candy49 - CTPtalk

candy49

about 1 year ago

Will Natalie Elphicke's defection to Labour hurt the Labour party? Some described Natalie Elphicke's defection to Labour as the equivalent of a Corbynista like Zarah Sultana joining the Tories. In many ways it's worse. Whatever people think of…

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0.027 CTP

about 1 year ago

Only Savanta got the opinion polling for last Thursday's elections right The other pollsters missed quite badly. For example, here are the final opinion polls for the London Mayor elections, compared to the actual result: [source](

34

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0.026 CTP

about 1 year ago

Nicola Sturgeon's husband Peter Murrell is charged with embezzlement He's been charged with embezzling SNP funds, while he was party leader. It's not yet clear how much Nicola Sturgeon knew and whether she'll be charged too. The big question is…

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0.024 CTP

about 1 year ago

What do local council by-elections tell us about the upcoming general election? Unlike opinion polls, council by-elections show us what people who actually show up to vote are thinking. There have been 168 council by-elections since the Local Elections in…

34

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0.025 CTP

about 1 year ago

Reform surges to 15% in Yougov poll YouGov has been persistently showing low scores for Tories and high scores for Reform. This might be to do with sampling issues - instead of a random sample of people, they polll…

36

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0.025 CTP

about 1 year ago

What really caused the Tory drubbing in 1997? There's been a lot of re-writing of history about the 1997 general election, mainly by people who were small children at the time, or who were born afterwards. They look at the…

45

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0.050 CTP

over 1 year ago

Will there be an election in May? Rishi Sunak's Conservative Party has been working really hard to move the opinion polling dial. Since November 2023, National Insurance has been cut by 4% (at a total cost of…

40

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0.047 CTP

over 1 year ago

The surprising results of the Rochdale by-election I don't mean the winner George Galloway, I mean the man who came second, independent candidate Dave Tully. Tully owns a car repair business in Rochdale, and only decided to…

45

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0.042 CTP

over 1 year ago

Will the Speaker survive? So - we had shenanigans in Parliament last Wednesday. The SNP had an "Opposition Day". What does that mean? Well, the elected government controls the parliamentary schedule…

43

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0.041 CTP

over 1 year ago

The Rochdale by-election is hotting up Rochdale's Member of Parliament, the Labour MP Sir Tony Lloyd recently passed away and a by-election to replace him will be held on 29th Feb. The whole thing has turned into a…

37

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0.041 CTP