here, a lot of cushion, let's say this is 100 and
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then you're going to have the stablecoin from 10 to 30, max 30, you can debate that, maybe
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you say 20, you need to be flexible.
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It becomes more about liquidity at the end goal than it is market cap, you want to see
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a lot of it locked up, you want to see a lot of a bonding system in the future, things
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like this.
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And you're thinking about actually growing this thing out.
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But just for a basic actual model that works, where people can spend dollars all over the
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world, you need to back it by something, I can only think of digital real estate, I can
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only think of something that is inherently valuable that can't be seized.
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And you parameter that into a dollar, you're basically saying this is worth a dollar because
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you can redeem it for X amount of digital real estate at the cost at the time.
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Now you have a dollar that can't be seized, that lives on top of a transaction layer that
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doesn't require fees, so you have a dollar that can be sent instantly, that clears instantly
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all over the world, that you can self-custody, you don't need to rely, it's actually inconvenient
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to rely on a middleman.
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I'm trying to think of where would I hold my HBD, if I want to stake it, there's nothing
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a middleman can really offer me.
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The beautiful thing about Hive is most people are self-custodial.
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They're not going to take it.
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They're not going to take it.
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If you look at other chains, people don't even really know what that means.
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Most people don't use the base layer on these chains, they're too expensive, they'll find
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a centralized layer two to use, or a highly centralized layer one that is VC backed with
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low fees, fat nodes.
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You got to pay the piper somewhere on his computation layers, but yeah, talking back
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about Algo stablecoins.
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I think if you have fees, I think the biggest no's are high fees, it defeats the purpose,
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Because a stable coin is not just a unit of account to barter with.
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It's also a way to create an incentive system where it's like, I pay you $10 for doing $10
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worth of work.
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You need that.
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You can't just say, I'll pay you $10 and it's worth $5, like, you know.
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Tomorrow.
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Exactly.
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So it's like, to create an economy, you need a stable coin, period.
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That's why the dollar is so goddamn powerful and so valuable.
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That's why everyone wants it.
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It's what makes the world go round.
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If we didn't have it, like, if the dollar was worth this one day and next, and that
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was like our main unit of account, everything would be crazy.
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So algo stable coin is absolutely necessary.
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It's a two pronged approach, creates economies for barter, it creates the incentive mechanism
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in which to pay people for doing work.
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So I think it's inherent, I think it is one of the pillars absolutely necessary to create
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a parallel economy.
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Yeah.
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Yeah.
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Just touching briefly on a couple of things that Dan said and then going on my own spiel
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on this.
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So the dollar, why do you want a dollar?
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Because people can't understand the fluctuating crypto price, right?
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To do trade.
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If you want to go give normal people this currency to spend, whatever you're creating
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and get them to go spend it at shops and the price is fluctuating by 20% each day, they're
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not going to use it.
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Businesses aren't going to accept it.
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And then this assumption that Bitcoin is going to eventually stabilize, that's a big, that's
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a big if.
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It might not.
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And if it does, when?
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How long is that going to take?
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Are we going to suffice until then?
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Is the dollar system going to be enough where they're going to lock us all in our houses
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again?
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Right?
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So you want to have freedom, you want to have freedom until that point, assuming Bitcoin
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ever does stabilize.
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So then how do you do it?
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Like Dan was touching on earlier, you need to have a dollar.
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Why do you need to have a dollar?
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If any of you have ever driven past San Diego port, Naval port, you'll understand why you
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need to have a dollar.
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That is not going anywhere, right?
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This is not going anywhere.
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This is not going anywhere.
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This is not going anywhere.
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This is not going anywhere.
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This is not going anywhere.
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This is not going anywhere.
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If you need to have a dollar, that is not going anywhere, right?
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The scale, the immense scale of the US Navy is so tremendous, it's almost difficult to
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explain with words.
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And it's difficult to comprehend compared to any other Navy in the world times at least
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three or four.
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And so dollar trade will continue.
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People talk about the petrodollar.
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The petrodollar is about, I don't know, four or $500 million worth of trade a day, which
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was a big thing back in the 70s when it was started.
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But dollar trade ever.
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Dollar trade every day is in the $4, $5, $6 trillion, right, Forex, swap contracts,
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various different types of trade, mining, all sorts of stuff that goes on trade in dollars
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that's way, way, way, orders and orders of magnitude beyond the scale of the petrodollar.
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So it's not, even if the petrodollar went away, the dollar's still not going away.
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So a lot of things have got to go wrong to get rid of the dollar.
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And so the beauty of these systems is that you can peg.
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You can choose your own stable value because you always print in, like Dan says, the digital
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real estate or as I might call it, the social token that you create from these ecosystems.
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It's a dollar's worth of that social token.
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So you're always backing it with your unit of account being a dollar worth of that social
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token.
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Now, if the dollar did go away and something else came to replace it, you could just swap
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the peg to that.
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So you'll always have some form of recognized stable.
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Unit of account and an exchange, regardless of whether the dollar's successful in the
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future or not for the foreseeable future, it's, it's the dollar.
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So we, the currency that we use is called high by dollars, HBD, um, HBD is a bit of
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a shame because it needs rebrand into H dollars, I think, but it is what it is for now, but
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it's $1 worth of Hive or $1 worth of this social token or a Dan calls it $1 worth of
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digital real estate.
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And it always clears to $1 worth of digital real estate.
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And the reason it can be.
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The reason it can do that is because it's very, very, very, very small compared to the
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size of the governance or the digital real estate token that is issued as part of these
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ecosystems.
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And so you can always guarantee that you're going to get $1 worth of the crypto when you
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transfer the stable coin back to the original crypto that it's backed by.
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And that allows you to be completely digital and unbacked by dollars.
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It's backed by the fact that you have a net, a network effect, social, um, e-commerce,
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um, ecosystem where you have to stake a little bit of the token to get access to the resources
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in the system.
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The more network effect you get, the more staking of the token you get, the more demand
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for the token you get.
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That drives the economy of the token.
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It makes it sustainable.
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And therefore you can back a stable coin with that.
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Um, the, these are critical elements to understand as part of this, this philosophy.
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And a lot of people in crypto again, haven't even come close to touch on this.
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And the important thing here, again, as we mentioned in the previous paragraph is that
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it gives you sovereignty because it gives you a base layer.
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It gives you a base layer.
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It gives you a base layer.
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It gives you a base layer.
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It gives you a base layer.
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It gives you a base layer.
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It gives you a base layer.
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And the important thing here, again, as we mentioned in the previous paragraph, is that
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it gives you sovereignty because it gives you a base layer stable coin against which
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to trade the rest of your token ecosystem, without having to use even the DEX or, uh,
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a centralized exchange.
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Then what you do is you create money.
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You get the community to vote on a proposal that creates money that you put either side
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of the stable coin to stabilize it.
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And it's, again, this is all done in turning on the base layer.
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You don't need to cut any deals with any investors.
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You don't need to.
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with any exchanges or DEXs or anything like that, the community creates the selling item
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above the market, which is HBD, and it creates the buying item below the market, which is
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Hive, or the governance token, and it puts them essentially as liquidity pools to stabilise
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the price of the stablecoin.
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It's actually a stable-ish coin that it creates.
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It will never fully be a stablecoin, because you always have large liquidity cash-outs
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that are larger than the stability that you're providing on either side of the market.
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Let's say your normal trade is someone's doing between $50 and $2,000 to exit a day.
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You might need $40,000 or so either side of that to make sure it remains stable, to cope
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with a typical high peak in demand day.
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But if you get serious size selling, you can disconnect from the peg, and it takes the
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market some time to come back.
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You can either add more.
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You can add more liquidity by creating more money from the DAO, from the ecosystem, or
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you can wait.
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You can bide your time.
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There's been several examples in the past where these stablecoins have de-pegged, but
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they always have come back.
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I think in the last six years, there's been five examples where you get a de-peg, more
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than 20%, but they still always come back.
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And that is because there's several controls in place.
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Also pegged to the upside as well.
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Yep, pegged to the upside and the downside.
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Yeah, so you can get breaks on the upside.
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It's a stable issue.
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You can get a stable coin that's worth $15 sometimes, and it comes back.
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And as the technology matures, these breaks away from the pegs are getting less and less
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and less.
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You can also get a stable coin that drops to 80, 60 cents instead of staying at $1.
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But there's several controls in place to stop this from happening.
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I don't know if you want to come in before I go into those controls.
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Well, I mean, just talking about why $1.
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It's like you were talking about the Navy.
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It's like, so you have centralization, which is always going to win in terms of efficiency
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and just brute forcing things.
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So with centralization, it tries to brute force something natural.
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Yes, it makes it a bit unnatural.
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But where, so there's always balance.
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So for every, as centralized as you become, you become just as decentralized.
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You eventually create balance.
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Sometimes things are out of balance, and you have what we see in the world that's unstable.
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But eventually, that unstableness creates.
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It's sort of the hard times, weak men or strong men sort of thing.
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You have centralization at its peak, where it's created the apex asset in the dollar,
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where it's dominant all over the world.
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We've never really quite had anything like this except maybe, say, gold.
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But this thing really has a strong grip over the entire world.
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Why would we recreate that?
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That's not where, like, decentralization would always lose if it had to compete.
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Decentralization doesn't compete.
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It creates a mirror world.
231
00:12:14,900 --> 00:12:18,960
So it's kind of like a fuck you, and it's capped to about 50%, which is balance.
232
00:12:18,960 --> 00:12:23,460
Because the fuck you can't become bigger than the one you're saying fuck you to, right?
233
00:12:23,460 --> 00:12:26,280
Because you can't become stronger than the dollar, right?
234
00:12:26,280 --> 00:12:27,500
Because you're pegged to the dollar.
235
00:12:27,500 --> 00:12:29,460
So it's always sort of like a haircut there.
236
00:12:29,940 --> 00:12:36,060
So if you look at this just from a balanced point of view, we have extreme centralization here.
237
00:12:37,300 --> 00:12:40,520
Something like Hive just takes the mirror and says, what's your grade?
238
00:12:40,520 --> 00:12:42,340
Greatest asset, the dollar, thank you.
239
00:12:42,480 --> 00:12:43,180
We'll take that.
240
00:12:43,900 --> 00:12:45,160
We'll take that parameter.
241
00:12:46,180 --> 00:12:50,040
Free speech, front ends, whatever we need, we'll take all of that.
242
00:12:50,160 --> 00:12:51,200
Oh, you know, even the text.
243
00:12:51,320 --> 00:12:54,580
Everything that we've come to from the centralization world that we've learned,
244
00:12:54,640 --> 00:12:56,500
we've taken it and just tried to mirror on it.
245
00:12:57,300 --> 00:12:58,900
And we kind of leapfrog.
246
00:12:58,900 --> 00:13:00,400
We don't compete with centralization.
247
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We leapfrog off of it.
248
00:13:02,100 --> 00:13:05,080
And most people are trying to think, oh, let's replace the dollar this and that.
249
00:13:05,160 --> 00:13:06,380
It's like, no, no, no, no.
250
00:13:06,440 --> 00:13:08,700
Let's find a way to use the dollar where it can't be seized.
251
00:13:08,940 --> 00:13:10,240
Let's use the dollar in our world.
252
00:13:10,520 --> 00:13:11,620
In the people's world.
253
00:13:11,940 --> 00:13:12,980
That's all this is.
254
00:13:13,060 --> 00:13:13,860
So we're not competing.
255
00:13:14,020 --> 00:13:17,960
We're just riding on the coattails, riding on the shoulders of these centralized giants.
256
00:13:18,380 --> 00:13:19,780
And we're just kind of like, oh, that's nice.
257
00:13:19,840 --> 00:13:20,280
That's nice.
258
00:13:20,360 --> 00:13:20,900
We'll add this.
259
00:13:21,000 --> 00:13:21,960
Why not change this parameter?
260
00:13:22,080 --> 00:13:23,300
Oh, the dollar's not good anymore.
261
00:13:23,400 --> 00:13:24,120
It's this asset.
262
00:13:24,660 --> 00:13:26,140
Let's just, you know, peg to that.
263
00:13:26,140 --> 00:13:31,940
So people who don't think about that aren't thinking down the line for 100 years.
264
00:13:32,260 --> 00:13:33,860
Because the dollar's not always going to be.
265
00:13:34,040 --> 00:13:36,220
There's going to be something in the future that evolves.
266
00:13:36,320 --> 00:13:37,800
The dollar's going to morph into something.
267
00:13:37,980 --> 00:13:39,080
You've got to be flexible.
268
00:13:39,760 --> 00:13:40,300
You can't just.
269
00:13:40,800 --> 00:13:42,260
You know, maybe the dollar is always is.
270
00:13:42,320 --> 00:13:43,820
And maybe that's the highest chance percent.
271
00:13:43,960 --> 00:13:45,380
But you can't just guarantee that.
272
00:13:45,620 --> 00:13:53,220
So if you're going into a place where there's even a few percent chance that you're fucked and there's no recourse, you're in a bad situation.
273
00:13:54,360 --> 00:13:57,260
Because eventually, over the amount of days, that percent's going to hit.
274
00:13:57,460 --> 00:14:01,000
And that's what a lot of these centralized stable coins are doing.
275
00:14:02,220 --> 00:14:06,900
USDC, USDT, they're backing themselves with real physical dollars, seizable in U.S. banks.
276
00:14:07,600 --> 00:14:10,440
If that dollar does devalue, which it seems to be doing over.
277
00:14:10,720 --> 00:14:12,840
Many decades, then that's what's going to happen.
278
00:14:13,040 --> 00:14:14,960
Whereas on a stable coin, it's not backed by dollars.
279
00:14:15,160 --> 00:14:16,200
It's tied to a dollar.
280
00:14:16,400 --> 00:14:20,520
Eventually, the community can pivot to something else that's more stable, if it so wishes.
281
00:14:20,720 --> 00:14:22,800
Yeah, I think they know about Algo stable coins.
282
00:14:23,000 --> 00:14:30,120
I'm very sure something like Luna was a psyop where it was meant to fail because we saw a mile away all the red flags
283
00:14:30,320 --> 00:14:33,600
kind of scare people off from the idea to think that you can't actually do this.
284
00:14:33,800 --> 00:14:37,120
Yeah, it really, really discredited very, very possible.
285
00:14:37,320 --> 00:14:39,600
It really discredited Algo stable coins.
286
00:14:39,600 --> 00:14:45,640
Luna was an interesting scenario because we have in the same way that we have parameter coin voting,
287
00:14:45,840 --> 00:14:48,680
whereas proof of stake is unparametered coin voting.
288
00:14:48,880 --> 00:14:50,720
This is parameter stable.
289
00:14:50,920 --> 00:14:53,080
This is parametered Algo stable coins.
290
00:14:53,280 --> 00:14:56,720
Whereas Terra Luna had unparametered Algo stable coins.
291
00:14:56,920 --> 00:14:57,520
Right. Yeah.
292
00:14:57,720 --> 00:15:01,480
Where they let they had no controls, no economic controls over the ecosystem.
293
00:15:01,680 --> 00:15:04,000
So what happened is everyone went crazy about this dollar.
294
00:15:04,200 --> 00:15:06,800
This was it, UST.
295
00:15:07,000 --> 00:15:09,600
And so the price of the market cap of UST,
296
00:15:09,800 --> 00:15:13,880
exceeded the price, the market cap of the base token.
297
00:15:14,080 --> 00:15:16,040
So you had a stable coin that was backed
298
00:15:16,240 --> 00:15:19,040
by a base token, which is a collateral for the stable coin,
299
00:15:19,240 --> 00:15:22,160
which is smaller than the stable coin itself.
300
00:15:22,360 --> 00:15:25,080
Yeah. And it was and the thing it was backed by wasn't useful.
301
00:15:25,280 --> 00:15:26,640
And yeah, that's the other thing.
302
00:15:26,840 --> 00:15:31,840
I think it was backed by the token Terra, Terra Luna, a weak ass computation layer.
303
00:15:32,040 --> 00:15:36,960
It was just it didn't have any economic activity, didn't have any reason to hold it.
304
00:15:37,160 --> 00:15:38,760
So it's just this massive stable coin
305
00:15:39,800 --> 00:15:41,840
with a little base token.
306
00:15:42,040 --> 00:15:45,920
So then someone took a short position out on the stable coin, right?
307
00:15:46,120 --> 00:15:47,520
Depeg the stable coin.
308
00:15:47,720 --> 00:15:51,280
And at the same time, they took a short position out on
309
00:15:51,480 --> 00:15:53,280
with no parameters in and out.
310
00:15:53,480 --> 00:15:56,560
Everything was just it was all instant, easy to get in and out.
311
00:15:56,760 --> 00:15:58,680
No problem. No haircut rule.
312
00:15:58,680 --> 00:16:00,000
No, no economic control.
313
00:16:00,000 --> 00:16:01,480
So you can easily move between the two.
314
00:16:01,680 --> 00:16:03,560
And so what happened is, is they
315
00:16:03,760 --> 00:16:07,680
accumulated a massive position of the stable coin, shorted the main token,
316
00:16:07,880 --> 00:16:09,480
and then they
317
00:16:09,800 --> 00:16:11,960
instantly, which is insane to us to hear.
318
00:16:12,160 --> 00:16:14,320
You can instantly swap your stable coin
319
00:16:14,520 --> 00:16:18,680
at a massive position and force the protocol on the other side to create a
320
00:16:18,880 --> 00:16:26,200
ton of new base layer tokens, Terra Luna, which just inflates the thing to zero.
321
00:16:26,400 --> 00:16:28,720
And then the short position makes huge profits.
322
00:16:28,720 --> 00:16:30,480
It's such it was such a low risk trade.
323
00:16:30,680 --> 00:16:33,600
And because there's no parameters in the ecosystem, there was almost no risk
324
00:16:33,600 --> 00:16:35,400
behind taking that trade. It was a no brainer.
325
00:16:35,600 --> 00:16:36,800
And it was going to happen eventually.
326
00:16:37,000 --> 00:16:39,600
And Dan and I, during the whole time we were saying, this is.
327
00:16:39,800 --> 00:16:41,480
This is just ridiculous. We can't believe people are doing that.
328
00:16:41,680 --> 00:16:46,720
And the whole time you've got HBD sitting over here doing exactly the same thing,
329
00:16:46,720 --> 00:16:49,920
except it's got all these control and safety parameters so that these types
330
00:16:49,920 --> 00:16:52,760
of things can't happen and yet no one pays attention to the industry.
331
00:16:52,960 --> 00:16:55,680
Everyone's just obsessed with whatever's hot right now.
332
00:16:55,880 --> 00:16:57,600
Yeah, there's really only one way to do it.
333
00:16:57,600 --> 00:16:58,720
It's an algo stable coin.
334
00:16:58,920 --> 00:17:01,640
You have to back it by something that cannot be seized.
335
00:17:01,840 --> 00:17:04,880
That is, and the only thing that can't be seized is a crypto asset.
336
00:17:04,880 --> 00:17:08,120
So it really has to be backed by a crypto asset, a native crypto asset.
337
00:17:08,120 --> 00:17:09,440
It can't be backed by, let's say,
338
00:17:09,600 --> 00:17:12,920
Bitcoin because any of the centralized company taking a risk with their Bitcoin
339
00:17:13,120 --> 00:17:15,920
actually has to be backed by the protocol itself.
340
00:17:16,120 --> 00:17:18,720
What you would call a layer one.
341
00:17:18,920 --> 00:17:20,000
Yeah, that's the only way.
342
00:17:20,200 --> 00:17:21,840
So there's
343
00:17:22,040 --> 00:17:25,680
that's where the pillars really come from, because there's one way to do it.
344
00:17:25,880 --> 00:17:29,440
And you can try to argue it, but it's like there's one way to do fucking light.
345
00:17:29,640 --> 00:17:32,640
There's one way to do oxygen and there's one way to do fucking water.
346
00:17:32,840 --> 00:17:35,840
You can't just start throwing shit, mixing it up and get, you know,
347
00:17:35,840 --> 00:17:37,920
you're going to get something different like.
348
00:17:38,120 --> 00:17:39,400
To get an algo stable coin,
349
00:17:39,600 --> 00:17:42,760
it has to be backed by an unseasonable crypto asset.
350
00:17:42,960 --> 00:17:43,920
There's no other way.
351
00:17:44,120 --> 00:17:45,400
If it can be seized, it's fucked.
352
00:17:45,600 --> 00:17:48,200
If it can be seized, it's.
353
00:17:48,400 --> 00:17:51,840
Completely centralized, if you have to trust somebody
354
00:17:52,040 --> 00:17:54,960
with some gold in a field somewhere centralized because you have to trust
355
00:17:55,160 --> 00:17:58,360
that person, it has to be backed by the distributed protocol itself,
356
00:17:58,560 --> 00:18:00,920
I.e. we have a distributed database.
357
00:18:00,920 --> 00:18:04,160
You look at a map and there's just little databases everywhere that's high.
358
00:18:04,360 --> 00:18:09,000
And then we tokenize it and little pieces of that give you access to this.
359
00:18:09,000 --> 00:18:11,720
This bandwidth to post things on this database.
360
00:18:11,920 --> 00:18:13,440
Now you inherently have value.
361
00:18:13,640 --> 00:18:15,200
There's no other way to do that.
362
00:18:15,400 --> 00:18:17,360
You can't just say, all right, we're not going to store text.
363
00:18:17,560 --> 00:18:20,120
We're going to store fucking wheelbarrows.
364
00:18:20,120 --> 00:18:20,760
I don't know what the fuck.
365
00:18:20,960 --> 00:18:23,840
Like, we're just do computation like there's no other way to do it.
366
00:18:24,040 --> 00:18:25,040
It's text.
367
00:18:25,240 --> 00:18:27,840
It's almost like a natural elements kind of freaky.
368
00:18:27,840 --> 00:18:30,480
When you think about it, you have something that's text is unmovable.
369
00:18:30,680 --> 00:18:32,440
It's unchangeable. It's there.
370
00:18:32,640 --> 00:18:34,880
And it's the most important thing in the world right now.
371
00:18:35,080 --> 00:18:38,160
Text, just text, being able to preserve the integrity of this.
372
00:18:38,160 --> 00:18:40,280
To give ourselves freedom of speech.
373
00:18:40,480 --> 00:18:42,160
That's what it starts with.
374
00:18:42,360 --> 00:18:45,160
And then you say, how do we distribute?
375
00:18:45,160 --> 00:18:46,120
It has to be distributed.
376
00:18:46,120 --> 00:18:48,320
If it's in one place, somebody attacks it, it goes down.
377
00:18:48,520 --> 00:18:52,240
So, like, we're, you know, long winded back from the Agro stable.
378
00:18:52,240 --> 00:18:53,720
We're talking about what it's backed by.
379
00:18:53,920 --> 00:18:56,680
But still, these pillars all intertwined with each other.
380
00:18:56,880 --> 00:18:59,520
And when you look at them, there's only one way to do it.
381
00:18:59,720 --> 00:19:02,920
Maybe you do the database in a different coding language.
382
00:19:03,120 --> 00:19:06,080
But the principle is a distributed database.
383
00:19:06,280 --> 00:19:08,080
You now tokenize.
384
00:19:08,360 --> 00:19:10,480
You now parameterize it into a dollar.
385
00:19:10,680 --> 00:19:16,120
The dollar is backed by a portion of the market cap where it can't exceed that market cap.
386
00:19:16,320 --> 00:19:17,440
They'll be cut off.
387
00:19:17,640 --> 00:19:21,040
So now you've created a dollar.
388
00:19:21,560 --> 00:19:23,920
You just go down the line and you start
389
00:19:24,120 --> 00:19:28,320
to realize that, like, this is sort of a blueprint, like, to evolve as humans.
390
00:19:28,520 --> 00:19:32,400
We are evolving into the digital era and people think of the digital realm as
391
00:19:32,400 --> 00:19:35,800
unnatural, but it's actually natural when you think about it because there's natural,
392
00:19:36,000 --> 00:19:38,160
basic, wheel-like elements.
393
00:19:38,360 --> 00:19:41,720
It's like the wheel is, you say, maybe the wheel is not natural.
394
00:19:41,920 --> 00:19:45,120
Right. But it's something that's a universal.
395
00:19:45,320 --> 00:19:46,640
Text is universal.
396
00:19:46,840 --> 00:19:49,600
Distributing that text all over the world is a universal.
397
00:19:49,800 --> 00:19:53,320
Tokenizing that text and making it into a dollar is universal.
398
00:19:53,520 --> 00:19:56,880
These are things that really you can't do another way.
399
00:19:57,080 --> 00:20:00,960
I want to also add here, you know, on the provision that those layers that control
400
00:20:01,160 --> 00:20:05,680
that mechanism are neutral layers that aren't controlled by any central party.
401
00:20:05,880 --> 00:20:07,280
That's the key critical thing.
402
00:20:07,480 --> 00:20:09,800
Once they're neutral, they provide everyone with digital rights.
403
00:20:09,800 --> 00:20:11,080
And this is all about digital rights,
404
00:20:11,280 --> 00:20:14,000
ultimately, so that everyone has digital freedom.
405
00:20:14,200 --> 00:20:17,600
Like, I don't like the idea of a digital world controlled by Google, but I do.
406
00:20:17,800 --> 00:20:19,360
I don't mind the idea of a digital world
407
00:20:19,560 --> 00:20:23,480
controlled by a distributed community that guarantees my rights.
408
00:20:23,480 --> 00:20:25,000
And that's what this is all based on.
409
00:20:25,200 --> 00:20:27,440
So then the question is, how do you protect the stable coin?
410
00:20:27,640 --> 00:20:30,200
How do you stop what happened to Terra Luna?
411
00:20:30,400 --> 00:20:31,680
Happening to your stable coin?
412
00:20:31,880 --> 00:20:33,440
I think it's the haircut.
413
00:20:33,640 --> 00:20:34,840
The main thing is the haircut rule.
414
00:20:34,840 --> 00:20:37,280
So what it means is the community votes on a haircut level.
415
00:20:37,480 --> 00:20:41,360
Currently on Hive, which I think is a little bit too high,
416
00:20:41,560 --> 00:20:44,000
but you can, you know, there's many ways, many ways to skin a cat,
417
00:20:44,200 --> 00:20:48,000
but it's currently set at 30%, which means that if
418
00:20:48,200 --> 00:20:53,400
the market cap of Hive, the governance token or the digital real estate token
419
00:20:53,600 --> 00:20:58,800
gets to less than three times bigger than the market cap of the stable coin,
420
00:20:59,000 --> 00:21:03,000
the chain automatically stops creating new HBD.
421
00:21:03,200 --> 00:21:07,280
And this is I just want to come back a little bit because we haven't set this up properly.
422
00:21:07,480 --> 00:21:12,360
The other thing here is that the in order to have zero fees on these layers,
423
00:21:12,560 --> 00:21:15,480
it ultimately comes down to the fact that you have to have inflation.
424
00:21:15,680 --> 00:21:20,000
It's basically a Keynesian argument versus a Bitcoin Maxi argument,
425
00:21:20,200 --> 00:21:22,640
which is that we were Austrian economists, and therefore we don't.
426
00:21:22,840 --> 00:21:24,760
We want the caps. We want to cut money supply.
427
00:21:24,960 --> 00:21:28,160
But with the cut money supply, you have to have fees and you exclude the masses.
428
00:21:28,360 --> 00:21:33,360
So we have come to the conclusion that you have to have inflation so you can have zero fees on the base layer.
429
00:21:33,560 --> 00:21:37,200
And with that inflation, when you distribute that inflation, you can have 50%
430
00:21:37,480 --> 00:21:38,280
of that inflation.
431
00:21:38,480 --> 00:21:43,280
The majority of it gets distributed to the community members for doing valuable things
432
00:21:43,480 --> 00:21:47,360
as voted by the community on a daily basis.
433
00:21:47,560 --> 00:21:52,720
Half of that goes as the main governance token or the digital real estate token,
434
00:21:52,920 --> 00:21:56,720
and half of that goes as the stable coin to the users.
435
00:21:56,920 --> 00:21:59,840
So you're constantly distributing the stable coin out to the users.
436
00:22:00,040 --> 00:22:04,600
The users can earn the stable coin by blogging, by doing cool things for the community.
437
00:22:04,800 --> 00:22:07,080
So that allows you to distribute the stable coin, which is
438
00:22:07,280 --> 00:22:10,360
incredibly important. It means that users can earn the stable coin,
439
00:22:10,560 --> 00:22:13,040
which means they don't have to risk any investment money.
440
00:22:13,240 --> 00:22:17,320
There's no point in this whole process that you ever have to ask anyone to invest a single penny.
441
00:22:17,520 --> 00:22:18,760
Everyone can always earn tokens.
442
00:22:18,960 --> 00:22:22,600
They can earn the governance token and they can earn the stable coin.
443
00:22:22,800 --> 00:22:26,240
So then the risk is, is if you keep creating new stable coins
444
00:22:26,440 --> 00:22:30,520
and the market cap of the stable coin is getting bigger compared to the market cap
445
00:22:30,720 --> 00:22:37,240
of the governance token or the digital real estate token, you get to a risky area where maybe a stable coin
446
00:22:37,440 --> 00:22:40,360
gets a little bit too big and then someone converts a ton of stable coins
447
00:22:40,560 --> 00:22:43,960
into the main base layer token, and then that forces the base layer token
448
00:22:43,960 --> 00:22:46,840
to increase in market cap in order to cover the guaranteed one dollars worth
449
00:22:47,040 --> 00:22:51,960
of stable coins on the conversion and then that hyper inflates the base layer token to zero.
450
00:22:52,160 --> 00:22:54,040
Right. That's the worry.
451
00:22:54,240 --> 00:22:58,920
But when you say, OK, the first thing we're going to do is if it gets to a certain size,
452
00:22:59,120 --> 00:23:03,680
meets the haircut rule of 30 percent, now we're going to cut off stable coins
453
00:23:03,680 --> 00:23:06,760
from being created at all, there'll be no more stable coins from being created
454
00:23:06,760 --> 00:23:07,240
from the inflation.
455
00:23:07,440 --> 00:23:13,800
That then buys you time and it allows, it'll even allow the stable coin to depeg
456
00:23:14,000 --> 00:23:17,680
a little bit, but it buys you time because you're not putting new stable coins into the market.
457
00:23:17,880 --> 00:23:21,800
So now there's no new supply of people earning stable coins and then converting
458
00:23:22,000 --> 00:23:26,800
them into the base layer token to then inflate, to inflate the supply of the base
459
00:23:27,000 --> 00:23:32,320
layer token, which means you cut off that force that's coming in from the new
460
00:23:32,520 --> 00:23:35,400
stable coins being converted into the base layer token.
461
00:23:35,600 --> 00:23:37,160
That's the first thing you do and it gives you time.
462
00:23:37,360 --> 00:23:40,360
And that is all that's ever had to happen so far in the five or six occasions where
463
00:23:40,560 --> 00:23:43,240
there's been depegs, that's all that's happened so far.
464
00:23:43,440 --> 00:23:45,320
And eventually the peg comes back.
465
00:23:45,520 --> 00:23:49,360
The haircut rule gets exceeded because there's a network effect of constantly
466
00:23:49,360 --> 00:23:52,600
growing community members that are constantly staking more and more money and also apps
467
00:23:52,800 --> 00:23:56,520
that are being built, they're staking more and more of the base layer token,
468
00:23:56,720 --> 00:24:01,120
which means that eventually your price of your governance token comes back to a high
469
00:24:01,120 --> 00:24:04,720
enough level that it exceeds the haircut rule and now you can start creating
470
00:24:04,920 --> 00:24:07,240
stable coins again and go back to normality.
471
00:24:07,440 --> 00:24:14,960
And that's kind of the general set up so far and that's what we've seen historically happen.
472
00:24:15,160 --> 00:24:17,000
And that's the sustainable model on its own.
473
00:24:17,200 --> 00:24:21,920
Yeah, you have a haircut model, you have an inflation, small inflation model.
474
00:24:21,920 --> 00:24:24,840
You're able to do that because you have parameter coin voting, meaning you don't
475
00:24:25,040 --> 00:24:27,880
have to pay a thousand validators, you pay 20
476
00:24:28,080 --> 00:24:32,240
plus backups of the best, the best of the best who are voted in.
477
00:24:32,440 --> 00:24:37,160
You also counter that with incentivized stakeholder distribution,
478
00:24:37,400 --> 00:24:41,800
which means you are incentivized to distribute the stake to new participants.
479
00:24:42,000 --> 00:24:46,400
This is very important to counter off the Red Queen game that would happen if you
480
00:24:46,600 --> 00:24:50,640
were only getting paid or the validators were only ones getting paid.
481
00:24:50,840 --> 00:24:55,240
So you have that balanced and all of these things are very intricate.
482
00:24:55,440 --> 00:25:00,240
If you think about it, little ecosystems that require balance.
483
00:25:01,240 --> 00:25:03,480
So once you have that, now you have a way
484
00:25:03,680 --> 00:25:07,240
to have no fees because if you have high fees, it kind of discludes.
485
00:25:07,440 --> 00:25:10,040
Everyone, you know, the masses.
486
00:25:10,240 --> 00:25:13,520
One important key factor is in the tech
487
00:25:13,520 --> 00:25:15,680
stack, you have to make it instantly confirming.
488
00:25:15,680 --> 00:25:19,160
And you can only do this with parameter coin voting because you trust the people
489
00:25:19,360 --> 00:25:23,640
anyway, so they're able to confirm it basically instantly.
490
00:25:23,640 --> 00:25:25,880
Because if you had to wait a minute, that destroys it.
491
00:25:26,080 --> 00:25:28,040
It's no longer cash. Cash is instant.
492
00:25:28,240 --> 00:25:29,960
This is cash. HBD is cash.
493
00:25:30,160 --> 00:25:31,680
When you use it, it's instant.
494
00:25:31,880 --> 00:25:35,600
It's basically handing them cash and them counting it.
495
00:25:35,600 --> 00:25:37,200
By the time they're able to do that,
496
00:25:37,400 --> 00:25:42,600
the transaction is done is absolutely key because when you're dealing with new
497
00:25:42,800 --> 00:25:45,760
technologies, especially people want to, you know, they don't want to wait around.
498
00:25:45,960 --> 00:25:48,880
They want to know it's confirmed.
499
00:25:49,080 --> 00:25:50,840
So.
500
00:25:51,040 --> 00:25:53,800
This thing that literally turns into cash, you have in your account,
501
00:25:54,000 --> 00:25:57,640
you're able to cash out anywhere, another thing HBD did, you know,
502
00:25:57,840 --> 00:26:02,240
or the Algo stablecoin just piggyback off of, you know, why wait to be listed
503
00:26:02,240 --> 00:26:05,240
on centralized exchanges when you could piggyback off something like the Lightning
504
00:26:05,440 --> 00:26:06,240
Network?
505
00:26:06,440 --> 00:26:07,240
It's like.
506
00:26:07,480 --> 00:26:10,520
It's like a decentralized infrastructure and just mirror it, just mirror.
507
00:26:10,720 --> 00:26:12,280
It's all you need to do.
508
00:26:12,480 --> 00:26:13,800
You don't have to compete with it.
509
00:26:13,800 --> 00:26:15,800
We don't have to create our own Lightning Network in a way.
510
00:26:16,000 --> 00:26:19,120
We are our own Lightning Network, but it's another topic.
511
00:26:19,320 --> 00:26:23,800
Yeah, this is just able to clear to fiat world as far as I'm concerned.
512
00:26:24,000 --> 00:26:28,080
So it just it's a very it's very nice the way it's set up.
513
00:26:28,080 --> 00:26:30,960
When you think about it, there's really nothing stopping it.
514
00:26:31,160 --> 00:26:34,160
Whenever you try to place a hurdle, it's hurdle, right?
515
00:26:34,160 --> 00:26:36,640
You say, oh, well, no centralized exchanges will cash out.
516
00:26:36,640 --> 00:26:37,920
It's a Lightning Network.
517
00:26:38,120 --> 00:26:39,240
It's like you can earn it.
518
00:26:39,440 --> 00:26:40,880
No oligarchy.
519
00:26:41,080 --> 00:26:43,720
It's incentivized to be to be distributed.
520
00:26:43,920 --> 00:26:45,640
So that means you encourage new people.
521
00:26:45,840 --> 00:26:49,680
You don't like all these other models are not encouraging the new participants.
522
00:26:49,680 --> 00:26:51,080
Like what they call proof of stake.
523
00:26:51,080 --> 00:26:52,800
They don't want to give their shit away.
524
00:26:53,000 --> 00:26:55,880
Like they want to get more because then they get more right.
525
00:26:56,080 --> 00:27:00,640
Like with this, it's like the more you get, the more you got to give.
526
00:27:00,840 --> 00:27:03,600
So it's a completely different model.
527
00:27:03,800 --> 00:27:05,960
And as you give and you're building reputation,
528
00:27:05,960 --> 00:27:10,840
based on whom you give it off, give it to the communities you're building
529
00:27:11,040 --> 00:27:15,000
and all that's on chain, people can see what you did.
530
00:27:15,200 --> 00:27:19,200
This is a completely different model than anything else.
531
00:27:19,400 --> 00:27:23,320
So, I mean, like I said, we feel like archeologists here.
532
00:27:23,320 --> 00:27:27,360
We're just kind of dusting the shit off and like it's making sense more and more.
533
00:27:27,360 --> 00:27:29,560
Then you start to realize it not just makes sense.
534
00:27:29,760 --> 00:27:32,880
This thing is designed in such a way that's very elegant.
535
00:27:32,880 --> 00:27:35,240
Like if you were to study the nature and how it works, you're like,
536
00:27:35,960 --> 00:27:37,440
there's some kind of designer here.
537
00:27:37,440 --> 00:27:39,600
Like this shit's fucking crazy how it works.
538
00:27:39,800 --> 00:27:40,840
The same thing here.
539
00:27:40,840 --> 00:27:43,680
Although I don't think there was a designer based off of one person.
540
00:27:43,680 --> 00:27:45,400
I think that a lot of this is serendipity.
541
00:27:45,600 --> 00:27:50,760
A lot of this just came to be and how it is based off of certain things.
542
00:27:50,960 --> 00:27:54,240
Maybe the HBD was included just so people
543
00:27:54,240 --> 00:27:57,360
could get dollar payouts at first from their social media posts.
544
00:27:57,560 --> 00:28:00,480
But you don't realize it creates a parallel economy is absolutely needed
545
00:28:00,480 --> 00:28:02,400
for the incentive layer and everything else that goes with it.
546
00:28:02,400 --> 00:28:04,160
You can say the same with the upvotes.
547
00:28:04,360 --> 00:28:05,840
Oh, it's just a friendly way to
548
00:28:06,160 --> 00:28:09,840
to pay somebody for social media is like what also turned into one of the most
549
00:28:09,840 --> 00:28:12,880
powerful distribution mechanisms and distribution happens to be the most
550
00:28:13,080 --> 00:28:17,040
important thing on any kind of voting system, any system.
551
00:28:17,040 --> 00:28:18,600
Because why say voting system?
552
00:28:18,800 --> 00:28:20,160
All systems are important.
553
00:28:20,360 --> 00:28:23,160
Distribution is the most important thing to any protocol.
554
00:28:23,360 --> 00:28:24,760
Distribution of infrastructure,
555
00:28:24,960 --> 00:28:29,600
distribution of tokens, distribution of everything,
556
00:28:29,800 --> 00:28:33,320
the way you perceive things, different cultures, different jurisdictions.
557
00:28:33,520 --> 00:28:35,200
One might say it's bad.
558
00:28:35,200 --> 00:28:36,320
One might welcome it.
559
00:28:36,320 --> 00:28:38,360
You got to be fluid. You got to be all over the world.
560
00:28:38,360 --> 00:28:40,080
You can't be like, oh, we're only here.
561
00:28:40,280 --> 00:28:43,240
And if this place says that we're kind of fucked, it's like you got to be
562
00:28:43,440 --> 00:28:46,120
everywhere and encouraging everything simultaneously.
563
00:28:46,120 --> 00:28:48,160
And that's what incentivize stakeholder distribution does.
564
00:28:48,360 --> 00:28:52,080
That's what the DAO, a real DAO does.
565
00:28:52,280 --> 00:28:54,000
You see people come up who wouldn't have
566
00:28:54,000 --> 00:28:56,440
the money to buy steak, have steak that they have and they're
567
00:28:56,640 --> 00:29:00,120
participating every day, and that's something you actually really can't pay
568
00:29:00,320 --> 00:29:04,400
for people who come here voluntarily, not knowing they're going to get a paycheck
569
00:29:04,400 --> 00:29:05,120
or not.
570
00:29:05,240 --> 00:29:06,640
They're working their way up to build
571
00:29:06,840 --> 00:29:08,560
reputation and then they start to earn.
572
00:29:08,760 --> 00:29:10,640
You can't really buy those people.
573
00:29:10,840 --> 00:29:13,360
Those people are kind of built different.
574
00:29:13,560 --> 00:29:15,920
So this is what this protocol attracts.
575
00:29:15,920 --> 00:29:17,800
It attracts a bunch of people who are built different.
576
00:29:18,000 --> 00:29:21,920
And that's why you have such a powerful,
577
00:29:22,360 --> 00:29:25,120
powerful network effect, because it's not just a bunch of people holding.
578
00:29:25,120 --> 00:29:27,360
There's a lot of people who are holding and they're doing good.
579
00:29:27,560 --> 00:29:29,320
They're actually using this protocol for good.
580
00:29:29,320 --> 00:29:31,840
They're not just flipping meme coins or whatever the fuck.
581
00:29:32,040 --> 00:29:33,320
They're actually changing lives.
582
00:29:33,520 --> 00:29:34,880
They see what the focus,
583
00:29:35,200 --> 00:29:38,520
what's going to be directed, where big and small.
584
00:29:38,720 --> 00:29:40,520
They're taking advantage of the stakeholder
585
00:29:40,720 --> 00:29:43,480
distribution to better their communities.
586
00:29:43,680 --> 00:29:46,960
Yeah, a couple of other things that protect the stable coin.
587
00:29:47,160 --> 00:29:49,800
This isn't implemented on Hive, but I think it could be.
588
00:29:50,000 --> 00:29:52,360
And it's certainly one of the potential solutions.
589
00:29:52,560 --> 00:29:54,880
If the peg continues to detach after you've
590
00:29:55,080 --> 00:29:59,920
cut the supply of new HPDR for the supply of new stable coins off and the it keeps
591
00:30:00,120 --> 00:30:04,880
dropping, it keeps, you know, the stable coin goes to 80 cents and 75 cents and 70
592
00:30:05,200 --> 00:30:07,840
cents and you can't seem to, you know,
593
00:30:08,040 --> 00:30:11,280
stem that stem the crash of the price of the stable coin.
594
00:30:11,480 --> 00:30:15,680
You could inherently within within the layer one
595
00:30:15,880 --> 00:30:25,520
prioritize the devaluing of the stable coin over saving the whilst saving the base
596
00:30:25,720 --> 00:30:29,120
layer governance token. So if you keep devaluing the stable coin,
597
00:30:29,320 --> 00:30:34,520
you get a lot more conversions, forcing the the base layer token to expand.
598
00:30:35,200 --> 00:30:40,000
Well, if you start to say, OK, we get in a market price worth 75 cents.
599
00:30:40,200 --> 00:30:46,320
So what we'll do is we'll put the internal price of the token to like 60 cents or 50
600
00:30:46,520 --> 00:30:49,320
cents and let the blockchain register as 50 cents.
601
00:30:49,520 --> 00:30:50,440
And you're going to get people going
602
00:30:50,640 --> 00:30:55,040
internally and buying it at 50 cents by converting and then selling it on
603
00:30:55,240 --> 00:31:00,040
the exchanges. And then that will push the internal price back up.
604
00:31:00,240 --> 00:31:04,880
And also it stops people from converting their lower value stable coin
605
00:31:04,880 --> 00:31:11,000
into into the main base token and selling it because they're not going to make as
606
00:31:11,200 --> 00:31:14,520
much money. So, you know, as it gets lower, as you get
607
00:31:14,720 --> 00:31:18,040
down to 50 cents and 40 cents, you can really devalue that stable coin
608
00:31:18,240 --> 00:31:20,480
internally on the blockchain down to almost zero.
609
00:31:20,680 --> 00:31:24,240
And then that prioritizes the stakeholders of the ecosystem, the governance token
610
00:31:24,240 --> 00:31:25,640
holders, and it doesn't dilute them.
611
00:31:25,840 --> 00:31:29,600
And it says to the stable coin holders, you hold an established coin
612
00:31:29,800 --> 00:31:33,120
and it could potentially devalue to zero for a temporary.
613
00:31:33,320 --> 00:31:34,680
This is the key thing here.
614
00:31:34,880 --> 00:31:39,120
It's always going to be a temporary period of time because eventually the system will
615
00:31:39,320 --> 00:31:43,640
rebalance and come back into equilibrium and then you can go back to the place
616
00:31:43,640 --> 00:31:47,680
where because obviously if you devalue the stable coin, you're going to drastically
617
00:31:47,880 --> 00:31:51,000
reduce the size of the haircut, the market cap of the stable coin,
618
00:31:51,200 --> 00:31:54,320
drastically reduce the haircut rule and slowly but surely the thing can start
619
00:31:54,520 --> 00:31:58,800
kicking back in and you can start re reissuing stable coins back to the community
620
00:31:59,000 --> 00:32:03,120
by inflation and thereby protect the state.
621
00:32:03,320 --> 00:32:04,800
Well, prioritize the token.
622
00:32:05,000 --> 00:32:08,680
The governance token holders over the stable coin holders and as long as stable
623
00:32:08,880 --> 00:32:12,600
coin holders know that and know that they're not even deprioritized.
624
00:32:12,600 --> 00:32:15,280
They're just it's just the amount of time that they have to wait is longer if
625
00:32:15,480 --> 00:32:18,760
the catastrophe happens, which is very rare anyway.
626
00:32:18,960 --> 00:32:21,880
It's a one it's a it's a black swan event anyway.
627
00:32:22,080 --> 00:32:24,160
As long as you keep the haircut rule really, really low.
628
00:32:24,360 --> 00:32:29,760
The other way to protect these chains are, as you saw in the Terra Luna case,
629
00:32:29,960 --> 00:32:33,760
they were able to instantly convert the stable coin into Terra Luna governance
630
00:32:33,960 --> 00:32:34,880
tokens.
631
00:32:35,080 --> 00:32:36,560
And
632
00:32:36,760 --> 00:32:40,600
in Hive, but what we recommend in these systems in general and other stable coins
633
00:32:40,800 --> 00:32:44,880
is having a three day waiting period so you can't instantly convert all of your
634
00:32:44,880 --> 00:32:47,800
stable coins into governance tokens and sell them into the market.
635
00:32:48,000 --> 00:32:50,000
You have to wait for three, three and a half days.
636
00:32:50,000 --> 00:32:51,560
And what that does is it puts a lot of
637
00:32:51,760 --> 00:32:55,800
risk on you because you get you get the average price over that three and a half
638
00:32:55,800 --> 00:32:59,160
days, so you don't necessarily know if the price is going to go up or down while you
639
00:32:59,360 --> 00:33:04,000
transfer, which means and this is if you're transferring in bulk
640
00:33:04,200 --> 00:33:07,120
with this with the previous stabilizer that I talked about, you're able to get out
641
00:33:07,320 --> 00:33:10,960
a few thousand dollars here and there if you want to get a significant amount such
642
00:33:11,160 --> 00:33:14,840
that you can attack the chain with it, you know, you're talking five, six, seven
643
00:33:15,040 --> 00:33:19,640
million or even billion dollars, 100 million dollars maybe in one go.
644
00:33:19,680 --> 00:33:20,760
Then you're going to have to go through
645
00:33:20,760 --> 00:33:24,760
the internal conversion mechanism and that's a three and a half day wait.
646
00:33:24,960 --> 00:33:27,440
And that puts a lot of risk on you because you don't know what's going to happen.
647
00:33:27,440 --> 00:33:29,040
Those three and a half days to the price
648
00:33:29,040 --> 00:33:32,160
and you might get a really, really terrible price, which puts you under water in your
649
00:33:32,360 --> 00:33:33,120
positions.
650
00:33:33,120 --> 00:33:36,320
And the other thing you can do as well is when you convert internally, you can have
651
00:33:36,520 --> 00:33:40,000
a five percent feel some of the some of the fee that people have to pay.
652
00:33:40,200 --> 00:33:44,400
So, you know, that the people who are using the internal conversion mechanism
653
00:33:44,600 --> 00:33:49,160
to get into the stable coin or out of the stable coin are doing it because they've
654
00:33:49,160 --> 00:33:52,200
got a genuine reason that they're not doing it because they're attacking the chain
655
00:33:52,400 --> 00:33:54,800
because they wouldn't. Attackers won't do that if they're going
656
00:33:55,000 --> 00:33:59,120
to take a five percent haircut as soon as they do the conversion.
657
00:33:59,520 --> 00:34:02,320
Anything else to mention on that before we go to the next point, I want to talk about
658
00:34:02,320 --> 00:34:08,720
the infinite liquidity that becomes a critical point where HBD
659
00:34:08,920 --> 00:34:13,480
or a stable coin that when you have enough trust in it,
660
00:34:13,680 --> 00:34:18,120
because the only time it's going to go down, really, in theory and practice is
661
00:34:18,320 --> 00:34:21,640
when the market crashes and people panic.
662
00:34:21,840 --> 00:34:25,200
So that is when everyone's selling into a stable coin.
663
00:34:25,200 --> 00:34:28,000
So that's in theory when a stable coin should be the strongest.
664
00:34:28,000 --> 00:34:29,200
You know, when the market's going down,
665
00:34:29,200 --> 00:34:32,280
you often see Tether and these others with billions in volume and
666
00:34:32,480 --> 00:34:35,720
almost sometimes above peg by a cent or two.
667
00:34:35,920 --> 00:34:38,280
So the demand for these stable coins goes up.
668
00:34:38,480 --> 00:34:43,280
So in a natural environment where the stable coin is perceived as a stable coin
669
00:34:43,480 --> 00:34:46,280
and it's solid, people will be selling for the stable coin,
670
00:34:46,480 --> 00:34:49,960
making it stronger during a down buying the stable coin instead of buying.
671
00:34:50,160 --> 00:34:52,440
But yes, on the Hive and buying HBD,
672
00:34:52,640 --> 00:34:56,160
for example, which is going to make, you know, reinforce HBD.
673
00:34:56,360 --> 00:34:57,920
It's only when you don't have confidence
674
00:34:58,120 --> 00:35:02,240
in the underlying asset, people actually start to sell the HBD for another stable.
675
00:35:02,440 --> 00:35:04,480
Point when you actually have a problem.
676
00:35:04,680 --> 00:35:09,760
So at the end of the day, the system is designed to work if it's used as intended.
677
00:35:09,960 --> 00:35:13,240
If you panic out and sell during a time
678
00:35:13,440 --> 00:35:16,760
when you shouldn't do it, then you're probably going to
679
00:35:17,480 --> 00:35:18,560
miss out.
680
00:35:18,760 --> 00:35:22,160
So so one of the one of the downsides of this model, it's not really a downside.
681
00:35:22,360 --> 00:35:24,760
It's a beautiful balancing mechanism.
682
00:35:24,960 --> 00:35:27,760
But in the short term, it's a downside because
683
00:35:27,960 --> 00:35:30,520
in order to distribute the stable coin, you have to do it by inflation.
684
00:35:30,560 --> 00:35:31,480
So you have to have.
685
00:35:31,600 --> 00:35:35,560
It's a really, really slow expansion of the market capital of the stable coin,
686
00:35:35,760 --> 00:35:40,840
which means initially it can't compete with the size of some Tether or USDC,
687
00:35:41,040 --> 00:35:43,800
which can just press a button and issue a shit ton of stable coins.
688
00:35:44,000 --> 00:35:45,200
Right.
689
00:35:45,400 --> 00:35:47,760
The way that Tether does it is it
690
00:35:47,960 --> 00:35:52,000
bankers or financiers will call it the Tether company, the centralized Tether
691
00:35:52,200 --> 00:35:57,480
company and say, hey, we want to make a we want a billion USD USDT.
692
00:35:57,680 --> 00:35:59,640
We've got a billion dollars worth of treasuries.
693
00:35:59,840 --> 00:36:01,440
So they'll say, OK, send the
694
00:36:01,640 --> 00:36:04,520
treasuries to our banks and they're in a centralized U.S. bank.
695
00:36:04,720 --> 00:36:10,600
Tether then makes the interest of those treasuries and the financier gets USDT
696
00:36:10,600 --> 00:36:14,000
and is able to go stake those into DeFi protocols to hopefully make more than what
697
00:36:14,200 --> 00:36:17,720
the U.S. treasuries are paying, and that's the business model.
698
00:36:17,920 --> 00:36:18,680
That's the way that works.
699
00:36:18,880 --> 00:36:22,400
What that means is that because it's a centralized model, there's someone to call
700
00:36:22,600 --> 00:36:25,960
up and you can arrange a deal where you can put one hundred million dollars worth
701
00:36:26,160 --> 00:36:30,600
of treasuries into Tether and then Tether will give you USDT tokens in return with
702
00:36:30,600 --> 00:36:31,400
a few clicks of a button.
703
00:36:31,680 --> 00:36:35,400
Which means that the market caps of these centralized stable coins can expand
704
00:36:35,600 --> 00:36:38,800
massively in a very, very quick way over a very, very short period of time.
705
00:36:39,000 --> 00:36:41,280
It can become very, very liquid very, very quickly.
706
00:36:41,480 --> 00:36:42,920
Algorithmic stable coins.
707
00:36:42,960 --> 00:36:44,720
I mean, there's ways that you can expand the market cap.
708
00:36:44,720 --> 00:36:46,120
You could just do an airdrop, for example,
709
00:36:46,320 --> 00:36:49,800
but that's not particularly in the spirit of decentralization.
710
00:36:50,000 --> 00:36:53,800
So generally what happens is people do inflation.
711
00:36:53,800 --> 00:36:55,800
So you make a blog, you do something valuable for the community,
712
00:36:55,800 --> 00:36:58,360
the community votes for your blog, and then that distribution of the inflation
713
00:36:58,560 --> 00:37:01,480
to you, like I was saying earlier, you get half of that in governance
714
00:37:01,680 --> 00:37:02,640
token and half of that in stable coin.
715
00:37:02,840 --> 00:37:07,240
Then it expands the market capitalization of that stable coin over time slowly.
716
00:37:07,440 --> 00:37:10,520
But it's so slow, even if you have the APR at 20 percent,
717
00:37:10,720 --> 00:37:14,360
which is currently in place on Hive and it's sustainable as it currently stands
718
00:37:14,560 --> 00:37:18,800
because it's nowhere near the debt limit, the haircut rule.
719
00:37:19,000 --> 00:37:22,280
It means that even if you're at 20 percent inflation,
720
00:37:22,280 --> 00:37:24,920
it's going to take 30 years before you get to a billion dollar market cap.
721
00:37:25,120 --> 00:37:29,480
So you need another way to get to expand the market cap of a stable coin.
722
00:37:29,680 --> 00:37:31,480
And what I see.
723
00:37:31,680 --> 00:37:34,960
Hive as one of the value mechanisms of these governance tokens on these genuinely
724
00:37:35,160 --> 00:37:40,960
distributed chains that we're describing here with parametered coin voting is that
725
00:37:41,160 --> 00:37:45,240
the the base layer governance token is what backs the stable coin.
726
00:37:45,440 --> 00:37:47,960
And so by so inherently is the mechanism
727
00:37:48,160 --> 00:37:52,320
through which you can get into the stable coin in an infinite amounts
728
00:37:52,520 --> 00:37:54,640
because you can you don't need to call tether up.
729
00:37:54,640 --> 00:37:56,240
You don't need to call the Hive community up.
730
00:37:56,440 --> 00:37:58,560
You just go on the open market and buy Hive.
731
00:37:58,560 --> 00:38:01,440
And it doesn't matter what price you buy it at even because you
732
00:38:01,680 --> 00:38:04,520
you're just kind of buying it and then you instantly converting day by day
733
00:38:04,720 --> 00:38:08,600
into the stable coin to get yourself into a stable coin that's genuinely non
734
00:38:08,800 --> 00:38:13,560
custodial outside the system has zero fees and clear instantly or within three seconds.
735
00:38:13,760 --> 00:38:15,800
And there isn't any centralized element
736
00:38:16,000 --> 00:38:20,840
behind it where it can be seized, such as with USDT and USDC
737
00:38:21,040 --> 00:38:22,760
and many of the other stable coins.
738
00:38:22,960 --> 00:38:27,480
So an algorithmic stable coin lets you exit the system and go into parallel economy
739
00:38:27,680 --> 00:38:31,440
dollars, truly parallel economy dollars that can't be seized, that can be used in
740
00:38:31,640 --> 00:38:34,000
all sorts of different ways, which we'll go into in a short while.
741
00:38:34,200 --> 00:38:35,480
But what what does it mean?
742
00:38:35,680 --> 00:38:37,640
The equivalent is you're calling up tether,
743
00:38:37,840 --> 00:38:40,920
you're getting your hundred million dollars with USDT in exchange for your treasuries.
744
00:38:41,120 --> 00:38:48,000
What this is saying is go on the open market by Hive off the open market or by
745
00:38:48,000 --> 00:38:50,880
this base layer governance token or digital real estate token off the open
746
00:38:51,080 --> 00:38:54,560
market, which will move the price of that token up.
747
00:38:54,760 --> 00:38:59,480
But it will allow you day by day to convert into
748
00:38:59,680 --> 00:39:01,400
or it will allow the financier
749
00:39:01,600 --> 00:39:09,840
to convert into USD stable coins or HBD as we call them or Hive dollars as we call them.
750
00:39:10,040 --> 00:39:13,000
And they are outside the economic system in a truly parallel economy.
751
00:39:13,200 --> 00:39:16,800
You will have to wait for three and a half days and you'll have to pay the 5% fee.
752
00:39:17,000 --> 00:39:19,280
But because there's a 20% interest
753
00:39:19,480 --> 00:39:23,880
on the on the token as it currently stands, as the community has voted for,
754
00:39:24,080 --> 00:39:26,400
that means you get your 5% back in three months.
755
00:39:26,600 --> 00:39:30,640
And there's a multitude of other things that you can do with that token to get
756
00:39:30,760 --> 00:39:34,040
collateralized loans, which we'll go into in a second.
757
00:39:34,240 --> 00:39:35,560
But what does that mean?
758
00:39:35,760 --> 00:39:37,120
Effectively, instead of you calling up
759
00:39:37,120 --> 00:39:40,000
Tether and putting a ton of money into them and getting a ton of stable coins out,
760
00:39:40,200 --> 00:39:42,840
you're not calling anyone up because there's no one to call because it's truly
761
00:39:43,040 --> 00:39:47,360
decentralized on Hive and you are buying the Hive token off the open market and then
762
00:39:47,560 --> 00:39:51,880
you're converting those tokens into HBD in the using the internal conversion
763
00:39:52,080 --> 00:39:56,400
mechanism and that gets you unlimited liquidity of these tokens.
764
00:39:56,600 --> 00:40:00,640
So then what happens is I believe in that scenario, the debt ratio,
765
00:40:00,840 --> 00:40:06,800
will actually go down. You'll expand the market cap of HBD tremendously,
766
00:40:07,000 --> 00:40:10,800
right, by a huge financier coming in or several of them coming in.
767
00:40:11,000 --> 00:40:15,680
But it will push the Hive price up so much because one of Hive's other value
768
00:40:15,880 --> 00:40:19,200
mechanisms now is the fact that it is a mechanism through which you can convert
769
00:40:19,400 --> 00:40:23,560
your current world dollars into parallel economy dollars.
770
00:40:23,760 --> 00:40:25,160
That's incredibly valuable.
771
00:40:25,360 --> 00:40:28,600
I don't think we can even understate the value of that.
772
00:40:28,800 --> 00:40:30,600
And that will, because
773
00:40:30,840 --> 00:40:33,760
Hive's the mechanism through which that's been done, that pushes the price of Hive
774
00:40:33,960 --> 00:40:38,200
up more, the market cap of Hive goes up more than what the market cap of new stable
775
00:40:38,400 --> 00:40:42,200
coins being created is. And so you might have $100 million come into Hive,
776
00:40:42,400 --> 00:40:45,240
but the market cap of Hive is going to go up by $500 million as a result.
777
00:40:45,440 --> 00:40:48,880
So the actual haircut rule, the debt ratio between the stable coin
778
00:40:49,080 --> 00:40:53,280
and the governance token will drop even though you're expanding the governance token.
779
00:40:53,480 --> 00:40:55,400
And that's another beautiful thing here
780
00:40:55,400 --> 00:40:58,400
that I think is not well understood in the crypto community.
781
00:40:58,600 --> 00:41:00,560
These algorithmic stable coins, if they're done properly,
782
00:41:00,760 --> 00:41:03,320
if they're parameterized properly,
783
00:41:03,520 --> 00:41:07,560
when they use the conversion mechanisms to go from current world dollars to new world
784
00:41:07,760 --> 00:41:12,280
genuinely decentralized dollars, you have a drop in the debt ratio.
785
00:41:12,480 --> 00:41:16,560
You have a massively sustainable system and you have infinite liquidity.
786
00:41:16,760 --> 00:41:20,520
This is like people look at the amount of Hive-backed dollars on the exchanges.
787
00:41:20,520 --> 00:41:23,520
Right now, it's not many and they say, oh, it's not liquid enough for me.
788
00:41:23,720 --> 00:41:25,400
So no, it is liquid enough for you if you
789
00:41:25,600 --> 00:41:29,760
use Hive as the conversion mechanism through which to get into the HBD.
790
00:41:29,960 --> 00:41:30,560
And
791
00:41:30,840 --> 00:41:38,160
it's truly an unlimited liquidity token, stable coin, and that is very much misunderstood.
792
00:41:38,360 --> 00:41:41,400
But I foresee that in the future where you're going to have genuinely
793
00:41:41,600 --> 00:41:45,440
decentralized stable coins with billions and billions of dollars in liquidity
794
00:41:45,640 --> 00:41:48,560
and with the governance tokens as long as they're parameterized correctly
795
00:41:48,760 --> 00:41:52,400
and as long as they're backed with the right things like social interactivity,
796
00:41:52,600 --> 00:41:56,360
they're going to be much bigger than the base layer stable coin tokens.
797
00:41:56,560 --> 00:41:59,560
And so as a result, you have a stable
798
00:41:59,760 --> 00:42:03,680
sustainable economy and a sustainable, sustainable state.
799
00:42:03,880 --> 00:42:08,280
You have to back it by either text like we did with Hive or maybe a computation
800
00:42:08,480 --> 00:42:11,600
layer, but then the fees will be a problem even with inflation.
801
00:42:11,800 --> 00:42:14,360
You'd love inflation and it's fine.
802
00:42:14,560 --> 00:42:17,880
So, yeah, I mean, there's really only
803
00:42:18,080 --> 00:42:20,440
the concept is backed by something that can't be seized.
804
00:42:20,640 --> 00:42:28,680
But if you zoom in on that, the best option is obviously text because it's scalable.
805
00:42:28,680 --> 00:42:31,960
You're stable and.
806
00:42:32,160 --> 00:42:36,720
You understand that it's lightweight to store
807
00:42:36,920 --> 00:42:39,000
and it's the most important for free speech.
808
00:42:39,200 --> 00:42:41,960
Computation is nothing without text.
809
00:42:42,160 --> 00:42:44,520
So what are you computing?
810
00:42:44,720 --> 00:42:46,240
A lot like to tie those together.
811
00:42:46,440 --> 00:42:48,280
But yeah, yeah.
812
00:42:48,480 --> 00:42:50,320
Let's take a. Well, hold on, hold on, hold on.
813
00:42:50,520 --> 00:42:56,640
The last thing here is the is the the bond system, the pristine collateral.
814
00:42:56,640 --> 00:42:57,600
Let's just do quick, quick.
815
00:42:57,600 --> 00:42:58,640
We won't go into detail on it.
816
00:42:58,800 --> 00:42:59,720
Because I'll be mentioned somewhere else.
817
00:42:59,920 --> 00:43:02,600
It can be further reading from beyond the scope of this book.
818
00:43:02,800 --> 00:43:06,960
But because you can always clear with the system we've just described,
819
00:43:07,160 --> 00:43:10,400
you can always clear into one dollars worth of crypto.
820
00:43:10,600 --> 00:43:12,160
It's the equivalent of holding the US
821
00:43:12,360 --> 00:43:15,880
treasury that always clears into one dollar worth of dollars.
822
00:43:16,080 --> 00:43:16,800
Right.
823
00:43:17,000 --> 00:43:21,280
And that is seen in the current collateralized loan
824
00:43:21,480 --> 00:43:24,640
economy as pristine collateral, what they call pristine collateral.
825
00:43:24,840 --> 00:43:28,640
And it gets you the lowest interest rates so you could do the same thing.
826
00:43:28,840 --> 00:43:33,400
With this, where if you stake the stable coin for a year,
827
00:43:33,600 --> 00:43:37,840
you get a guaranteed APR that's set by the community.
828
00:43:38,040 --> 00:43:41,760
In batches and you can auction those bonds off in the same way that the US
829
00:43:41,960 --> 00:43:45,920
government auctions its own bonds off and then you can use those stable coin backed
830
00:43:46,120 --> 00:43:49,800
bonds are always clear into one dollars worth of crypto.
831
00:43:50,000 --> 00:43:52,280
But, you know, you can't go crazy issuing bonds.
832
00:43:52,280 --> 00:43:55,400
You have to do it sensibly and the community has to come to a consensus on
833
00:43:55,400 --> 00:43:58,680
how many bonds are issued and make sure that doesn't damage the economic.
834
00:43:58,880 --> 00:44:00,400
Balance of the ecosystem.
835
00:44:00,600 --> 00:44:02,000
But that's not difficult to do.
836
00:44:02,200 --> 00:44:03,520
You can you can plan for that.
837
00:44:03,720 --> 00:44:05,560
You can see that happening.
838
00:44:05,760 --> 00:44:08,320
You can see the amount of bonds that are going to come to you as you issued them.
839
00:44:08,520 --> 00:44:12,280
You know, you know when they're mature data so you can you can plan for the amount
840
00:44:12,480 --> 00:44:16,160
of tokens that are going to come onto the market at certain times and make sure
841
00:44:16,360 --> 00:44:19,520
you're not overextending yourself and then.
842
00:44:19,720 --> 00:44:25,720
With that, you have a set of pristine collateral backed bonds that you can use
843
00:44:25,920 --> 00:44:28,560
to create a collateralized loan market that is
844
00:44:28,720 --> 00:44:33,040
the equivalent and a replacement for the euro dollar system, which is currently
845
00:44:33,240 --> 00:44:37,280
broken because all the other types of collateral basically became invite
846
00:44:37,480 --> 00:44:43,040
became useless after 2008 crash and everyone only wants US dollars,
847
00:44:43,240 --> 00:44:46,400
which is great for the USA, but it's not necessarily great for everyone,
848
00:44:46,600 --> 00:44:49,920
which explains why there's so much demand for US debt.
849
00:44:50,120 --> 00:44:53,280
It's not because the US is printing money is because there's a printing debt and
850
00:44:53,280 --> 00:44:56,080
people want to buy it because they can use it as pristine collateral to go
851
00:44:56,280 --> 00:44:58,600
make collateralized loans.
852
00:44:58,880 --> 00:45:02,560
So once you have a base layer stable coin that's in a parallel dollar that can't be
853
00:45:02,760 --> 00:45:08,720
seized or KYC'd and you can move it anywhere in the world with zero fees in
854
00:45:08,920 --> 00:45:12,160
three seconds flat, you can create a bond out of it that
855
00:45:12,160 --> 00:45:15,560
guarantees a certain APR over a certain period of time that you're locked in for.
856
00:45:15,760 --> 00:45:20,840
You can use that bond as a collateralized as a basis for a collateralized loan.
857
00:45:21,040 --> 00:45:22,040
And then other people.
858
00:45:22,240 --> 00:45:26,160
So let's say there was an airdrop on Ethereum and I had, I don't know, 10
859
00:45:26,160 --> 00:45:28,440
Ethereum, right, so I was going to get a certain amount of this airdrop.
860
00:45:28,720 --> 00:45:32,760
But if I had 50 Ethereum, I could get five times more of the airdrop.
861
00:45:32,960 --> 00:45:36,000
So what I'm going to do is I'm going to go to Dan who's got a ton of HBD stable
862
00:45:36,200 --> 00:45:42,960
coins and get asked to loan his bonds, pay him a fixed fee for the loan of the bonds,
863
00:45:43,160 --> 00:45:47,080
go use that bond as collateral in the bank, get a massive liquid loan
864
00:45:47,280 --> 00:45:53,280
against that, and then make more more go buy Ethereum with that liquid loan and
865
00:45:53,280 --> 00:45:56,440
then make the airdrop and make more in the airdrop than I would have done.
866
00:45:56,640 --> 00:45:58,640
Once the airdrops happened, I'm going to go send
867
00:45:58,840 --> 00:46:05,280
the ETH back, get my liquid money back, put that back in the bank, get my NFT back,
868
00:46:05,480 --> 00:46:09,800
which is the bond, give that back to Dan and everyone takes their cut along the way.
869
00:46:10,000 --> 00:46:13,680
And I just end up with, I don't know, 40% more tokens in the airdrop than I would
870
00:46:13,880 --> 00:46:18,600
have ended up with, right? This is how these systems are going to work.
871
00:46:18,800 --> 00:46:23,760
And because you're on a genuinely decentralized stablecoin system
872
00:46:23,960 --> 00:46:28,520
that always clears into one dollar, it can be considered as pristine collateral.
873
00:46:28,840 --> 00:46:34,120
Which means it can always have the lowest interest rates because you can see which
874
00:46:34,320 --> 00:46:37,640
bonds are coming due, you can see the transparency of the system.
875
00:46:37,840 --> 00:46:41,280
It's a lot less dangerous and risky than the shadow banking system where there's
876
00:46:41,480 --> 00:46:45,040
loads of shady stuff going on and no one really knows what the actual risk is.
877
00:46:45,240 --> 00:46:47,560
So that's where I see that going.
878
00:46:47,760 --> 00:46:51,880
And the subject in itself is the bond system, the pristine collateral and loan
879
00:46:52,080 --> 00:46:56,840
system is a massive subject in itself and you could probably write a whole book on it separately.
880
00:46:57,040 --> 00:46:58,640
But that's where this economy is going.
881
00:46:58,840 --> 00:47:02,000
It's going to offer banks a replacement to the euro dollar system.
882
00:47:02,200 --> 00:47:04,600
And it's not like someone's going to make a lot of money out of this.
883
00:47:04,800 --> 00:47:08,000
This is a genuine decentralized ownerless replacement
884
00:47:08,200 --> 00:47:14,000
where no one's got any control in stake and everyone can come and compete equally.
885
00:47:14,200 --> 00:47:15,480
The other thing there that's important to
886
00:47:15,680 --> 00:47:19,480
note is that if there is a bank or a financier putting hundreds of millions
887
00:47:19,680 --> 00:47:23,280
of dollars into these stablecoins, they could change their stablecoin back
888
00:47:23,480 --> 00:47:27,440
into the governance token and dictate governance on the main chain.
889
00:47:27,640 --> 00:47:28,520
So that is a risk.
890
00:47:28,840 --> 00:47:29,800
But.
891
00:47:30,000 --> 00:47:31,560
From previous experience with what's
892
00:47:31,760 --> 00:47:36,440
happened on Hive and the Steem takeover, if a financier wants to do that and start
893
00:47:36,640 --> 00:47:40,320
voting in governance against the wishes of the community, the community would
894
00:47:40,520 --> 00:47:44,040
always be able to fork away and zero their balance on the new chain.
895
00:47:44,240 --> 00:47:46,400
So the financiers would always be
896
00:47:46,600 --> 00:47:50,080
incentivized not to do that and just to keep making their finance happen.
897
00:47:50,280 --> 00:47:54,080
But it would also be three and a half day wait and then a month wait for voting.
898
00:47:54,280 --> 00:47:57,280
Yeah. So that's a long attack.
899
00:47:57,480 --> 00:47:58,160
And then, of course,
900
00:47:58,160 --> 00:48:02,800
if we were to see any centralized amount being powered up,
901
00:48:03,000 --> 00:48:06,320
we'd immediately be very skeptical.
902
00:48:06,520 --> 00:48:08,480
As with as with any whale that's been doing
903
00:48:08,680 --> 00:48:13,360
abusive stuff to the community, potentially they have to explain themselves and be benevolent.
904
00:48:13,560 --> 00:48:15,520
There's been an average over the years
905
00:48:15,720 --> 00:48:19,400
of what the powered up amount is during peaceful times and war times.
906
00:48:19,600 --> 00:48:20,880
And
907
00:48:21,080 --> 00:48:28,120
if there was like, you know, a hundred percent increase or even a 50 percent increase, we'd all be
908
00:48:28,360 --> 00:48:29,160
highly alert to that.
909
00:48:29,360 --> 00:48:30,440
So
910
00:48:31,640 --> 00:48:34,280
no, nothing's impossible.
911
00:48:34,480 --> 00:48:39,840
And nothing is 100 percent certain in terms of even if they were to attack.
912
00:48:40,040 --> 00:48:42,440
Obviously, we have the fork in the way out.
913
00:48:42,640 --> 00:48:48,120
So it would have to be more of a person who isn't looking for money and be more
914
00:48:48,320 --> 00:48:52,160
of a person who's trying to take over the chain and doesn't care about money like
915
00:48:52,360 --> 00:48:54,240
a nation state or something.
916
00:48:56,280 --> 00:48:57,920
But yeah, even then, we have worst case
917
00:48:58,160 --> 00:48:59,600
scenario, but.
918
00:49:01,600 --> 00:49:03,400
Yeah, to close the chapter.