Day of 2026-02-03: Turning Volatility into 42% Accumulative Gains.
The persistence of the $SURGE yield is paying off, bringing in 2.369 $HBD from a 821.422 $SURGE stake is a solid baseline for the week, providing that liquid "fuel" needed for the next maneuvers.
While the missed 84% opportunity on $BASE stings, arbitrage is often a game of thin margins and perfect timing, the fact that I already pivoted into a new round trip targeting >40% shows that the "machine" never stops. Missed juice is just data for the next entry; the focus remains on the compounding effect of the capital you did deploy.
Portfolio Delta: Feb 02 vs. Feb 03
The following table tracks the immediate shift as another round trip began. Noteworth is the slight uptick in the $BTC liability and the steady growth of the $SURGE position.
Symbol | Balance Delta (%) | Value Delta ($HIVE) (%) | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
$ACE | 0.00% 🧱 | 0.00% 🧱 | ↔️ Neutral |
$BBH | 0.00% 🧱 | 0.00% 🧱 | ↔️ Neutral |
$BBHO | +0.27% 📈 | -0.22% 📉 | 🔄 Accumulation |
$BTC (Liability) | +7.34% ⚠️ | +16.05% 📈 | 🚩 Liability Heat |
$DAB | -0.31% 📉 | -0.39% 📉 | ☁️ Minor Softening |
$LTC (Liability) | 0.00% 🧱 | 0.00% 🧱 | ↔️ Neutral |
$MATIC | 0.00% 🧱 | 0.00% 🧱 | ↔️ Neutral |
$SURGE | +3.21% 📈 | +6.35% 🚀 | 🛠️ New Round Trip Initiated |
$TGLD | -0.12% 📉 | -0.18% 📉 | ↔️ Neutral |
$TNVDA | 0.00% 🧱 | 0.00% 🧱 | ↔️ Neutral |
$TTSLA | 0.00% 🧱 | 0.00% 🧱 | ↔️ Neutral |
Today's volume profile
The volume landscape has shifted dramatically. $TNVDA and $TGLD have reclaimed the lion's share of activity, together accounting for nearly 87% of the network volume.
# | Symbol | % of Total Volume |
|---|---|---|
1 | TNVDA | 55.07% |
2 | TGLD | 31.88% |
3 | SURGE | 7.76% |
4 | BTC | 2.44% |
5 | SOL | 1.78% |
6 | DAB | 0.47% |
7 | SPORTS | 0.30% |
8 | BBHO | 0.14% |
9 | TOOFUCKEH | 0.10% |
10 | BBH | 0.05% |
Tactical Reflection
Missing an 84% spread on $BASE is a classic trader's lament, but the "kalkulatorische" (imputed) view is this: You didn't lose capital; you simply didn't capture a specific inefficiency. By focusing on the 40% round trip you are currently in, you are prioritizing execution over regret.
Would you like me to run a comparative graph on the $SURGE volume vs. Price to see if we can spot the window for your 40% exit?