RE: LeoThread 2025-04-11 05:50
You are viewing a single comment's thread:
Consider moving predictions from blog posts, podcasts, and tweets into betting markets, aiming for a state-of-the-art approach to assessing truth.
0
0
0.000
The challenge lies in identifying strong, concrete, and resolvable predicates—ideally linked to industry metrics and macroeconomic indicators.
While GDP might seem like an obvious choice, its limitations, such as the "productivity paradox," raise doubts about its effectiveness. Additionally, evaluations often prove to be incomplete and vulnerable to manipulation.