RE: LeoThread 2025-10-27 16-32

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What percentage of your portfolio is in cash and what is in crypto?



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Part 1/13:

The Insane Case for Crypto and the Endgame of Global Financial Repression

In a bold and provocative statement, the speaker reveals that they have moved 99% of their net worth into crypto, a move many would equivocate as reckless or insane. Yet, their rationale hinges on understanding a much larger, systemic playbook employed by governments worldwide—financial repression—and how it’s fundamentally devaluing traditional assets like cash, stocks, and even gold. The speaker envisions a long-term scenario where, despite current volatility, assets—including crypto—are poised to skyrocket into 2026 and beyond, driven by accelerating inflation, technological arms races, and geopolitical strategies.

The Systematic Erosion of the Dollar’s Value

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Part 2/13:

The crux of the argument starts with a stark reality: the U.S. dollar’s purchasing power has eroded by approximately 87% since 1971. Using historical data, the speaker illustrates that a dollar in 1971 could buy about 30 Hershey’s chocolate bars; today, that same dollar can buy roughly 1.15 bars. More recent inflation metrics show that since January 2020 alone, the dollar has lost about 25% of its value, underscoring how inflation has accelerated in the past few years.

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Part 3/13:

This persistent decline isn’t an accident but a deliberate consequence of financial policy—namely, money printing. The government’s strategy is to inflate away debt and transfer wealth from savers to the state’s coffers—a process known as financial repression—which acts as a hidden tax on the average citizen who holds cash savings rather than productive assets.

The Great Debasement and the Race for AI Supremacy

The narrative then shifts towards a bleak forecast: the debasement of currencies will not slow down. Instead, it’s about to get much worse as global powers compete for dominance in the most transformative technology of our time—Artificial Intelligence (AI).

AI and Robotics as the Pandemic-Exponent Race

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Part 4/13:

The race is not merely technological; it’s existential. Countries, especially the U.S. and China, are in an arms race for AI and robotics, with the winner gaining unparalleled economic, military, and geopolitical advantages. The speaker emphasizes how exponential acceleration of AI progress could lead to Artificial General Intelligence (AGI)—machines smarter than humans—and then swiftly to superintelligence, fundamentally shifting the global balance of power.

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Part 5/13:

Current AI models like Gemini 3.0 demonstrate surprising capabilities: one prompt can result in an AI constructing a fully functional website from scratch, something that, only a few years ago, would have cost hundreds of thousands of dollars. AI-generated scientific hypotheses have already discovered valid biological mechanisms, and educational videos show rapid improvements in AI outputs over just the past two years. The key takeaway: whoever achieves superintelligence first will control the future.

Robotics and Economic Transformations

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Part 6/13:

Complementing AI, autonomous robots are demonstrating advanced capabilities—doing dishes, folding laundry, building infrastructure. As these robots scale, their impact on production, infrastructure, and defense will be exponential. Countries that lead in this space will dominate industry, reduce costs, and enhance military prowess. Currently, China is leading with 80% of the world’s industrial robots, creating a stark imbalance with the U.S., which is far behind.

The Geopolitical and Economic Imperatives

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Part 7/13:

The speaker notes that China's dominance in robotics, manufacturing, and power generation puts it at the forefront of this technological revolution. The U.S.—notably lagging behind in robotics and power infrastructure—is under enormous pressure to run its economy hot to catch up or risk losing strategic dominance.

Why does the U.S. have no choice? Because economic expansion fueled by cheap credit, massive infrastructure investments, and deregulation are deemed necessary to compete globally. The U.S. government, under urgent pressure, will likely inflate its debt via monetary easing cycles, reducing interest rates, increasing liquidity, and fueling asset inflation.

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Part 8/13:

This approach is not about fiscal responsibility but about survival and dominance—a race against China to establish undisputed superiority in AI, robotics, and power. The speaker suggests that policies like ending Quantitative Tightening (QT) and deregulating banks are steps toward this strategic goal.

The Consequences for the Global Economy

The global landscape is marked by coordinated stimulus efforts: Germany’s increased budget, Japan’s economic push, the Bank of England, India, and others—all “running it hot.” The U.S. appears poised to accelerate its inflationary tactics, fueled by political calculations around upcoming elections and geopolitical priorities.

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Part 9/13:

For example, Trump’s call for 300 basis points in rate cuts signals a desperate effort to keep the economy afloat, even if it means inflation runs hot. The Fed's decision is expected to favor more easing, with interest rate cuts already priced in and the potential ending of Quantitative Easing (QE). The core idea is that cheap debt and abundant liquidity will drive risk assets, including crypto, dramatically higher.

Crypto as the Prime Asset for the Future

Given this macroeconomic backdrop, the speaker’s bold stance: holding most of their net worth in crypto because they believe the upcoming bull market could dwarf anything seen before.

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Part 10/13:

Why crypto? Because it’s historically responded positively to easing cycles, liquidity injections, and inflationary environments. The narrative is strengthened by an institutional wave: major players like State Street, BlackRock, and notable figures like Larry Fink—who recently acknowledged that Bitcoin has a future similar to gold—are signaling a significant shift toward crypto adoption and regulation.

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Part 11/13:

Recent developments boost confidence: $5.1 trillion of institutional assets are poised to increase crypto allocations, and new derivative products like 24/7 futures trading and broad crypto indices are launching in 2026. Major custodians and regulators are laying the groundwork for mainstream acceptance, rapidly transforming crypto from fringe to fundamental.

The Impending Bull Run and Investment Strategy

The speaker cites the current macro environment of easing policies, official endorsements, and expanding infrastructure as extremely bullish signals for crypto’s future growth. They see 2026 as a tipping point, potentially surpassing previous cycles.

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Part 12/13:

Importantly, the speaker emphasizes they are not giving direct investment advice but share their own conviction: the risk-reward ratio for crypto is incredibly favorable right now, especially given the liquidity injections and regulatory clarity expected soon.

Final Thoughts: A Race Against Time

In summary, the speaker argues that the global powers are engaged in a race that’s more strategic and high-stakes than ever before. The outcome will shape whether the U.S., China, or some other nation dominates in a new technological era.

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Part 13/13:

For ordinary investors and the public, the key takeaway is that assets—including crypto—are likely to benefit enormously as governments and corporations race to stay ahead. If you’re not positioned now, you might miss the greatest bull market of our lifetime.


Note: This article synthesizes an intense and complex argument about macroeconomics, geopolitical power, AI development, and crypto markets. The views expressed are the author’s perspective and should not be taken as financial advice.

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